Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Week 8 – October 31

A hugely important NFC South divisional showdown will take place during the second wave of Sunday games as the 6-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers head to New Orleans to take on the 4-2 Saints. With both squads firmly fighting for the top spot and automatic playoff position for divisional winners, this clash is definitely the marquee Week 8 showdown.

The Bucs continue to roll, dismantling the lowly Chicago Bears last Sunday. Tom Brady continues to not show signs of an aging quarterback, while his offensive weapons, and defensive unit remain some of the best in the entire NFL.

For the Saints, it has been an intriguing transitional year for New Orleans. After shifting away from the retired Drew Brees and going with Jameis Winston under center, there have certainly been some growing pains for Sean Payton and his talented squad. Still, the Saints remain one of the top teams in football, loaded with weapons on either side of the football. At home in a raucous atmosphere, New Orleans has to like their chances to pull even closer to the highly rated Bucs.

WIth all of the talent and pedigree on the field, it should make this Sunday evening clash a must-see Week 8 moment. The Bucs are pining for that post-season bye, while New Orleans can inch closer with an improbable victory. For added insight, live odds, trends, and the latest data – keep reading below for our betting analysis on the Bucs and Saints as we look to improve our stellar NFL betting record.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag


  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 (-110)
  • New Orleans Saints +4 (-110)

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-195)
  • New Orleans Saints (+170)
Total Points:

  • Over 50.5 (-110)
  • Under 50.5 (-110)
Overall Record 6-1-0 4-2-0
ATS Record 3-4-0 3-3-0
Home/Away Record 2-1-0 0-1-0
Points Per Game 33.2 23.3
Points Against Per Game 21.0 16.8
Passing Yards Per Game 324.3 176.6
Rushing Yards Per Game 99.1 120.6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Prediction

Perhaps one of the main reasons the New Orleans Saints have stayed afloat this season has been the fact that they truly haven’t taken on an elite offense just yet. That will surely change in Week 8 with Tom Brady coming to town.

The Bucs are going to really challenge what appears to be a solid Saints’ defensive unit. Brady remains elite under center, and with big tight end Rob Gronkowski back in the fold, expect the Bucs’ attack to take another jump forward.

Marshon Lattimore remains one of the NFL’s best corners, though with the talent on Tampa and how well Brady spreads it around, one guy won’t be able to limit the likes of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Gronkowski.

It also helps that Tampa is giving Tom Brady outstanding coverage and protection right now. The key to rattling number 12 is generating pressure without blitzing, and given the Saints’ personnel along their defensive line – they don’t stand much of a chance.

The Saints will counter with Jameis Winston, the former Buccaneer. He’s been solid this season, but the inconsistency and accuracy issues remain prominent. And while New Orleans could definitely take advantage of a porous and depleted Bucs’ secondary, they likely aren’t equipped to do so in Week 8. Michael Thomas still remains on the IR, and without him there, the list of Saints’ playmakers on offense has dried up fairly quickly.

New Orleans’ only option at consistently moving the chains has been through running back Alvin Kamara. The dynamic rusher/receiver has put up solid numbers, but the Bucs are incredibly sturdy against opposing rushers. Keeping the chains moving will be problematic for the Saints.

Despite the Bucs’ injuries in their secondary, it’s tough to see how New Orleans moves the football given the fact they aren’t set up to exploit that glaring weakness. Every other aspect of this game tilts towards Tampa, and this is a veteran group that has come up big in crucial road spots before.

Bucs vs. Saints Trends To Know:

  • Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South.
  • Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Saints are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.


Though the spot lines up nicely for the underdog Saints, their team structure isn’t conducive to hanging with Brady and the Bucs.  Look for Tampa Bay’s attack to punish New Orleans’ overrated defense, and Winston will struggle to keep pace.  Though the line and market have shifted towards New Orleans throughout the week, the Bucs seem to be the right side on Sunday.

My Pick
Buccaneers -4
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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