Tennessee Titans vs. Green Bay Packers Prop Picks – NFL Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs. Green Bay Packers Prop Picks – NFL Week 16

The frozen tundra of Lambeau Field will be the scene on Sunday Night Football in Week 16. It’s going to be frozen that’s for sure, with temps below the freezing mark and a chance of snow. The brunt of the snowfall is forecasted to happen leading up to kickoff in the 4-8 p.m. EST frame. Around kickoff, there is about a 50% chance of snowfall, and then it continues to fall throughout the evening as we get deeper into the game.

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There is expected to be a total of around 2-3 inches of snow in Green Bay on Sunday, so there is going to be snow on the field on the field one way or another. Even if the snow isn’t heavy throughout the game, it might be an on and off occurrence to keep enough snow on the field to mess things up a bit.

If the snow and wind is manageable, in other words, not a snowstorm, I don’t see this impacting the Packers as much as most people anticipate. Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are the best in the business at playing in the elements in the NFL. Not bad for a couple of kids from California. Rodgers has played in the snow countless times before and has found success.

While the Tennessee Titans are not a cold weather team, they have a snowplow in their backfield that can move bodies on the frozen tundra. Try tackling physical running backs in cold weather. It is not fun. I did it for four years as a linebacker. Now try doing it to the most physical running back in the league. This isn’t a game that the defensive line and linebackers are looking forward to on the Packers.

If the Packers want to stack the box with nine because of Henry and the poor weather, then I would not be surprised if Ryan Tannehill surprises and plays better in the cold weather than expected. This is not going to be a snowstorm, and Tannehill likes to pick his way down the field with short passes even in perfect weather. He has a bevy of talented weapons that can catch and run on a beatable Green Bay defense.

This game is going to be awfully interesting on Sunday night, and the weather is going to make it all the more intriguing. Out of all the games on the Week 16 schedule Sunday, I’m by far looking to this matchup the most. Hopefully we hit some props and make it a profitable night. We have more prop picks for the Rams and Seahawks in Seattle on Sunday as well. Head below for our free Titans vs. Packers props for December 27, 2020.

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards

Over 110.5
Under 110.5

Yes, I think the Packers are going to play close to the line and dare Tannehill to pass. And yes, I believe there will be opportunities for Tannehill in the passing game while the defense concerns themselves with Henry. Does it even matter, though? The Packers won’t be doing anything differently than other teams have been doing. Henry is still running for miles against teams that are pouring all of their defensive resources into stopping him. It hasn’t mattered, as he pounds and stiff arms his way to big numbers against hapless defenses.

Henry goes into Lambeau Field with a total of 1,679 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns. He is touting the ball for 5.2 yards per carry. If Henry finishes the season off strong, he can eclipse the 2,000-yard mark. Next week may be a meaningless game, though, so don’t expect a heavy dose of Henry if that’s the case. Henry is going to be the workhorse of the Titans’ offense once again this week, though. He has gained at least 133 yards in four of his previous five games. Henry has racked up nine games with over 100 yards through Week 15. Look for Henry to get his against the Packers and eclipse more than 110 yards at Lambeau.

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OVER 110.5

Davante Adams Receiving Yards

Over 93.5
Under 93.5

People are undoubtedly going to be scared off by a high number in a game that could feature snow. However, we are talking about Aaron Rodgers at quarterback on Sunday night at Lambeau Field. This is not the Packers’ first rodeo playing in bad weather games at home, and they won’t be scared of throwing the ball around in light to moderate snowfall. If Derrick Henry is a runaway freight train on the ground, then Rodgers will have to do his best to have a big game.

The most recent snow game that I recall Rodgers, and the Packers playing in was at MetLife Stadium last December. The Packers scored 31 points in a 31-13 win. If a competent team was on the other side and maybe not a rookie quarterback, the Packers likely would have been forced to score more points. The Packers had 17 points on the board in the first half. Rodgers passed for 243 yards and 4 touchdowns, two of which went to Davante Adams.

Adams is having himself a career-season. He has caught 98 receptions for 1,186 yards and 14 touchdowns. The snow isn’t going to stop him, nor is a Titans’ defense that gets zero pass rush. The Titans have allowed 276 passing yards a game. Only four in the league are worse at defending the pass than Tennessee. Despite the poor weather, expect Adams to have another big outing.

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OVER 93.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.