Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets Pick – NFL Week 4

The Tennessee Titans and New York Jets meet on Sunday afternoon in what is a lopsided matchup on paper. The Titans might be the most popular public play on Week 4. Sportsbooks are going to handle a lot of Titans’ tickets leading up to gametime. No doubt that the Titans look like the most obvious bet on the board.

If it was that easy then everybody would be rich from obvious wins every week. I’ve been in this sports betting game long enough to know that oddsmakers don’t like to give away free money. The Jets are going into Week 4 with a winless record of 0-3. They’ve looked lost the last two weeks, with Zach Wilson running around blindfolded.

I was never the biggest fan of Wilson. This going back to college when he was at BYU and getting NFL hype. I don’t know more than NFL scouts, but was never blown away with what he was doing in Utah, certainly not enough to go off the board in the top-5. Having said all that, there isn’t a quarterback in the NFL that would go to the Jets and find a lot of success.

Not even Tom Brady would turn the Jets into a winner. The offensive line problems would still persist. At least Wilson can run around. Brady would be a sitting duck in the pocket on the Jets. Besides the offensive line, there are other problems that Wilson has to deal with on this team. Corey Davis is a fine receiver as a No. 2 or No. 3, but he’s being asked to do more than he’s capable of doing.

The Titans are heading to New Jersey with two wins and one loss. They opened the season with a 38-13 at home against the Arizona Cardinals, and then responded nicely for a 33-30 win in overtime in Seattle. In their latest attempt, the Titans grinded out a 25-16 win over the Indianapolis Colts.

Tennessee will have to overcome some key injuries, but if there’s any opponent to have on the schedule for a banged up week, it has to be the Jets. The Titans will be without A.J. Brown and Julio Jones to remove the No. 1 and 2 receivers from the offense. Will it matter on the scoreboard, though? Head below for our free Titans vs. Jets pick on October 3, 2021.

Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Titans -6 (-110) -280 Over 44.5 (-110)
Jets +6 (-110) +240 Under 44.5 (-110)
Team Data Tennessee Titans NY Jets
Overall Record 2-1 0-3
ATS Record 2-1-0 0-3-0
Away/Home Record 1-0 0-1
ATS Away/Home 1-0-0 0-1-0
Points Per Game 23.7 6.7
Points Against Per Game 28 23.3
Passing Yards Per Game 223.3 170
Rushing Yards Per Game 159.3 80

Titans vs. Jets Prediction:

The Titans were hoping that they’d have both Julio Jones and A.J. Brown, but neither will be available on Sunday. They are both dealing with lower-body injuries, with Brown having a bad hammy, and Jones a leg injury.

It would have been nice if the Titans had Corey Davis. They didn’t have enough room for Davis and opted to sign Jones instead. He will be on the other side with the Jets in this one. The Titans will dig deep into the depth chart to fill the field with receivers in this one.

Nick Westbrook is coming off a nine game with 4 receptions for 53 yards and a touchdown. He along with Geoff Swaim and Chester Rogers are going to see an elevated role against the Jets. Look for Ryan Tannehill to hand the ball off to workhorse Derrick Henry frequently.

Henry will be called on often in this one with the receiving core banged up for the Titans. It’s a game where the Titans will be content with just getting out of New York with an ugly win. The oddsmakers are likely thinking the same with this 6-point spread. It could be a ball possession game.


Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets Betting Trends:

Titans

  • 2-4 ATS in their previous six games
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games on the road versus the Jets
  • 2-9 ATS in their previous 11 games versus the Jets
  • 4-11 ATS in their previous 15 games versus the AFC East

Jets

  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games
  • 2-17 overall in their previous 19 games
  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games in October
  • 2-7 ATS in their previous nine games in Week 4
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games versus the Titans at home

I’m expecting the Titans to look at their opponent and go through the motions in this one. They could look at the Jets and think they have this one in the bag. That’s how you get a 6-point number in this spot.

The Titans are injured and probably don’t have the most motivation for this game. These games are always dangerous, but the Jets are a really putrid team especially their offense. The defense has done their best to keep the Jets in games.

They’ve allowed 217.3 passing yards per game for 10th in the NFL and 110.7 yards against on the ground for 15th. Considering how often the defense has put them in a bad spot, and not allowing them to get off the field, there isn’t anything wrong with that. The Jets have conceded 23.3 points per game which is respectable as well.

Tennessee should be able to contain a weak Jets’ offense. Wilson has passed for 2 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 55.2% completions. He doesn’t have an offense line, and not the best weapons around, so what do you think was going to happen? He’s been sacked and hurried the most in the NFL.

This should be a basic run the ball and keep things simple game for the Titans. With their top receivers out of the game, expect a heavy dose of Henry on the ground. That should be enough against a Jets’ offense that has scored less than 7 points per game. The total is where to look in this one.

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Titans vs. Jets Pick
UNDER 44.5