Texans Titans Spread Line and Predictions NFL Week 15

Another one that looked great on paper at the start of the season. Now, not so much. Battle to stay out of last place in the AFC South. The (5-8) Tennessee Titans will host the (5-8) Houston Texans in what is otherwise a meaningless match up, kickoff slated for 1 PM EST. Last time these teams hooked up the Texans blanked the Titans 20-0. Are we all looking forward to Johnson/Finnegan II? I am! The Houston Texans head to Tennessee this weekend in a battle of teams that have gone 1-12 combined since Week 7. Not exactly flattering numbers for two teams that started strong and have completely fallen apart!

If the Titans lose this week, it will be their longest skid as a franchise since dropping 11 straight in 1994 as the Houston Oilers. Jeff Fisher, whose job security has come into question, was promoted to head coach after the sixth loss of that skid. Tennessee was held to a season-low 162 yards in the first meeting, including Chris Johnson’s career-low five yards on seven carries, but he ran for 111 last week and the offense appears to have a better chance of moving the ball in the rematch. With Kerry Collins sitting out in Houston with a strained left calf, rookie Rusty Smith made his first NFL start and threw three interceptions – all to cornerback Glover Quin – and finished with a passer rating of 26.7. Collins has looked much more efficient since returning to the lineup, throwing for 244 yards with three touchdowns in the loss to the Colts. Jeff Fisher looks like a lock to be gone, so it wouldn’t surprise me anymore to see Bud hire a coach basically for Vince Young. Just typing that made me a little sick. What they should do is let go of both Fisher and Vince, and either trade or sign a veteran, or draft a QB if the right guy is there. But I seriously doubt that’s what ends up happening, which sucks because we all know that Vince Young will just find some other way to get up on the cross and act like the world is against him so people feel bad for him the next time he quits on the team. Houston’s defense has been their undoing – period! They are dead last in the NFL in passing defense (279.92 yards per game) but have the 6th ranked run defense (98.46 yards per game). With that in mind, it appears that Tennessee will be a good matchup for the Texans – the Titans will run and run and run. Remember, the Texans defense shut this team out only a few weeks ago – the only time that a team has failed to score more than 26 points against the Texans all season!

The Texans’ only victory in the last seven weeks was against Tennessee on Nov. 28, but the 20-0 final score wasn’t the most memorable part of the game. Late in the fourth quarter, Johnson and Finnegan were ejected for fighting. One play after the two got into a mild shoving match, Finnegan and Johnson immediately started brawling off the snap of the ball at the line of scrimmage. Johnson ripped off Finnegan’s helmet and landed at least two punches to Finnegan’s head and neck. Both men were fined $25,000 by the NFL but not suspended. For Houston, since the last game, QB Matt Schaub has passed for 730 yards and 5 TDs in the losses to the Iggles and Ratbirds. I’m sure he could have passed for big yardage against the Titans if he had wanted to and I’m sure he will pass for as many yards as he wants to or needs to on Sunday. In another change for the Texans’ offense, TE Owen Daniels has returned. He’s always hurt the Titans, who have had problems defending tight ends recently. In the last meeting, TE Joel Dreessen scored a touchdown for Houston, so don’t be surprised when Daniels does it this week. Before the last game, we noted that Football Outsiders ranked Houston as the worst defense in the league. This time, they’re ranked 30th overall, 31st against the pass and 15th against the run. Also on the defensive side, the Texans have placed Mario Williams on Injured Reserve. That raises the question, are they better off with an injured Super Mario on the field or with a healthy replacement?

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Texans vs Titans Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Houston Texans +1
@ Tennessee Titans -1

Game Total:

Over (-110)
47.5
Under (-110)

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Texans vs Titans Prediction for Week 15:

Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY) – Had it not been for an errant pass the Texans were very much in line to knock off the powerful Ravens last Monday night. Their offense is explosive and they have one of the best up and coming young defenses in the league. Matt Schaub is once again putting together a Pro Bowl caliber year and he is not finally complimented by a versatile back field threat in Arian Foster. Houston’s offense has been great this season. The passing game ranks 7th in the NFL averaging 252.92 yards per game and Schaub has averaged 365 yards passing in his last two games while tossing five touchdowns. Andre Johnson is averaging 145 yards receiving and has scored two times in his last two games. After a strong start to the year the Titans have taken some significant setbacks. Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home. RB Chris Johnson is no longer finding his spots because defenses are crowding the box and putting the ball into the quarterbacks hands, which hasn’t worked out too well. I believe the Texans offense will be too much for the small and decimated Titans defense to handle and we will see Arian Foster find his spots. The Houston Texans are a true hard luck story and probably deserve better than their 5-8 record. The Titans on the other hand fully deserve their eight losses. I like the Texans to get it done in this game. Andre Johnson is dangerous when he isn’t fired up. I can’t imagine what he is like when consumed by motivation. Houston should win easily in a high scoring game. We will consider the Texans staying out of the AFC South basement this week with a dominant win over the lowly Titans.

Top Play Prediction = Texans +1

Game Total Prediction – The Titans offense has been brutally despicable ever since QB Vince Young went down for the season. Other then last weeks game against the Colts, the previous four outings saw the Titans put up an average of 9.2 points per contest. Defenses are zeroing in on CJ2K, so the Titans rushing attack isn’t as lethal as it once was. The Texans on the other hand seem to go away in the month of December. Over the previous three seasons the Texans have put up an average of 17.5 points per contest in the month of December, which is considerably lower then there season average of 24.2. Both teams are mathematically eliminated from postseason contention, so there is little riding on this game. I believe we see a run-heavy game, which will eat up the clock and produce a low scoring affair. Take a look at the UNDER in Nashville this Sunday. Cheers!

Prediction = UNDER 47.5 Total Points

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