Two teams headed in vastly opposite directions will square off Monday night in the state of Ohio. The reeling Houston Texans will travel to Cincinnati to take on the undefeated Bengals. Many would have thought these two teams would be a lot closer in the standings in 2015. Houston was supposed to have a dominant defense and an offense that could keep them afloat. That hasn’t materialized at all however. Their stop unit has been surprisingly porous, while their offense has been a disaster in virtually every game. Meanwhile, things couldn’t be going better for Marvin Lewis and his Bengals. They’re perfect on the year, but everybody in the organization knows they’ll be judged on what they do in the post-season. After years of early exits, it’d be great for Cincinnati to secure homefield and a first-round bye. They’ll need to keep this run going to do that, so read on below to find out if they will! We’ve got your Monday night betting needs covered at The Sports Geek, so check out the breakdown and the official pick for Bengals/Texans to close out a thrilling Week 10!
Texans vs. Bengals Betting Odds:
Houston Texans +11.5 (-105)
@ Cincinnati Bengals -11.5 (-115)
Over 47.5 (-110)
Under 47.5 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Texans vs. Bengals Pick:
It’s amazing to think despite having J.J. Watt on their defense, the Texans’ stop unit has been one of the worst in football this season. A far cry from the predictions of many back when training camps got underway in early August. The Bengals have a high-powered scoring attack and should have it on full display early on against Houston. They’re 8-0 and definitely would like to remain undefeated to keep pace with New England in the AFC. That said, they realize they’re the better team by miles and this one, and this is definitely quite the mismatch. Don’t be surprised if a situation arises where the Bengals take their foot off the proverbial pedal and scale things back in the second half. Houston simply can’t keep up with Cincinnati’s offense, and without a viable pass rush against solid protection, it’s going to be a long evening for the Texans. Even to close things out, look for the Bengals to cruise with the run game. Houston ranks 25th overall in yards allowed per carry on the ground, and expect lots of running plays for Cincinnati on Monday evening.
Similarly, the Bengals also struggle defending the run like the Texans too. As a result, the ticket for Houston to moving the chains could be handing the ball off to Alfred Blue. He hasn’t been very effective in wake of Arian Foster’s absence, but the Bengals are 30th in the NFL at defending vs. the run. That’s definitely an area to focus on as Cincy prepares for the post-season. Through the air it’ll be a lot more difficult for quarterback Brian Hoyer and his targets. Cincinnati boasts a very prolific pass rush and there’s no way he’ll be able to cook something up against the Bengals’ top-10 secondary. Expect a lot of 3-and-outs from the Texans on Monday night.
The spread in this game is a tad too high for my liking, especially with a Bengals team that so obviously struggles vs. the run and may not be all that motivated. I believe better value exists within the totals market, specifically with the Under 47.5 points. Both teams will be very inclined to move the ball via the run game, and ultimately that’ll keep the clock moving throughout. I also expect Cincinnati to make a statement early, get up by a couple of scores, and really scale things back late in the game. I’m also not worried about the Texans tacking points on in garbage time because this offense is anaemic as they come. Something along the lines of 27-13 seems fitting for Monday Night Football.
PICK = Under 47.5 (-110)