Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick – Sunday, October 13

It’s early in the NFL regular season, but there are still games on the weekly docket which could have implications down the road. One of them takes place in the early Sunday afternoon portion of the Week 6 regular season slate.

The Houston Texans will be in Kansas City to take on the Chiefs, a meeting of two squads with big ambitions for 2019. The visitors enter the contest riding high after a big home win last week, while the hosts are licking their wounds after suffering their first loss of the year.

Behind the New England Patriots, the complete pecking order in the AFC continues to come into focus. The Chiefs are generally regarded as the 2nd best team in the conference, but that’s not set in stone as we get set for Week 6.

This game is quite the opportunity for the Texans to make a statement, but Kansas City also enters with its own motivations after suffering a home loss while looking out of sync. The end result should be a fascinating and competitive contest. Let’s take a look at the matchup in full detail.

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 1 PM EST, Sun. Oct.13, CBS


  • Houston +4.5 (-115)
  • Kansas City -4.5 (-105)
Money line:

  • Houston +175
  • Kansas City -205
Total Points:

  • Over 54.5 (-113)
  • Under 54.5 (-107)

Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Texans vs. Chiefs Pick:

Houston was home this past Sunday to welcome the Atlanta Falcons as 4-point favorites. They proceeded to put on a fireworks show for the home crowd. Deshaun Watson threw for 426 yards and five TDs as the hosts rolled to a 53-32 win. Will Fuller had a monster day, hauling in 14 passes for 217 yards and snagging three of Watson’s touchdown tosses.

Kansas City was home for a Sunday Night Football game with the Indianapolis Colts, a team they eliminated from last year’s playoffs. The hosts were installed as big 11-point favorites at kickoff, but the game script broke in completely different fashion. The visitors put forth a stellar defensive effort and held the Chiefs in check as they picked up a 19-13 upset win.

Houston 3-2 131 110 1-AFC South W1
Kansas City 4-1 148 113 1-AFC West L1

Houston opened up the year with a 2-point road loss to the New Orleans Saints. They followed that up with two straight wins, but fell flat in a Week 4 home date with the Carolina Panthers, losing by a score of 16-10. The team entered the year as a favorite to take down the AFC South, a division which is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in the NFL for 2019.

Kansas City had little trouble picking up victories in the first three weeks of the season. A pair of double-digit wins was followed by a 5-point home win over the Baltimore Ravens, a game which wasn’t all that close until the final quarter. In Week 4, they received quite a test at the Detroit Lions, escaping with a 34-30 win as 7-point favorites.


HOU 26.2 252.4 129.4
KC 29.6 356.0 88.6

PtsAll PaYdA RuYdA
22.0 270.4 95.0
22.6 237.2 155.8

15 18 +2 70.2
11 7 +2 75.2

On offense, the Texans overall performance matches their record on the year, as the team has had three solid performances and two which left a lot to be desired. The defense has been pretty consistent, but there are weaknesses to be found in the secondary by strong passing teams. The offensive line was a trouble spot for the first few games, but protection has improved since then.

Watson is off to an excellent start. He has accounted for 14 total scores versus just one pick and completed 69.2 percent of his passes for 1,364 yards. Carlos Hyde leads the way out of the backfield at 73/310/2. Fuller tops the team in receiving yardage, but DeAndre Hopkins is right behind him. A trio of Texans are tied for the lead with 41 tackles, while Whitney MMercilus is tops with five sacks.

The Chiefs dropped 28 points or more in the first four games of the year, but the Colts found success in holding the prolific unit in check. Kansas City also had some trouble getting the motor running in Detroit, but they still managed to put up 34 points. There are holes to be found on defense. The club can find success with lesser opponents, but proficient teams can put up points against them.

Patrick Mahomes has picked up right where he left off last year with 11 scores and no picks, but he was slowed last week by the Colts. He tweaked his ankle during the game, but appears good to go this week. LeSean McCoy is the leading rusher with 240 yards and two scores, while Travis Kelce leads in receiving at 28/439/1. Damien Wilson leads with 35 tackles, while Emmanuel Ogbah is tops with 2.5 sacks.

Recent History

Kansas City holds an all-time advantage of 6-4 over Houston. The teams last hooked up in 2017 with the Chiefs picking up a 42-34 road win.

For the season to date, the Texans are 3-2 against the spread and 2-3 on totals. The Chiefs are 3-2 both ATS and on the Over/Under.

Since the 2016 season, Houston is 6-15 overall as a road underdog and 10-11 ATS. Kansas City is 21-9 straight-up as a home favorite over that span and 15-14-1 ATS.

The Verdict

On paper, these are arguably the two best teams in the AFC not named the Patriots. We still have a long ways to go in 2019, but this tilt could have big ramifications when it comes time for playoff seeding

The matchup itself is pretty even. Kansas City gets the overall edge on offense, but Houston can put up points in bunches as well. The Texans have the advantage on defense, but there are cracks to be found on both clubs.

Coming off of a loss and with homefield advantage for this tilt, it’s tough to see the Chiefs losing two in a row. However, that doesn’t mean the Texans can’t keep it close and interesting until the latter stages of the game. Kansas City wins, but Houston covers.

My Pick
Chris Feery / Author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.