Texans vs. Colts NFL Pick – Week 7

The Houston Texans head to Indianapolis for a meeting with the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Texans and Colts are both coming off big wins over the Chiefs. Indianapolis put together a dominant showing two weeks ago on Sunday Night Football. The way they did it was the most impressive part, as they held the Chiefs to just 13 points in a 19-13 win.

Sure, the Chiefs helped them out. Patrick Mahomes was hobbled and Tyreek Hill wasn’t in the lineup. Travis Kelce also had a rare poor game, as he couldn’t seem to catch the ball. Having said that, the Colts get a lot of credit for containing Mahomes and the Chiefs attack.

It was especially impressive because of the state of the Colts’ secondary. They were down to the third-team on defense, but it managed to come together for the Colts a couple of weeks ago. The Colts had a bye week at the perfect time, though they haven’t gotten any healthier.

They are going to have to find a way to negate the effectiveness of Deshaun Watson who has been on fire. Completing negating him is going to be difficult. It happened against Mahomes, but Watson isn’t dealing with a bum ankle. He will have his full compliment of tools at his disposal to exploit the Colts.

Will Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins were limited earlier in the week, but they were full participants at practice on Thursday. Indianapolis had the benefit of going up against the Chiefs without their full wide receiver set. The Texans are going to have their most talented guys lining up across from a banged up Colts’ defense. Darius Leonard is expected to return, which should provide the Colts with a lift, but the secondary experienced critical absentees from practice this week. Head below for our free Texans vs. Colts pick in Week 7.

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Week 7 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Texans(-110)
  • Colts(-110)

Total:

  • Over 47(-110)
  • Under 47(-110)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Texans vs. Colts Pick:

Head coach Frank Reich has confirmed that the Colts will be without the services of nickel cornerback Kenny Moore. Moore was injured early on against the Chiefs and had to exit, but ended up returning. However, the injury has been bothering him and he’s missed practice all week. Moore will continue to nurse his knee while the Colts dig deep into the depth chart.

Along with Moore out, safety Malik Hooker is doubtful to play so don’t expect him on the field. If Hooker can’t suit up, then the starting job will go to rookie Khari Willis. The status of cornerback Pierre Desir is also up in the air. Desir has blanketed DeAndre Hopkins in the past, so his loss would be huge on Sunday.

If it weren’t for Russell Wilson, Watson may be a front runner for the MVP at the moment. There’s still a possibility Watson continues to play at an exceptional level while Wilson drops off, so Watson has to keep the elite playing coming. He’s passed for 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, while rushing for 164 yards and an additional 5 scores on the ground.

The Texans have averaged 396.8 yards per game for 6th in the NFL. They’ve been efficient with 27 points scored per game. Their last two games against the Falcons and Chiefs have been especially impressive. Houston racked up 53 points against the Falcons and 31 on the Chiefs for a total of 84 points in just two weeks of action.

Prior to the Colts’ outing against the Chiefs, they allowed 31 points against the Raiders. I think the Texans can accumulate something similar in this one, as they just make it over their average of 27 points per game or right on that mark. Just because the Colts survived one week with an injured secondary doesn’t mean they are going to get the same results vs the Texans.

Jacoby Brissett will likely keep this an interesting game and keep the Colts hanging around in this matchup. He’s been good and the offense has still been moving the ball without Andrew Luck. Brissett has thrown 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Note that the Colts have scored an average of 25.5 points per game at home this season.

The oddsmakers can’t agree on who should be the favorite in this matchup and I tend to agree. Watson will likely get his against the Colts, but Brissett leading his team to a productive afternoon would not at all be a surprise. This has the makings of a 30-27 or 27-24 game, thus a selection on the OVER at 47 looks attractive on Sunday afternoon at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Bet
OVER 47
Kyle E
Kyle E / author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.