Not a good way to start the week on Thursday, as our bet on the total went for not. I hope you didn’t put a sizable bet on that game. It was one of the smallest plays I have made this season, as it was a matchup of the league’s worst. Despite the loss Thursday night, 2013 has been extremely kind to us, with me not even remembering the last time I had a losing week. With a full slate of games Sunday, there is definitely time to put another winning week up on the board.
My first pick of the afternoon looks at the Tennessee Titans and Denver Broncos. The Broncos are coming off another victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. That win puts them in prime position to earn a first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Broncos 2-0 against the Chiefs this season, have a stranglehold if a tie-breaker is needed. The only team that I see posing a threat is the New England Patriots, where a tie in the standings would give the Patriots the upper-hand, and all important time breaker. Quick write-ups for me today, as I have been all over the place lately and a little busy. It also looks like I have come down with the flu unfortunately. I usually have three picks for my Sunday card, but it’ll only be two for today. So I’m going to get right down to the meat and potatoes, and hopefully produce a winner for you guys.
Titans vs. Broncos Betting Odds:
Tennessee Titans +12(-110)
@Denver Broncos -12(-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Titans vs. Broncos Pick:
Peyton Manning and the Broncos made the Chiefs’ defense look rather inferior on Sunday, getting pummeled for 35 points in the 35-28 loss. It wasn’t really a dominating performance by the Broncos, as the Chiefs were able to put up 28 themselves. The Chiefs were also stopped on the 1-yard line, with Alex Smith throwing a pick on the opening drive. I thought the Chiefs were going to buckle up and going to retreat mode, but they held strong, and actually got us some points to push the game over. If the Chiefs punched it in from there, who knows, I could be talking about a Chiefs’ win right now. The Broncos were without the services of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Many will say Champ Bailey is the best corner on the team, but I would have to say that honor goes to Rodgers-Cromartie at this point in his career. The defense was beginning to look much better, but then the second-half came against the Patriots. Cromartie got injured just before half, so I wouldn’t say the Bronco meltdown on defense was entirely because of him being out, but it had something to do with it. Champ Bailey and Cromartie will both be suiting up opposite one another Sunday.
I was waiting for a breakout performance from receiver Eric Decker, which we finally got last week. He hauled in deep ball after deep ball, which actually looked like the same play. Decker finished with a whopping four-touchdowns against the Chiefs, putting up consecutive 100-yard weeks. If he stays hot this offense is going to be even more difficult to stop. At week 14 and the Broncos are still averaging 38.7 points a game and over 450 yards. Yeah, over 5 weeks or so that is expected perhaps, and then it should fluctuate down as the season progresses, but not with the Broncos, they have held steady producing huge points in football games.
The Tennessee Titans’ offense works around running back Chris Johnson primarily. Ryan Fitzpatrick really isn’t at a point in his career, or I suppose was he ever, to be able to carry a team. The Titans’ average 22 points a game, with the running game ranked 14th in the NFL and the passing game at 21st. So average is what you are going to find with the Titans, nothing more nothing less. The Titans are 2-6 their last eight games, with their only games coming against the lowly Rams and Raiders. Mind you, they had to fight in those games, beating the Rams 28-21 and the Raiders 23-19. In that stretch was a loss against the Jaguars as well. They will need to fight much harder Sunday afternoon. With Rodgers-Cromartie making a comeback this week, and the defense getting healthier, I like them to win convincingly. The numbers say Denver doesn’t have a good defense and this has been true, but when there are important pieces on the football field, they are much better. I will lay the points with Denver at home.
PICK: Broncos -12(-110)