Following a fortunate victory on the Saints +3.5 to kick off the week on Thursday evening, we’ll be hoping for Sunday to go just as well. We will begin in the AFC South where the 5-5 Titans travel to Indianapolis to battle with the 4-5 Colts. Many would have thought at the outset of this season that roles would be reversed, but the progression just has not been there for Andrew Luck and his Colts team. They simply haven’t lived up to their potential in 2016, but there is still time to salvage their season and future.
Opposing them is an upstart group from Tennessee, led by the dynamic Marcus Mariota. Though he doesn’t have many weapons to throw to, he’s been supported by a power running game from DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry. Their defence has also been stellar and entering Week 11 they remain a real threat to win the AFC South division. This is a definite match-up to see, one filled with playoff implications down the road, and despite their mediocrity – a real chance to enter the final stretch on a high note. It’s the Titans and Colts, so read on below for a full game breakdown and analysis.
Titans vs. Colts Betting Odds:
Tennessee Titans +3 (-120)
@ Indianapolis Colts -3 (+100)
Over 53 (-110)
Under 53 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Titans vs. Colts Pick:
After a slow start to what was supposed to be a promising season, Marcus Mariota has really turned it on of late. He’s been avoiding costly errors and has been throwing the ball well in addition to running it. This week, the Colts will be without a key figure in their secondary, Mike Adams, and this should really help the chances the Titans have to consistently move the chains. Indianapolis has a ton of holes within their defence, specifically their secondary, and Mariota will be able to take full advantage of this when throwing downfield. Delanie Walker remains the Titans’ top target, and he’s in line for yet another big outing. Walker and Mariota have definitely built some solid chemistry this season. On the ground, it’ll be more of the same for the smashmouth Titans. They’ve run the ball well all season long and that will continue in Indianapolis on Sunday. The Colts cannot defend the run and get pushed around on the line of scrimmage. DeMarco Murray will be able to easily find the holes and should be able to once again eclipse the century mark on Sunday – as he did when these squads met earlier this season.
On the other side of the ball, Andrew Luck will be looking for a repeat performance from when he took on the Titans earlier in 2016. He put up big numbers, but things have changed a lot since that meeting. Tennessee has improved their defence significantly, now possessing a dominating front seven, one which puts a ton of pressure on opposing QB’s. This will be imperative for Tennessee, as they do have holes in their secondary themselves, much like the Colts. If the Titans can get to Luck, and they should be able to, it will limit his time and space to carve them up downfield. Look for a constant stream of pressure from Tennessee, en route to a lot of hurried and forced throws from the talented play-caller out of Stanford. In addition, the Colts don’t have much of a run game for the Titans to worry about. Tennessee will likely play things safe and solely focus on the pass as that’s really the only way they can be beat – through the air. Frank Gore is declining at a rapid rate and no longer has the burst to expose opposing run defences.
Despite the Colts beating the Titans on their own field back in Week 7, roles have reversed just a few weeks later. Tennessee is healthier and playing much better defence. Indy is also coming off a huge win at Lambeau, and they are primed for a letdown. I believe the Titans are the better team overall, and in my mind are the most likely team to win the wide-open AFC South. Expect them to show that on Sunday.
PICK = Titans +3 (-120)