Titans vs. Texans NFL Pick – Week 12

The Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans wrap up Week 12 of the NFL at NRG Stadium. The Titans went into their bye week feeling a variety of emotions. On one hand, they recently defeated the Patriots by a comfortable margin. The Titans had full control from the 1st quarter until time expired in that contest. New England looked like the same team who didn’t come to show up to play against the Lions. Dion Lewis can tell you all about it if you want a complete rundown.

I am sure he is still talking about the game. However, the following week was a disaster against the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts dismantled the Titans for a 38-10 final last week. It could have been worse as well. Too much celebrating from their victory over the Patriots perhaps. In any event, they can get right back on track in Houston against Deshaun Watson and the Texans.

The Titans are sitting at 5-5, while the Texans are 7-3, so they can do some catching up with a win tonight on Monday Night Football. They already have a 20-17 win from back in September over the Texans, so this would complete a series sweep. Deshaun Watson has been playing extremely tough in 2018, as he has dealt with injuries throughout the year.

It’s been so bad that Watson was playing with a partially collapsed lung earlier in the season. He couldn’t fly so he took a bus from Houston to Jacksonville for their October 21st matchup. Don’t question his toughness that is for sure. Watson will have to deal with a tough defense this evening in his own home. The Texans have evolved into one of the better defenses in the NHL as well, hence the low total. Note that Marcus Mariota was listed as questionable going into this contest, but is reportedly going to start. He suffered a neck stinger against the Colts and did not return, so he is unlikely going to be performing at 100 percent. Get our free Titans vs. Texans pick on Monday Night Football below.

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans NFL Week 12 Betting Odds:

Titans +3.5(-110)
vs. Texans -3.5(-110)

Over 41.5(-110)
Under 41.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Titans vs. Texans Pick:

The Titans could have used Mariota to play a full-game last week, but the weren’t going to win either way, so it was a bit of a moot point. Mariota finished the contest with no touchdowns and an interception, before Blaine Gabbert entered the game to pass for a touchdown and interception. The offense has been so hit and miss for the Titans that the defense hides a lot of their holes.

If they didn’t have the defense, all of the blame would fall on Mariota right now, because they wouldn’t be a good team at all. The Titans are 30th in the NFL with 295.4 yards per game. They’re also averaging just 17.5 points per game, so can you imagine if Tennessee didn’t have a strong defense? Mariota has thrown for 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He has also rushed for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns, though, so he does earn his paycheck with his legs as well.

The Titans sport the 9th best defense in the NFL with 334.9 yards allowed per game. Put them their defense in 20th and Mariota would be ran through coals by Houston fans. In the same token, he isn’t asked to do as much. If they had to win shootouts on a weekly basis, it’d be interesting to see his numbers. He will have to contend with a strong Texans’ defense who have allowed just 330.5 yards per game for 7th in the NFL. They are slightly better than the Titans defensively.

Offensively is a different story, though. They are considerably better with a unit that has averaged 364.2 yards per game for 13th in the league. I have more confidence in Watson going up against a solid defense than I do Mariota, especially the Titans being the visitors in this spot. Watson has tossed 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, along with 275 yards rushing.

Their styles are similar, but Watson has the extra gear that Mariota hasn’t showcased since the 2016 season. While the Titans’ defense has been good, they’ve struggled to get pressure on quarterbacks. Note that they are 24th in the NFL with 23 sacks per game, compared to 28 by the Texans. Give Watson time to dance around and he usually makes something out of it. I like a touchdown win for the Texans here, so a play on the -4 should be profitable.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.