Minnesota Vikings vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick – NFL Week 9

The Sunday afternoon slate is a bit condensed this week. Four teams have the week off, and there’s also an early kickoff for a London game to contend with. There are still plenty of appealing choices on the menu to take a deep dive into, including this clash of potential playoff teams.

The Minnesota Vikings take a four-game winning streak into Kansas City to take on a Chiefs team which remains without its franchise signal caller. Patrick Mahomes is still on the mend, but Matt Moore did an admirable job in relief last week.

The visitors had some struggles on the offensive side of the ball earlier this season, but that’s no longer the case. While the output wasn’t exactly spectacular last week, the unit has been clicking on all cylinders for the most part.

For the hosts, the defense is starting to show improvement in comparison to where it stood at the beginning of 2019. That bodes well for a Chiefs team which may need a stellar second half to make up some ground once Mahomes returns.

While the absence of Mahomes takes a little bit of the shine off of this matchup, the Chiefs demonstrated last week they’ll be competitive until he’s ready to come back. As for the Vikings, they still need to bring their A-game for this tough road contest. Let’s take a look at the matchup in full detail.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 1 PM EST, Sun. Nov.3, FOX

Spread:

  • Minnesota +2 (-110)
  • Kansas City -2 (-110)
Money line:

  • Minnesota +115
  • Kansas City -135
Total Points:

  • Over 48 (-110)
  • Under 48 (-110)

Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Browns vs. Patriots Pick:

The Vikings have had a little extra time off since handling business versus the Washington Redskins on Thursday Night Football. They were big 16.5-point favorites at kickoff, but the game turned out to be tighter than expected. Offensive output was muted for both sides as Minnesota walked away with a 19-9 victory. Dalvin Cook found the end zone before halftime for the lone TD of the game.

The Chiefs were at home for a Sunday Night Football visit from the Green Bay Packers. The absence of Mahomes led to them being 5.5-point home dogs at kickoff, but they put up a good fight. Moore threw for 267 yards and two scores, but it wasn’t enough. Green Bay exited with 31-24 win behind an excellent night from Aaron Rodgers, who threw for three scores in the victory.

Rec PF PA STD STK
Minnesota 6-2 211 132 2-NFC North W4
Kansas City 5-3 226 181 1-AFC West L1

Minnesota opened up the year with a big home win over the Atlanta Falcons, but the team was a bit uneven after that while dropping two of three. Concerns about the offense were being raised left and right, but the club answered the bell in big league fashion. Kirk Cousins raised his game tremendously as the team ripped off a four-game winning streak to quiet the critics.

Kansas City opened up the year with back-to-back road games, picking up double-digit wins over the Jacksonville Jaguars and Oakland Raiders. The streak was extended to four games with a pair of close wins, but the team would see it snapped with a home upset loss to the Indianapolis Colts. The club has dropped three of its last four with all three of the losses coming on the homefield.

Offense

PPG PaYdF RuYdF
MIN 26.4 236.4 160.1
KC 28.3 309.5 83.0
Defense

PtsAll PaYdA RuYdA
16.5 224.5 89.4
22.6 232.0 145.0
Miscellaneous

SaF SaA ToM PYPG
23 15 +3 73.8
25 11 +3 66.4

The offense was a bit of an issue for the Vikings while they opened up the year at 2-2. That hasn’t been the case at all over the four-game winning streak, but the output wasn’t prolific in last week’s win over the Redskins. The defense has been steady all season long while holding seven of eight opponents to 21 points or less. There’s a good balance on the unit and no glaring weaknesses.

After a slow start, Cousins has turned it around. He has accounted for 14 total scores versus three picks thus far. Dalvin Cook has been phenomenal out of the backfield with a line of 156/823/9. He has also added on 29 catches for 293 yards. Stefon Diggs has been the top target at 49/706/4. Erik Kendricks leads the team in tackles with 68, while Danielle Hunter is tops with eight sacks.

The Chiefs opened up the season by scoring 28 points or more in each of the first four games. The Colts managed to hold them in check to snap the streak, and Mahomes was initially banged up in this game. He went down for the count two weeks later in a win over the Denver Broncos. The defense has improved as the season has moved along, but Kansas City was exposed several times by the Packers.

Moore has been solid in relief of Mahomes, throwing for 384 yards, three TDs and zero INTs. Mahomes could return as soon as next week, but the door hasn’t been completely shut on him suiting up for this one as of this writing. LeSean McCoy leads the way out of the backfield at 69/362/2, while Travis Kelce is the leading target at 42/604/2. Emmanuel Ogbah leads the team with 4.5 sacks.

Recent History

Kansas City leads the all-time series over Minnesota by a margin of 7-5. The last meeting took place in 2015, a 16-10 home win for the Vikings.

For the season to date, Minnesota is 5-3 against the spread and 3-5 on the Over/Under. Kansas City is 4-4 ATS and 5-3 on totals.

Since the 2016 season, the Vikings are 3-9 outright as road underdogs and 4-8 ATS. The Chiefs are 21-10 overall as home favorites over that span and 15-15-1 ATS.

The Verdict

The Vikings are cruising along and have had some extra time to get ready for this one. The Chiefs have hit a rough patch in the absence of Mahomes, but they haven’t rolled over either. We can expect them to put forth another competitive effort this week.

While the Minnesota offense was a little quiet last time out, Kansas City continues to have holes that can be exploited. Vikings plus the points is the call, but we’d like them as slight favorites as well.

The Bet
MINNESOTA VIKINGS +2
-110
Chris Feery / author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.