Washington Football Team vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick – NFL Week 16

The Washington Football Team and Dallas Cowboys headline the Christmas weekend edition of Sunday Night Football. The Cowboys welcome Washington to AT&T Center for an important battle in the NFC East. Washington needs this game if they’re going to go to the playoffs.

At 6-8 going into Arlington, Washington is pretty much done if they fall to 6-9 on the year. They are in a bad enough spot now. Washington can’t afford to go three games below .500. Washington has only two games left on their schedule after Week 16.

This past Tuesday, Washington is coming off a 27-17 loss at Philadelphia. They’re on an extra short week, but their starting quarterback is not. Taylor Heinicke cleared Covid protocol and is expected to start at AT&T Stadium.

He was also dealing with a banged-up knee but appeared fine from that as well. Garrett Gilbert started last week and did fine, given the situation.

Gilbert made a spot start as the No. 3 guy on the depth chart. He passed for 194 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions.

You can’t expect too much more from Gilbert, who was in a tough situation. Washington ultimately lost the ball game by a score of 27-17 at Philadelphia. Miles Sanders ran over Washington for 131 yards on 7.3 yards per carry. Jalen Hurts had a productive game as well.

The Cowboys go into Sunday Night Football at 10-4 and just need a win. They are closing in on the NFC East crown a year after Washington win the division at 7-9. That was a horrible year, with the Giants and Cowboys in second at 6-10.

Dallas is currently the only team in the division with a record above the .500 mark, so not a whole lot is different, but at least the Eagles are at 7-7. Dak Prescott was given the big bucks to lead the Cowboys to an NFC East championship and a Super Bowl.

That’s the mentality Washington must have, and they have to treat this as a playoff game in Arlington. In a wide-open year impacted by Covid, the door is open for any team to win that goes to the playoffs. Head below for our free Washington vs. Cowboys pick on December 26, 2021.

Washington Football Team vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Washington Football Team +10 (-110) +350 Over 46.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys -10 (-110) -450 Under 46.5 (-110)
Team Data Washington Football Team Dallas Cowboys
Overall Record 6-8 10-4
ATS Record 5-8-1 11-3-0
Away/Home Record 3-4 4-2
ATS Away/Home 3-3-1 4-2-0
Points Per Game 20.2 28.6
Points Against Per Game 25.1 20.9
Passing Yards Per Game 210.9 275.1
Rushing Yards Per Game 118.3 128.2

Washington vs. Cowboys Prediction:

Taylor Heincke, back in the saddle for Washington, should help on Sunday night. If not for his on-field talent, the locker room must be happy to see Heinicke back with the team.

He’s quickly assumed a leadership role on the Washington roster, and just having him back around the guys is progress.

This season, Heinicke has passed for 19 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on 66.5% completions. He was the only quarterback in the playoffs last year that scared the Buccaneers.

Washington made it interesting in the first-round versus the Buccaneers before Tampa steamrolled the rest of their competition. They made good this season against the Bucs.

Washington cut down the Bucs on November 14, 29-19. Washington won three more straight to get back in the playoff race following the win.

Since beating the Raiders on December 5, 17-15, Washington is coming off losses against the Cowboys, 27-20, and the Eagles, 27-17.

Washington Football Team vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends:


  • 4-1-1 ATS in their previous six games
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games versus a team with a winning record
  • UNDER is 7-2 in their previous nine games
  • UNDER is 14-3 in their previous 17 games versus a team with a winning record
  • UNDER is 7-2 in their previous nine games as an underdog


  • 11-3 ATS in their previous 14 games
  • 11-1 ATS in their previous 12 games versus the NFC
  • UNDER is 7-1 in thier previous eight games
  • UNDER is 5-0 in their previous five games after a win
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games as a betting favorite

It’s good to have Heinicke back in the huddle, but I’m not too convinced that they’re going to move the ball and put it in the end zone at AT&T Stadium. Washington is 20th in the NFL with 329.1 yards and 23rd with 20.2 points per game.

The best-case scenario for Washington is to rule the time of possession to play keep-away from their opponent. They have passed for just 210.9 passing yards per game, though the running game has been solid enough with 118.3 yards per game.

Washington has to get Terry McLaurin involved, but defensive coordinators have figured out a way to take him out of games. Once McLaurin is neutralized, shutting down the Washington offense isn’t the toughest.

The Cowboys have been holding up at keeping the ball out of the end zone. They are sixth in the NFL with 2.3 touchdowns against per game. Conversely, Washington has conceded 2.9 touchdowns per contest. Dallas has been efficient, with 20.9 points allowed per game.

On a super short week, Washington has to be perfect in Arlington. I think they can get the intensity turned up a notch in a must-win scenario for Washington. This has to be treated as a playoff game. I don’t know what they can draw up to beat the Cowboys’ defense, though.

During a big Covid weekend in the NFL, expect plenty of low-scoring games with teams out of sync. In what should be a rough and tumble divisional showdown, a final score of 28-14 or 24-20 looks about right.


Washington vs. Cowboys Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.