I started the daily fantasy football week by dissecting the Turkey Day slate. Be sure to check out those Thanksgiving Day NFL DFS picks if you plan on playing during the holiday. I’m off like much of you out there for the next couple of days, so I busted my tail to break down the weekend slate at FanDuel as well.
That’s my explanation for a short intro, so let’s just dive right into my favorite NFL DFS lineup for week 12:
QB: Nick Mullens – San Francisco 49ers ($6k)
Too cheap. Just too cheap. I touched on this in my week 12 NFL DFS advice column and Mullens obviously looks like an amazing sleeper. He could easily face-plant, but his matchup with an awful Buccaneers defense (dead last against QBs) is too good to pass up.
If I’m paying up I’m grabbing Andrew Luck, but I love the savings and Mullens has shown before he can have a huge game in the right setting. This is the right setting.
RB: Melvin Gordon – Los Angeles Chargers ($8.9k)
Flash can be a monster and after not scoring last week I expect him to bust out this week against the Cardinals. Arizona has issues with stopping the run and Gordon is at home, so a huge game wouldn’t be shocking. Saquon Barkley is the sexier play, but I prefer pivoting to Gordon in week 12.
RB: James Conner – Pittsburgh Steelers ($7.9k)
The Steelers got slowed down in Jacksonville last week and it impacted Conner’s DFS upside. He’s been pretty “meh” the past two weeks, but he’s finally got a beatable matchup again and I just really doubt the Broncos stop him. His role and talent and led to some massive DFS performances and I expect that to happen again this week in Denver.
WR: Marquise Goodwin – San Francisco 49ers ($5k) Goodwin is a little banged up, but he should play and has some developing chemistry with Mullens (4-69 last game). He has the speed to take any touch to the house and obviously Tampa Bay (30th vs. WRs) is awful defensively. If the stars can align here, this Mullens/Goodwin stack is money in the bank and opens things up for a really fun week.
Update: Goodwin is doubtful to play due to a personal issue. The Niners are really hurting at wide receiver, so I can understand if you’d want to get off of Nick Mullens or just pair him with George Kittle. That being said, Trent Taylor, Kendrick Bourne (my favorite of the lot), Dante Pettis and Richie James Jr. are all in play.
WR: Antonio Brown – Pittsburgh Steelers ($8.5k)
Brown won’t have an ideal matchup if he spends a lot of time in the slot this week, but if he kicks it outside he should be fine. He put up 20 fantasy points against Jalen Ramsey, though, so clearly he’s as matchup proof as they come. He’s just discounted on a bad wide receiver slate, so I love just aiming high with him this week.
A.J. Green is a fine pivot at $8k and he’ll probably be low-owned, but I like the idea of owning Brown this week.
WR: Odell Beckham Jr. – New York Giants ($8.5k)
Beckham has really popped off lately with 16+ fantasy points in each of his last four games, so there’s no reason to be gun shy about him in daily fantasy football. He’s also got a great matchup in a huge divisional game with the Eagles, so I fully expect him to have a big game.
This is not the greatest slate for elite receivers, so I have no issues with paying for stud talent at the position this week. That goes directly against how I’ve built lineups a lot this year, but this week I think it’s important to spend at receiver and it all starts with Odell.
TE: Eric Ebron – Indianapolis Colts ($5.5k)
There are two very good (albeit expensive) tight ends on this slate and Ebron burned a lot of people with zero targets in week 11. I think that’s going to sting a lot of people and keep his ownership down, so I’ll go right back to the well and hope he has a big game.
The good news is he’s pretty likely to see a lot of work after being completely stonewalled last game and the Dolphins have also allowed five scores to tight ends in 2018. Fire Ebron up with confidence and bask in the savings.
FLEX: Gus Edwards – Baltimore Ravens ($5.3k)
Edwards killed my Alex Collins play in my season long fantasy league in week 11, so he owes it to me to excel when I’m on him in week 12 as well. The role could be there, but a matchup with a bad Raiders defense should push his value through the roof. He is ultimately way too cheap if he’s going to be getting touches against this defense.
DEF: New England Patriots ($4.1k)
To cap things off, I’m very interesting in a Bill Belichick defense that gets two full weeks to prepare for the Jets. Honestly, enough said.
This team greatly depends on the 49ers having a good game and it not being the Matt Breida show. I need the Mullens/Goodwin stack to pay off and in the name of Ryan Fitzpatrick how about a GPP quarterback dart finally working out for me in 2018?
If that happens, the rest of this lineup could give way to a magical week. Hopefully my NFL DFS picks help you in some manner this week. Either way, good luck and enjoy the games!