Vikings vs. Seahawks pick, so feel free to use that in your NFL betting or DFS decisions.
For a strictly DFS slant, read on for my favorite plays in FanDuel’s one-game showdown contests for tonight:
MVP (1.5x points): Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks ($16.5k)
Wilson does not have an easy matchup against a good Vikings defense, but he’s tough to stop at home and has been on fire for weeks.
Regardless of the matchup, Wilson has been extremely reliable in NFL DFS circles, topping 21+ fantasy points in six of his last seven games. He might lack the usual upside in this matchup, but I think Wilson will get it done in a huge game for Seattle.
Kirk Cousins, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs are the other guys to consider forcing onto your roster and/or sliding into your MVP slot, but Wilson is my top option on this slate.
FLEX: Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($12.5k)
I am a fan of Minnesota’s top wide receivers and I don’t hate the running backs from either side – Dalvin Cook and Chris Carson.
The latter two aren’t top priorities for me, though, and you simply can’t fit everyone onto your Monday Night Football DFS lineups.
What I do want to do is nab Wilson’s top target. He can work over the middle to burn defenses deep, so he offers a lot of value. You’re paying for a good game out of him, but Lockett has been relatively dialed in (12.7+ fantasy points in three of his last four games) and also has four scores over his last five outings.
Seattle can spread the ball around offensively, but Lockett is probably their best receiver at this point. You can take shots on their backups, but I’ll be making their speedster a priority tonight.
FLEX: Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($10k)
I also want to fit in Baldwin. He’s banged up and isn’t even a lock to play, but that (and his cheap price tag) is part of his appeal. Obviously if he’s announced as out you’ll need to pivot to another option, but the fact that nobody knows yet could help make him pretty contrarian.
The idea of getting a viable DFS asset at low ownership and at a discount on a one-game slate is too good to pass up. Baldwin could easily be limited if he does play, but that’s the risk you may need to be willing to take.
If Baldwin is out or you’re not down for that roll of the dice, pivot to teammates Jaron Brown or David Moore.
FLEX: Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings ($14.5k)
Kicking things over to Minnesota’s side, you not only need to roster at least one Vikings player, but I actually want to.
I do want to note that Seattle is tough at home historically and that the Vikings haven’t been amazing on the road, but I expect them to end up throwing a bit in this one and Thielen should benefit as much as anyone.
You can really go back and forth between him and teammates Stefon Diggs, but Thielen seems to be the big play threat between the two and is also the more likely touchdown scorer.
The chemistry between Thielen and Kirk Cousins is off the charts. I don’t know if I trust Cousins in this spot, but I do think he can get Thielen the ball and put him in position to have a solid fantasy outing, per usual.
FLEX: Aldrick Robinson, WR, Minnesota Vikings ($6.5k)
I’d love to cram in Cousins and/or Diggs, but I simply can’t.
I don’t anticipate Cousins blowing up for 350 yards and 3-4 scores, so jamming him in with Wilson seems a little redundant. I also don’t know if there will be room for both of Minnesota’s top receivers to post huge lines, either.
Because of that, I’m stacking Seahawks and just rolling out two Vikings guys I think can help out. Robinson is not the most reliable guy, but he’s popped up in the slot when the Vikes are playing from behind or going in pass mode.
That could happen again tonight and seeing as he is coming off of a nice nine-target outing last week, he could have some momentum working in his favor. Perhaps he’ll be somewhat contrarian, too. That certainly wouldn’t be a bad thing.
Normally I’d be a bit more hesitant to fade Cousins and/or Diggs, but I value Wilson/Lockett/Thielen/Baldwin over those guys tonight. I also usually wouldn’t love the idea of not rostering any running backs, who who is a stud rusher in this game?
Yes, Dalvin Cook or Chris Carson could pop off, but these running attacks are far from reliable and tend to feed more than one mouth. Without a clear stud to gravitate to, I’m focusing on Seattle first and then the passing games in general.
Pivot as needed, but this will be the squad I roll out for Monday Night Football. Good luck and enjoy the game!