I made two mistakes when piecing together my last NFL DFS showdown game at FanDuel; I didn’t put A.J. Green (3 touchdowns!) in the MVP slot and I rostered two tight ends.
Green was still in my lineup and crushed, while Joe Mixon (knee) may have lived up to that MVP billing had he not exited last Thursday’s game twice due to injury. Those two tight ends I rolled with had week one roles, too, while it was oddly enough Baltimore’s third string tight end that hauled in a touchdown.
The point, I think, is that the NFL continues to be just as volatile as baseball, if not more so in some ways.
Regardless, I’ll go back to the drawing board for Monday’s tilt between the Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears:
MVP (x1.5 points): Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks ($17k)
I actually do not love this matchup for the Seahawks at all. Khalil Mack and company looked quite good against the Packers in week one and now they’re at home against a Seattle offense that can’t run the ball and doesn’t have a reliable offensive line.
That being said, Wilson is the top fantasy asset in this contest.
He can put up stats with his legs and account for a lot of value in one or two big passes down the field. He’s my MVP slot here, although I’d give consideration to someone like Jordan Howard if you think he’s about to destroy the Seahawks.
Seattle is a prideful bunch, though. While I think Chicago wins this game, they’re bound to give up some big plays to Wilson, whether it be in regular game flow or as Seattle plays from behind. Howard is a nice pivot if you plan on fading Russ, but this is my favorite approach.
FLEX: Anthony Miller, WR, Chicago Bears ($7.5k)
Allen Robinson is the top receiver for Chicago, but I don’t trust Mitchell Trubisky yet to really take advantage of him down the field. Miller is a rookie, but he saw four targets in his pro debut a week ago. Thanks to his intermediate route-running, I think he could see close to double that in this one.
Taylor Gabriel is also a solid play here due to his speed, but I’m banking on Miller being pretty contrarian.
FLEX: Trey Burton, TE, Chicago Bears ($9.5k)
I doubt Burton will be low-owned, but he’s a solid bet to blow up after being way too quiet in week one. Green Bay historically has covered tight ends well, while the Bears played a pretty controlled offensive game plan.
I think they open it up more in this one, but either way, Burton is a fine safety net for a young passer and is also a red-zone asset. He’s a great value on this one-game showdown slate.
FLEX: Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($13.5k)
If I’m trusting in Wilson, I better get some Seahawks receivers to pair with him. Lockett is the first guy to look at.
I know he’s pricey, but he has game-breaking speed and he’s going to have a big role with Doug Baldwin (knee) on the shelf. Hopefully people go after Jordan Howard and Allen Robinson in this price range.
FLEX: Brandon Marshall, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($12.5k)
Lockett should garner some ownership, but most will correctly point out that Marshall is old and not close to the dominant force he once was. While true, he could be up for dishing out some revenge against one of his former squads and he also should see a solid role with Baldwin sidelined.
Marshall’s talent and price could have you looking elsewhere, but somebody has to catch passed from Wilson. He remains a solid red-zone option, too.
I’m hitching my wagon to Wilson and Seattle’s passing attack tonight. I don’t know if they’re going to come out and wreck the Bears, but I do think a potentially negative game script could help them put the ball in the air a lot before the night is over.
That should make Wilson, Lockett and Marshall solid tries, while Miller and Burton could be lower owed Chicago options. I’m not too worried about fading Trubisky, but not using any of Allen Robinson, Jordan Howard or Tarik Cohen is a little risky.
Hey, it’s a one-game slate, though. You’re going to need to pivot off of some chalk and I’m not really into the runners in this game. They might get some yardage and catches, but guessing who gets a touchdown on the ground isn’t a game I want to play.
Hopefully Wilson lights it up and Burton/Miller are active in underneath routes.
Whether you roll out this roster or mix in your own picks, I wish you luck. Enjoy the game!