Last night didn’t produce a winner when it came to my preseason daily fantasy football picks, but you had to basically be perfect to even cash. It was just a really bad slate for football from a productivity perspective, as a lot of the starting units came off either rusty or just flat out bad.
Matthew Stafford (3.9% owned!) was indeed contrarian and had he found his way into the end-zone, he could have given you a nice lift. I had a few chalky plays, but Stafford was a nice try and J’Mon Moore ws only 2.4% owned and ended up being my best play with 8.2 fantasy points.
Thats, um, not good.
In my defense, the guy who won my GPP had Cam Newton (6.98 points), who topped Stafford by just two points. His team totaled 80 fantasy points and his best play was Emmanuel Sanders, who busted a random 27-yard rushing score. Sanders is a wide receiver, so that’s all of the flukey.
It wasn’t a great night for NFL DFS action and we didn’t get a winner, but Saturday offers up a new chance to win big again. Dive in with me as I break down some of my favorite preseason NFL DFS picks for FanDuel’s main slate:
QB: Jimmy Garoppolo – San Francisco 49ers ($6k)
Like I said going into last night, there are several teams being very public about giving their starters up to a full half of play. The Niners are one of them, which puts Jimmy G at the top of my list. He’s got a solid matchup against an average Colts defense and if he’s going to be playing two quarters (as reported), he feels like a safe play with some upside.
Andrew Luck is my second favorite passing option in this very game. He’s gotten solid preseason playing time thus far, but still needs to shake some rust off. I get the feeling he’ll be pretty popular, though, so a pivot to Garoppolo makes good sense.
I’m also looking at Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees if we catch wind they’re playing as much. If not, you can always look to the bench where guys like Lamar Jackson, Jacoby Brissett and Mason Rudolph stand out.
RB: Alfred Morris – San Francisco 49ers ($6k)
Morris draws the start with Jimmy G and company tonight, so I have to assume he’s in for a big workload. Even if that wouldn’t normally be the case, the Niners are down Jerick McKinnon and Joe Williams on their running back depth chart, so Morris by default is going to get some touches tonight.
He’s not the sexiest play, but Todd Gurley, Le’Veon Bell and most of the other elite rushers on this slate aren’t going to play. Unless you have a great backup pivot you’re infatuated with, Morris stands out. He could be chalky, but I’m fine with that.
RB: Melvin Gordon – Los Angeles Chargers ($6k)
I have no clue how much Gordon will play tonight, but he did see 10 carries in his last game and the Bolts are another team expected to let their top players go deep into the first half. If Gordon has another shot at 10 touches and maybe a score, he’s a must play.
WR: Marquise Goodwin – San Francisco 49ers ($6k)
I’ll stop here with my 49ers starters, but Goodwin should play a lot and has developed nice chemistry with Garoppolo. If he’s on the field, that connection and his deep speed are too tempting to bypass on this slate.
WR: Mike Williams – Los Angeles Chargers ($6k)
I don’t know if Williams will play a lot with the first team offense or see extensive action in the second half. All I know is he’s supremely talented and the Bolts seem to be gearing him up for a big year. They probably wouldn’t mind getting him acclimated further, so he’s a solid dart throw on a slate stacked with appealing wide receivers.
WR: Corey Davis – Tennessee Titans ($6k)
There isn’t any word yet on how long the top Titans players will hit the field tonight, but I’m assuming they’ll play a quarter or more. If so, Davis is a threat to get some yardage and a score against a beatable Steelers defense.
I’m also looking at Julio Jones and the other studs just like everyone else, but I’m not so sure those guys are worth using tonight. James Washington is my favorite backup WR if you’re interested in taking a bigger dive tonight at the wide receiver position.
TE: Jack Doyle – Indianapolis Colts ($6k)
I don’t want to play Andrew Luck tonight, but he should still see the field quite a bit and the same probably goes for the other Indy starters.
If Luck is going to fare well, chances are his top tight end will put up some stats, too. Eric Ebron is a fine pivot here, but Doyle is the top tight end in this offense and is a red-zone threat.
FLEX: Leonard Fournette – Jacksonville Jaguars ($6k)
Fournette got solid work in his last game and with Jacksonville’s top players potentially seeing a half “and maybe more”, I’m tentatively locking the bruiser in as my favorite FLEX play tonight.
Even if he doesn’t play as long as the other starters, Fournette is a threat to score in limited action. Just make sure he starts the game if you plan on using him along with me.
DEF: Baltimore Ravens ($6k)
The Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers and Houston Texans are also on this slate, so I’m hoping Baltimore flies a bit under the radar. They’re one of the more balanced defenses in the league and assuming John Harbaugh leaves his guys out there for a bit, I like their chances against the Miami Dolphins.
The Ravens project well against Miami’s backups, too, as they’ll be facing some combination of David Fales, Bryce Petty and Brock Osweiler. I see sacks and a few turnovers in our future.