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Week 7 Thursday Night Football FanDuel Picks – October 18th

The NFL returns for week seven on Thursday Night Football, where the Arizona Cardinals host the Denver Broncos. I’d argue that playoff baseball and the NBA have trumped pro football, but it’s still pretty nice to have it back – especially for NFL DFS purposes. If you’re looking to bet on the Cardinals vs. Broncos game, be sure to check out our NFL picks section of the site.

If you plan on playing daily fantasy football in reference to tonight’s game, whether it be a one-game showdown contest, a Thu-Mon slate or you just want some extra insight on season long options in this game, you’ve come to the right place.

For the most part, this is potentially the worst TNF game of the year thus far. Case Keenum and the Broncos have dropped four in a row and are in danger of making it five. Arizona has actually been worse, so correctly gauging fantasy value won’t be easy. I do tend to favor the Cards at home on a short week, while we definitely need to keep in mind that Denver’s defense isn’t quite what it used to be.

With that, let’s check out some of my favorite NFL DFS picks for the one-game showdown contest at FanDuel:

MVP (1.5x points): David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals ($15k)

This game is not loaded with star fantasy football talent, so you gotta get the guy who has more upside than anyone else. That’s DJ, who has been held back by his team and system all year, yet somehow has 11+ fantasy points in five of six games. He’s scored six total touchdowns along the way and you know that big yardage game is just around the corner.

Why can’t it come in a prime time setting at home against a defense that just got gashed by Todd Gurley to the tune of 200+ rushing yards? I think it will. There’s nobody else I’d rather have at my MVP spot tonight.

FLEX: Royce Freeman, RB, Denver Broncos ($10.5k)

Freeman has the talent to be argued into the MVP slot and Arizona has not been good at stopping running backs this year. He’s in a timeshare, however, so his upside is curbed. Still, the matchup is amazing and he’s a threat to bust a long run and/or score. He’s a good price so I’ll slide him in after DJ.

FLEX: Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals ($10k)

I know Larry Legend hasn’t been himself this year, but he’s slowly getting healthier and will eventually start putting up numbers again. The targets are still decent (8 last week) and he will always have the size and route-running smarts to be a scoring threat. Maybe he’s slowing down, but I’ll take a shot at him at this price. That first 2018 touchdown is rounding the corner after all.

Christian Kirk is a great pivot if you can afford him. I just think he might be chalky given the year Fitz has endured.

FLEX: Ricky Seals-Jones, TE, Arizona Cardinals ($9k)

I’m not a huge fan of RSJ, but he’s an athletic tight end with a solid role. He hauled in five catches for 69 yards last week and he’s seen at least five targets in four different games this year.

When you have rookies like Josh Rosen on the field, tight ends are going to carry some upside. Five catches and a score would make him well worth a roster spot tonight.

FLEX: Case Keenum, QB, Denver Broncos ($15k)

I also really like Emmanuel Sanders here, but despite his turnover issues, Keenum has actually been a pretty good NFL DFS asset in 2018.

Keenum popped off for 22 fantasy points in week one and has chipped in two more 20+ fantasy points outings over the last two weeks. Arizona doesn’t offer the best matchup, but you need upside and Keenum gives you that when it comes to this slate.

Summary

I think this is a David Johnson game, but the Broncos should be able to move the ball and put up some points. I don’t feel great about fading Christian Kirk, Phillip Lindsay, Emmanuel Sanders or Demaryius Thomas, but you need to take your stands.

Hopefully my Thursday Night Football DFS picks help you in your lineup building process tonight. Either way, good luck and enjoy the game!

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