Week nine in daily fantasy football isn’t over quite yet, as the Dallas Cowboys play host to the Tennessee Titans tonight on Monday Night Football. While this looks like an ugly game on paper, it’s expected to be somewhat competitive (Titans are +5.5 underdogs at Sportsbetting.ag), if otherwise pretty boring (incredible 40 Total).
Our own Will S. loves the Titans to beat the spread tonight. When he wrote up that preview the line was +4 at BetOnline, so feel free to soak up the extra value anywhere you can find a fatter line. Either way, he’s clearly anticipating a close game and it’s not impossible Tennessee shocks with the upset.
While true, I think Dallas wins tonight and when it comes to daily fantasy football contests at FanDuel, I’d be favoring their side of the game. Let’s see how my final lineup looks for tonight’s NFL action:
MVP (1.5x points): Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys ($10k)
The Cowboys just traded a first round draft pick for Cooper. I’m not sure he comes in and saves them, but he is very talented and rather explosive. How involved will he be in his ‘Boys debut? It’s impossible to know, but he’s too cheap and I have to think they’ll at least take some shots down the field with him.
Tennessee can defend, but they got burned my Mike Williams in London in their last game and rank just 22nd against fantasy wide receivers on the year. Normally I’d slide Zeke or Dak into this MVP slot without thinking, but the narrative here is Cooper pans out immediately. The other two guys are probably safer options here, but in GPPs you need to aim a little higher tonight.
FLEX: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys ($17k)
I’m still rostering Elliott. He is what makes Dallas go offensively and he tends to thrive at home. The Titans are good against the run, but they’re not unbeatable and he has the role and talent to dominate. The arrival of Cooper could also take some defenders away from the line and free him up to do his thing as well.
Zeke has not enjoyed an elite 2018 campaign to this point, but he’s been far from a bust. His last game (5 fantasy points) was his first contest below 11.9 fantasy points, so even if he struggles he tends to be pretty reliable. I don’t know if there’s anyone with better odds to find the end-zone tonight.
FLEX: Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys ($16k)
Prescott has been very tough to get behind this year, but he’s heating up with 20+ fantasy points in each of his last two games. He also tends to be at his best in Big D and with Cooper coming to town, it’s very possible he blasts off in this one.
The harsh reality is there aren’t a lot of exciting NFL DFS options in this game and with a low Total, I think it’ll be wise to cram the more reliable guys into your lineups. Dak, Cooper and Zeke lead the way for me, while Dallas being favored at home clearly plays into it a bit as well.
FLEX: Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys ($7.5k)
I’ll wrap up my Cowboys stack with Gallup. He is not a big PPR guy, but he showed last week (15.6 fantasy points) that he’s a threat down the field. Again, the Titans are not elite against the pass and the presence of Cooper could free up other Dallas receivers.
Gallup is not as safe as someone like Cole Beasley, but he has way more upside and is cheaper. He’ll probably be popular at this price tag, but I’ll gladly eat the chalk to afford the other guys I covet.
FLEX: Corey Davis, WR, Tennessee Titans ($9k)
You need at least one Titans option here. Marcus Mariota, Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis are really the only other guys I’m looking at, but Davis sees a lot of balls and is a really nice price. Dallas has a solid defense and is actually the second stingiest squad against fantasy receivers, but Davis gets the nod due to price, talent and volume.
I expect the Cowboys to be up in this one, which be default should lead to Davis seeing a lot of targets in the second half. Garbage time scores count just as much as early scores, so we can’t let the betting lines scare us from Tennessee weapons completely.
This isn’t a game I feel great about in regards to stacking with both sides. Normally you want to get both quarterbacks or find a way to load up on the top impact players from both teams. I think you can get away with leaving most of the Titans alone and just picking the one guy you feel really good about.
That’s Davis for me. He’s been pretty quiet lately, but this is a prime-time game and he’s going to need to show up. I think he has a solid line and while that could help push you towards also including Marcus Mariota, that’s not something I’m interested in doing.
I’m following Vegas on this one and stacking Cowboys and using a passing game weapon for the Titans. I don’t know how contrarian any of these plays will be, but they’re all logical and give me nice exposure to some of the best players in this contest. If you want to get cute in order to land Mariota, consider dropping down from Zeke (Titans do rank 5th against fantasy running backs) and spending up over Gallup.