Tom Brady and the New England Patriots burned my last edition of NFL DFS picks to the ground on Monday night. The Pats could barely score on the Buffalo Bills of all teams and Brady himself failed to get even one touchdown.
It was a forgettable effort, but I’ll try to deliver a winner for Thursday night’s game between the Oakland Raiders and San Francisco 49ers. This is set up to be a very ugly game and with both teams boasting just one win on the year, there is an argument out there that neither even really want to win.
Despite that, Vegas sets this one up with a palatable 45 Total and has the Niners holdering serve at home with a -2.5 point spread. The skinny? This should be a pretty competitive game and it’s not impossible we get a bit of a shootout.
C.J. Beathard (wrist) is currently listed as questionable and the 49ers honestly have a slew of players that could be limited or out. Keep tabs on those options and consider my favorite NFL DFS picks for tonight at FanDuel:
MVP (1.5x points): Derek Carr, QB, Oakland Raiders ($16k)
Despite a ton of rumors swirling around Carr, he performed well last week and piled up 27 fantasy points. He’s on a short week and on the road, but it’s hard not to like him against a 49ers defense that ranks just 27th against fantasy quarterbacks on the year.
FLEX: Jordy Nelson, WR, Oakland Raiders ($9k)
Nelson should be Carr’s go-to target in the passing game. The fact that he’s been pretty spare lately should lower his ownership, but I have no issues trying him out against San Francisco, who ranks 25th against fantasy wide receivers.
I get the feeling more people will be on Jared Cook, but I’ll save the cash and play the matchup game this week.
FLEX: Matt Breida, RB, San Francisco 49ers ($12k)
Breida is constantly questionable to suit up, yet he usually still plays. He hasn’t been good lately, but he offers upside against a bad Raiders defense that ranks 30th against the running back position. His price and injury situation could drive his ownership down, so I’m okay with swinging for the fences here.
FLEX: Brandon LaFell, WR, Oakland Raiders ($8.5k)
Martavis Bryant and Seth Roberts are also in play here, but LaFell scored last week and seems to have a locked in role right now. He is far from safe and last week was his first action with Oakland, but he has a favorable matchup ahead of him and last week’s performance certainly doesn’t hurt.
FLEX: George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers ($14.5k)
Whether Beathard suits up or not, I have to think whoever is under center for the Niners will target Kittle, who remains the team’s most reliable passing weapon. It also doesn’t hurt that the Raiders can’t stop tight ends (26th). The steep price could also get people to look elsewhere, so I’m pretty locked onto Kittle in this one.