Arizona Coyotes vs. Anaheim Ducks Pick – NHL April 2, 2021

The Arizona Coyotes and Anaheim Ducks are scheduled to meet at the Honda Center in Anaheim on Friday night. There is still plenty of time for the Coyotes to dig themselves out from their slow start. They’ve crawled out from below the .500 mark and head into Anaheim with a record of 16-15-5. The Coyotes went on a three-game winning streak and had wins in four of their last five games before getting embarrassed by the Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday. The Avalanche brought the Coyotes out to the toolshed for a 9-3 beatdown.

Joonas Donskoi had a monster game for the Avalanche, as he scored 3 goals and recorded an assist for 4 points. Gabriel Landeskog chipped in with 2 goals and an assist to help lead the Avalanche. It was an awful day for Ivan Prosvetov and Adin Hill between the pipes. Prosvetov allowed 5 goals on 28 shots for a 0.821 save percentage, while Hill was smoked for 4 goals on just 10 shots for a 0.60 save percentage. Hill was playing so well going into that contest. He was coming off a shutout against the San Jose Sharks in a 4-0 win, and a 5-2 victory the day before.

Playing a back-to-back didn’t bother Hill, as he was in terrific form the next night. It was when he had a few days off that his momentum seemed to be broken. Hill has been called on a lot recently without Darcy Kuemper or Antti Raanta active. Kuemper is out indefinitely with a lower-body injury, while Raanta is battling an undisclosed injury. That leaves Hill receiving plenty of the workload. 22-year-old Prosvetov just didn’t look ready for the big lights against the Avalanche, which was his debut in the NHL. That’s a rough welcome.

The Ducks are sitting in the basement of the West Division with a record of 11-20-6 and 28 points. The case could be made that the Ducks should dismantle this roster at the trade deadline and go full rebuild mode. I thought two years ago they should have blown things up. They have slowly retooled their roster over the last couple of years, but haven’t been able to fully let go yet. They waived Adam Henrique, brought him back, and then benched him for a stretch of games.

No doubt that was a message being sent, and Henrique has been in better form since then. It’s hard to see the Ducks keeping him if a team comes with an attractive offer. The Ducks enter Friday night off a 5-2 loss against the Avalanche on Monday. After generating some confidence with two wins against the Blues, 4-1 and 3-2, the Avalanche brought the Ducks back down a notch. They’re 3-7 in their previous ten outings, with a win against the Coyotes on March 18, 3-2 OT. Arizona came back with a much better effort for a 5-1 win before they left Anaheim. Head below for our free Coyotes vs. Ducks pick on April 2, 2021.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Anaheim Ducks NHL Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Coyotes -1.5 ( +200)
  • Ducks +1.5 (-240)
Moneyline:

  • Coyotes -117
  • Ducks +106
Total:

  • Over 5.5 (+123)
  • Under 5.5 (-135)

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Coyotes vs. Ducks Prediction:

Hill was downright awful against the Avalanche in that start. A 0.60 save percentage is not a game you’d like to remember as a goaltender. Despite that poor outing, Hill has been fairly serviceable for the Ducks this season. It’s hard to expect much from a guy that is replacing the starter and backup, so the Coyotes have to take what they can get right now. Hill has been adequate with a 2.94 GAA and 0.904 save percentage. The 24-year-old has made eight starts, and will continue to be relied on as long as Kuemper and Raanta are absent.

While Hill had a shutout against the Sharks on Saturday to help skew his numbers positively, it’s one of only two starts that he’s conceded fewer than 3 goals. Hill has allowed at least 3 goals in six of eight starts this season. The Coyotes have been regressing defensively without a healthy Kuemper and Raanta between the pipes. They are 20th in the NHL with 3.1 goals against per game. Arizona has also allowed 31.6 shots per game for 25th in the league. When the Coyotes head on the road, they’ve conceded 3.33 goals per contest.

This is a Yotes team that prided itself on winning tight, low-scoring games, but that hasn’t been the case. In their previous ten outings, they have given up 3.5 goals per game. And while the Ducks have been abysmal overall this season, with just 2.2 goals per game for 29th in the league, there has been some life out of them with Henrique playing better recently. Through their last three outings, the Ducks have scored 3 goals per game, and they also scored 3 goals against Hill on March 18.

John Gibson is listed as probable for the Ducks in the crease tonight. He has been mostly off the rails this season in net. Gibson allowed at least 3 goals in 11 straight games, including 5 goals in three straight games before finally settling down against the Blues on March 26. He conceded 4 goals on 25 shots for a 0.84 save percentage versus the Yotes on February 22. Overall this season, the Ducks are 27th with 3.3 goals allowed per game. In their last ten, they’ve struggled mightily with 3.7 goals against. The OVER is 5-1 in the Coyotes’ last six games overall, and 6-2-1 in the last nine versus the Ducks. With a price of +121 on the OVER, it’s hard not to take that value.

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Our Bet
OVER 5.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.