Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames NHL Pick – March 29

The NHL is set up with another great slate of hockey throughout March 29. Nine games are up on the board throughout Tuesday night. One of these games will be between the Colorado Avalanche and the Calgary Flames. These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 9:00 PM Eastern time.

Colorado has earned a record of 46-14-6 throughout this season, which has them in the top spot of the Central division. The Avalanche are coming off a loss in their last game and have dropped two of their last three. Colorado has a fourteen point lead on the top spot in the division. The Avalanche will look to continue to extend their lead with a win in this one.

The Flames have put up a record of 40-17-8 so far this season, which has them in first place of the Pacific division. Calgary has won two games in a row and four of their last six entering this matchup. The Flames have a seven point lead on the top spot of the division with two games in hand. Calgary will look to remain hot with a big win at home on Tuesday night.

These two teams are both at the top of their respective divisions, which should lead to an exciting matchup on Tuesday. The Avalanche have been the better team throughout this season and will look to come out hot. Calgary has been strong in the second half of this season, rising up the standings. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Colorado Avalanche +1 ½ (-245) +100 Over 6 ½ (+102)
Calgary Flames -1 ½ (+205) -110 Under 6 ½ (-113)

 

Team Data Colorado Avalanche Calgary Flames
Overall Record 46-14-6 40-17-8
Away/ Home Record 20-10-3 21-6-6
Goals Per Game 3.79 3.52
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 3.55 3.73
Save Percentage .911 .916
Save Percentage Away/ Home .907 .917

Betting Trends

Colorado Avalanche

  • 7-6 in March
  • 4-6 on Tuesday nights
  • 14-6 after a divisional game
  • 18-11 against team with a winning record

Calgary Flames

  • 9-5 in March
  • 6-7 on Tuesday nights
  • 9-4 when playing on two days rest
  • 10-7 after a divisional game
  • 11-7 after allowing four or more goals
  • 18-13 after a win by two or more goals
  • 19-13 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up twice so far this season. Colorado hosted the first game on March 5. Elias Lindholm had two goals and an assist, while Johnny Gaudreau had the overtime winner and two assists. The Flames earned a 4-3 win in overtime. The second game stayed in Colorado on March 13. Nathan MacKinnon scored twice and Darcy Kuemper stopped all 46 shots he faced as the Avalanche won 3-0.

Special Teams

The Avalanche have been strong on the power play throughout this season. Colorado has scored on 57 of their 229 power play chances, which is a 24.9 percent success rate. The Avalanche have killed off 152 of their opponents 194 power play attempts, which is a 78.4 percent penalty kill. Colorado is 6th on the power play and 18th on the kill this season.

Calgary has been strong on both sides of special teams on the season. The Flames have capitalized on 44 of their 184 power play opportunities, which is a 23.9 percent power play. Calgary has given up 30 power play goals on 193 penalties against, which is an 84.5 percent kill rate. The Flames are 8th on the man advantage and 4th on the penalty kill.

The Flames have the edge on special teams in this one. Calgary’s penalty kill has been really strong and will look to slow down Colorado’s power play. The Flames have been solid with the man advantage as well this season and will look to break through on the Avalanche’s struggling kill. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Darcy Kuemper to get the start in the crease for Colorado in this one. Kuemper has started in 46 games this season, going 30-9-3 in those matchups. He has posted a .923 save percentage and a GAA of 2.41 in those games. Kuemper’s last start was against the Minnesota Wild. He stopped 26 of 29 shots in the overtime loss.

Jacob Markstrom will likely get the nod between the pipes for the Flames on Tuesday night. Markstrom has earned a record of 31-12-7 throughout his 51 starts on the season. He has put up a save percentage of .925 and a 2.16 GAA in his starts. Markstrom finished with 26 saves on 31 shots in his last start against the Edmonton Oilers, which was enough for the win.

These two goalies have put up very similar stats throughout this season and will look for a big performance on Tuesday. Kuemper is coming off back to back losses in the crease and will look to turn it around. Markstrom has won two in a row and will look to keep it going. If either goalie can set the tone early, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Avalanche have been the stronger team on the season and will look to step up early as they try to take the season series. Calgary is coming off a nine goal performance in their last game and will look to keep the offense going. If Colorado can come out fast though, I like their chances to earn the win.

BetOnline has the Flames listed as a -110 against the money line in this one. This implies that Calgary will win this game around 52.4 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with Colorado being the better team this season. The Avalanche have lost two of their last three and will be looking for a fast start in this one. As underdogs, I really like the value on Colorado.

The Bet
Colorado Avalanche
+100
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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