Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Pick – Game 6

The NHL is set up with another great slate of hockey throughout June 26. The Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning will look for a big win as they meet up in Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Finals. These two teams have been great all postseason and will look for a huge win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 8:00 PM Eastern time on ABC.

Colorado has earned a record of 15-4 throughout the postseason as the top seed in the Central division. The Avalanche are coming off a loss in Game 5 of this series and will look to bounce back in this one. Colorado has not lost back to back games in these playoffs and will look to keep that trend up. The Avalanche will look to lift the Stanley Cup on the road in this one.

The Lightning have put up a record of 14-7 so far in the playoffs as the third seed in the Atlantic division. Tampa Bay is coming off a needed win in Game 5 of this series, but will need to carry momentum back home. The Lightning have been solid at home all postseason and will look to keep it up. Tampa Bay will look to extend their season one more game with a win on Sunday night.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Avalanche have dominated all series long, but were shut down by Vasilevskiy in Game 5. Tampa Bay will look to step up early in this one as they try to get another early lead. If either team can step up early on Sunday night, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Colorado Avalanche -1 ½ (+205) -120 Over 6 (+100)
Tampa Bay Lightning +1 ½ (-245) +100 Under 6 (-120)
Team Data Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning
Playoff Record 15-4 14-7
Playoff Away/ Home Record 8-1 8-2
Playoff GF/GP 4.37 3.00
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 4.56 3.70
Playoff SV% .899 .919
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .896 .938

Betting Trends

Colorado Avalanche

  • 5-2 on Sunday’s
  • 25-11 in non-Conference games
  • 10-3 when leading in Playoff series
  • 40-18 against team with a winning record

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 10-2 in Sunday games
  • 23-13 in non-Conference games
  • 6-3 when trailing in Playoff series
  • 33-29 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up in an exciting five games. Valeri Nichushkin had three goals and an assist over the first two games as Colorado won 4-3 in overtime and 7-0. Pat Maroon, Ondrej Palat and Steven Stamkos all had a goal and an assist in Game 3 as Tampa Bay won 6-2. Nazem Kadri had the overtime winner in Game 4 to give the Avalanche a 3-2 win. Palat had the game winner late in Game 5 as the Lightning won 3-2.

Special Teams

The Avalanche have been strong on the power play throughout this postseason. Colorado has scored on 20 of their 60 power play chances, which is a 33.3 percent success rate. The Avalanche have killed off 44 of their opponents 55 power play attempts, which is an 80 percent penalty kill. Colorado has capitalized on 5 of their 17 power play attempts in the Stanley Cup Finals.

Tampa Bay has been solid on special teams throughout the playoffs. The Lightning have capitalized on 16 of their 80 power play opportunities, which is a 20 percent power play. Tampa Bay has given up 16 power play goals on 72 penalties against, which is a 77.8 percent kill rate. The Lightning have scored on 3 of their 16 power play chances in this series.

Colorado has been the better team on special teams throughout the playoffs and this series. The Avalanche went 0-2 on the power play in Game 5 of this series. The Lightning have struggled all series, but went 1-4 on the power play in the last game. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win Sunday.

Goaltending Comparison

Darcy Kuemper will likely get the start in the crease for Colorado in this one. Kuemper has earned a record of 9-4 throughout his 15 starts. He has posted a .898 save percentage and a GAA of 2.68 in those outings. Kuemper stopped 26 of 29 shots in Game 5 of this series. He has a save percentage of .899 throughout the Stanley Cup Finals.

Andrei Vasilevskiy will get the nod between the pipes for the Lightning on Sunday night. Vasilevskiy has started all 22 games this postseason, going 14-8 in those matchups. He has put up a save percentage of .921 and a 2.54 GAA in the playoffs. Vasilevskiy stopped 35 of 37 shots in the win in their last game. He has a .901 save percentage throughout the Finals.

These two goalies have been solid throughout the postseason and will look for a big win in this one. Kuemper has struggled with injuries and has been a bit inconsistent all postseason. Vasilevskiy will look to come out quickly as he has struggled a bit in the Finals. If either goalie can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win on Sunday.

Pick Overview

These two teams will meet up in an exciting matchup on Sunday night. Colorado is looking to win the Stanley Cup for the first time since 2001. The Lightning will look to force a Game 7 as they look to keep their hopes for their third straight Stanley Cup alive. The road team has won the last two games, but I think Tampa Bay can win at home to keep this series alive.

Bovada the Avalanche listed as a -120 against the money line in this one. This implies that Colorado will win this game around 54.6 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with Tampa Bay back at home. The Avalanche have not lost two games in a row in the playoffs, but I think they are due. If the Lightning can get another early lead, I think they can hold on for the win.

The Bet
Tampa Bay Lightning
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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