Colorado Avalanche vs Edmonton Oilers NHL Pick – Game 3

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of Conference Final action on Saturday night. The Colorado Avalanche and Edmonton Oilers will meet in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals on June 4. These two teams have played an exciting series so far and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 8:00 PM Eastern time on TNT.

Colorado has earned a record of 10-2 throughout the postseason as the top seed in the Central division. The Avalanche eliminated the Nashville Predators and St. Louis Blues to reach the Conference Finals. Colorado took their two home games to open up this series and will look to keep it up in this one. The Avalanche will look for a big win on the road to take a stranglehold on the series.

The Oilers have put up a record of 8-6 throughout the playoffs as the second seed in the Pacific division. Edmonton knocked off the Los Angeles Kings in seven games and the Calgary Flames in five. The Oilers dropped the first two games of the series, but will look to bounce back at home. Edmonton will look for a quick start in this matchup.

These two teams have been strong throughout this postseason and will look for a big win in this one. The Avalanche have been dominant all postseason, but still have a lot of hockey in front of them. Edmonton will look to bounce back as they have all playoffs long. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Colorado Avalanche -1 ½ (+185) -130 Over 7 (-110)
Edmonton Oilers +1 ½ (-225) +110 Under 7 (-110)


Team Data Colorado Avalanche Edmonton Oilers
Playoff Record 8-6 10-2
Playoff Away/ Home Record 5-0 4-2
Playoff GF/GP 4.58 4.14
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 5.20 4.00
Playoff SV% .900 .909
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .902 .936

Betting Trends

Colorado Avalanche

  • 14-4 on Saturday’s
  • 6-2 when leading in Playoff series
  • 6-1 after shutting out their opponent
  • 30-14 after a win by two or more goals
  • 34-19 after scoring four goals or more
  • 24-8 after three or more straight wins

Edmonton Oilers

  • 13-6 on Saturday’s
  • 3-1 when trailing in Playoffs series
  • 19-17 after allowing four or more goals
  • 14-12 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 7-7 after scoring one goal or less

These two teams have met in an exciting two games so far. J.T. Compher had two goals in the first meeting, while Cale Makar had a goal and two assists. The Avalanche were able to earn an 8-6 win in Game 1. Nazem Kadri had three assists in Game 2, while Artturi Lehkonen and Mikko Rantanen both had a goal and an assist. Pavel Francouz had 24 saves as Colorado won 4-0.

Special Teams

The Avalanche have been great on the power play throughout the postseason. Colorado has scored on 12 of their 38 power play attempts, which is a 31.6 percent success rate. The Avalanche have killed off 22 of their opponents 30 power play chances, which is a 73.3 percent penalty kill. Colorado is 2nd on the man advantage and 4th on the penalty kill in the field of 4.

Edmonton has been solid on special teams throughout the playoffs. The Oilers have capitalized on 12 of their 43 power play opportunities, which is a 27.9 percent power play. Edmonton has given up 8 power play goals on 50 penalties against, which is an 84 percent kill rate. The Oilers are 3rd on the power play and 2nd on the kill.

These two teams have been solid on special teams throughout the playoffs. Colorado has been a bit better on the power play, but the Oilers penalty kill has been great. The Avalanche have two power play goals in this series, while Edmonton has one. If either team can get a goal with the man advantage, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Pavel Francouz will likely get the start in the crease for Colorado in this one. Francouz has played in 4 games these playoffs, going a perfect 4-0 when stepping in. He has posted a .917 save percentage and a GAA of 2.48 in those games. Francouz finished with a 24 shot shutout in Game 2 to give the Avalanche the 2-0 series lead.

Mike Smith will get the nod between the pipes for the Oilers on Saturday night. Smith has earned a record of 8-4 throughout his 14 starts in the postseason. He has put up a save percentage of .916 and a 3.19 GAA in those outings. Smith stopped 36 of 40 shots in the last game, which was not enough to earn the win in this one.

These two goalies have been solid throughout these playoffs and will look for a big win in this one. Francouz is coming off a huge shutout and will look to carry that momentum onto the road if Darcy Kuemper is still out. Smith has been strong bouncing back and I think he will come out fast at home. If goalie can come out quickly, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

The Avalanche will look for a big win as they meet up in Game 3 of this series to get one game from the Stanley Cup Finals. Edmonton is back at home though and will look for a big win as they try to get back into this series. The Oilers were shut out in Game 2, but I think they will change things up in this one. If Edmonton can step up early, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has the Avalanche listed as a -130 against the money line in this one. This implies that Colorado will win this game around 56.5 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with Edmonton going back home. The Avalanche are also undefeated on the road, and I do not think it will hold up. As slight underdogs, I like the value on the Oilers to close the gap.

The Bet
Edmonton Oilers
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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