St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche NHL Pick – Game 1

The NHL Playoffs pick back up on Tuesday night as the Second Round begins. Two games are up on the board throughout May 17. One of these games will be between the St. Louis Blues and the Colorado Avalanche. These two teams have been solid throughout these playoffs and will look for a big win to open this series. This game will drop the puck at around 9:30 PM Eastern time on TNT.

St. Louis has earned a record of 4-2 throughout the postseason after entering as the third seed in the Central division. The Blues were able to knock off the Minnesota Wild in the first round. St. Louis will look to come out fast in this series as well. I expect the Blues to try and set the tone early on the road in this one.

The Avalanche have put up a record of 4-0 so far these playoffs as the top seed in the Central division. Colorado eliminated the Nashville Predators in a sweep in the first round. The Avalanche have had plenty of rest entering this series and will look to use it to their advantage. Colorado will look to come out fast again in Game 1.

These two teams have both been strong in the postseason so far and will look for a big win in Game 1 of this series. Colorado dominated the Predators in the first round and will look to remain hot in this one. The Blues won their last three games against Minnesota after falling down 2-1 in the series. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
St. Louis Blues +1 ½ (-130) +180 Over 6 ½ (-125)
Colorado Avalanche -1 ½ (+110) -220 Under 6 ½ (+105)

 

Team Data St. Louis Blues Colorado Avalanche
Playoff Record 4-2 3-0
Playoff Away/ Home Record 2-1 2-0
Playoff GF/GP 3.67 5.25
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 3.67 4.50
Playoff SV% .914 .920
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .918 .941

Betting Trends

St. Louis Blues

  • 9-4 on Tuesday nights
  • 3-4 when playing on three or more days rest
  • 21-11 against divisional opponents
  • 18-13 after a divisional game
  • 26-16 after a win by two or more goals
  • 33-17 after scoring four goals or more
  • 27-18 against team with a winning record

Colorado Avalanche

  • 8-6 on Tuesday nights
  • 6-2 when playing on three or more days rest
  • 19-11 against divisional opponents
  • 21-8 after a divisional game
  • 27-13 after a win by two or more goals
  • 30-18 after scoring four or more goals
  • 29-15 against team with a winning record

These two teams met up three times throughout the regular season. David Perron had two goals in the first matchup as the Blues earned a 5-3 win. J.T. Compher had two goals, while Cale Makar had a goal and an assist in the second meeting as Colorado won 4-3. Valeri Nichushkin had a goal and an assist in the final game to lead the Avalanche to a 5-3 win.

Special Teams

The Blues were strong on special teams in the first round. St. Louis scored on 8 of their 26 power play chances, which is a 30.8 percent power play. The Blues killed off 20 of their opponents 24 power play attempts, which is an 83.3 percent kill rate. St. Louis is 4th on the power play and kill in the remaining field of 8 teams.

Colorado was lethal on the power play in their first round series. The Avalanche have capitalized on 7 of their 16 power play opportunities, which is a 43.8 percent success rate. Colorado gave up 3 power play goals on 13 penalties against, which is a 76.9 percent penalty kill. The Avalanche are 1st on the man advantage and 6th on the penalty kill in the postseason.

The Avalanche had the better power play percentage in their first round series, but St. Louis had the better penalty kill. The Blues will need to minimize the penalties taken in this series if they want to knock off the Avalanche. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be the difference on the scoreboard.

Goaltending Comparison

Jordan Binnington will likely start in the crease for St. Louis in this series. Binnington has started in 3 games in this postseason, going a perfect 3-0. He has posted a .943 save percentage and a GAA of 1.67 in those games played. Binnington finished with 25 saves on 26 shots in Game 6’s win against the Minnesota Wild.

Darcy Kuemper is expected to be back between the pipes for the Avalanche to open this series. Kuemper earned a record of 2-0 in his starts before going down with an injury in Game 3. He put up a save percentage of .934 and a 1.63 GAA in those three outings. Kuemper stopped 9 of 10 shots before going down in Game 3 of the first round.

These two goalies will look to start this series out hot. Binnington has been great since stepping in in Game 4 of the first round. He will look to remain perfect in this one. Kuemper was also playing really well before suffering an eye injury. If either goalie can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win in this one.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong throughout this postseason and will look for a big win in this one. The Blues were swept by Colorado in the first round of the 2021 playoffs and will look for some revenge in this series. The Avalanche have been waiting for over a week for this series, which I think could lead to a slow start. If St. Louis can come out fast, I think they can pull off the upset on the road.

Bovada has Colorado listed as a -220 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Avalanche will win this game around 68.8 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with both teams coming off strong first round appearances. The Blues have looked very organized and calm this postseason. As big underdogs, I really like the value on St. Louis.

The Bet
St. Louis Blues
+180
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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