St. Louis Blues vs Minnesota Wild NHL Pick – Game 5

The NHL is set up with another great slate of playoff action on Tuesday night. Four games are up on the board throughout May 10. One of these games will be between the St. Louis Blues and the Minnesota Wild. These two teams have been strong throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 9:30 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

St. Louis posted a record of 49-22-11 during the regular season, which had them in third place of the Central division. The Blues are coming off a big win in Game 4 to tie this series back up and will look to build on that momentum. St. Louis will look to step up early on the road as they look for a pivotal win. I expect the Blues to set the tone early in Game 5.

The Wild put up a record of 53-22-7 throughout the regular season, which had them earn the second seed in the Central division. Minnesota fell behind early in their series, but bounced back before the Blues tied the series back up. The Wild will now look to get their home crowd into Game 5 early as they look for a pivotal win.

These two teams have been strong throughout this series and will look for a huge win as they meet in Game 5. Minnesota will look to tighten up their defense as this series shifts back home for them. The Blues will look to carry momentum in from Game 4. If either team can grab the early lead in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
St. Louis Blues +1 ½ (-220) +120 Over 6 ½ (-105)
Minnesota Wild -1 ½ (+180) -140 Under 6 ½ (-115)

 

Team Data St. Louis Blues Minnesota Wild
Playoff Record 2-2 2-2
Playoff Away/ Home Record 1-1 1-1
Playoff GF/GP 3.00 3.25
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 3.00 3.00
Playoff SV% .898 .907
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .908 .908

Betting Trends

St. Louis Blues

  • 8-4 on Tuesday nights
  • 19-11 against divisional opponents
  • 16-13 after a divisional game
  • 24-16 after a win by two goals or more
  • 31-17 after scoring four goals or more
  • 25-18 against team with a winning record

Minnesota Wild

  • 9-6 on Tuesday nights
  • 15-15 against divisional opponents
  • 19-10 after a divisional game
  • 19-13 after allowing four or more goals
  • 11-7 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 25-18 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up in four games so far. David Perron had three goals and an assist in Game 1, while Ville Husso stopped 37 shots in a 4-0 win for the Blues. Kirill Kaprizov had three goals in the second game as Minnesota bounced back 6-2. Joel Eriksson Ek and Kaprizov both had a goal and an assist in Game 3 as the Wild won 5-1. Perron had two goals and an assist in Game 4 as St. Louis won 5-2.

Special Teams

The Blues have been strong on special teams throughout this season. St. Louis capitalized on 65 of their 241 power play chances in the regular season, which was a 27 percent success rate. The Blues killed off 185 of their opponents 220 power play attempts, which was an 84.1 percent penalty kill. St. Louis was 2nd on the power play and 5th on the kill.

Minnesota was solid on the power play in the regular season. The Wild scored on 53 of their 258 power play opportunities, which was a 20.5 percent power play. Minnesota gave up 63 power play goals on 264 penalties against, which was a 76.1 percent kill rate. The Wild were 18th on the man advantage and 25th on the penalty kill.

These two teams have been solid on special teams throughout the season. St. Louis has been better on special teams in this series as well. The Blues have scored on 5 of their 18 power play chances. Minnesota have capitalized on 2 of their 17 power play attempts. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Jordan Binnington will likely get the start in the crease for St. Louis in this one. Binnington earned a record 18-14-4 throughout the regular season. He posted a .901 save percentage and a GAA of 3.13 in those games. Binnington stopped 28 of 30 shots after stepping into Game 4, which was enough for the win to tie this series up.

Marc-Andre Fleury will get the nod between the pipes for the Wild on Tuesday night. Fleury went 9-2-0 through his 11 starts with Minnesota in the regular season. He put up a save percentage of .910 and a 2.74 GAA in those outings. Fleury has posted a .914 save percentage and a GAA of 2.76 throughout the postseason so far.

These two goalies have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Blues went to Binnington in Game 4 and he came out hot to lead them to the win. Fleury has been solid in the postseason and will look to step up in this one as well. If either goalie can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this postseason and will look for a pivotal win in Game 5. The Wild have been the better team on the season and will look to earn the win at home. St. Louis is coming off a big momentum saving win and I think they will build on it in Game 5. If the Blues can grab the early lead, I think they can get the win.

Bovada has Minnesota listed as a -140 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Wild will win this game around 58.3 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with both teams playing a tight series. St. Louis will look to keep their defensive pressure up in this one. As underdogs, I like the value on the Blues.

The Bet
St. Louis Blues
+120
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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