Bruins vs. Wings Pick – NHL October 15th

The Rangers troubles continued on defense, getting beat down 6-3 against the Islanders last night. I should have taken my own advice and just took the OVER, a bet that will hit regularly in Islanders games. It’s a total 180 for the Rangers so far this season, who were a team that were one of the best defensively a year ago. Henrik Lundqvist doesn’t look like the Lundqvist we know, and it has resulted in what I think is one of the toughest stretches of his career. Not a great start to the season for a team that was within reach of a Stanley Cup in the finals. Lundqvist looked dejected after things unfolded last season, and it has seemingly carried over to this season. Still a long ways to go, though. Lets put it in the past and move on to tonight in a game that will look pretty familiar.

Boston Bruins @ Detroit Red Wings

Same venue, same matchup as a few days ago. I thought it may have been a typo that this game was in Detroit at the Joe Louis Arena, but the Bruins and Wings will square off in Detroit again tonight. The last contest resulted in a 2-1 win for the Wings in their season opener. Dating back to the playoffs of last season this will be the 7th time in 8 games the two have met. I don’t know about you, but if I were a Wings’ season ticketholder I would be getting a little sick of looking at Milan Lucic’s mug. Both teams figure to take a step on offense this season, at least until Pavel Datsyuk makes a return for the Wings this season. They were never really an offensive juggernaut to begin with last season, many games turned into the Jimmy Howard show in net. Howard has an excellent history against the Bruins, owning a GAA of 1.97 over them in his career. So far in 2014 the Wings are averaging just 2 goals allowed per game, while scoring only 2. Both of their games this season have fallen UNDER the number in that 2-1 against Boston, and then a 3-2 loss to the Ducks.

The Bruins have had a tough time finding the back of the net, which may be an understatement. They haven’t eclipsed more than 2 goals yet, and in their last three games, they’ve managed to score just 2 goals. Boston is 4-0 to the UNDER. Combined the UNDER is 6-0 between the Bruins and Wings this year. We shouldn’t have to worry about the B’s defense much this season with Tuukka Rask between the pipes. Rask finished with a 2.04 GAA last season, following up a stellar campaign of a 2.00 GAA. The Bruins were 2nd in the NHL in goals against, allowing only 2.08 goals per game. Familiarity with one another more than often leads to low-scoring games, and given the defensive history of the Bruins and Wings, we should get a game similar to their first meeting this season. The books took off the hook of .5, but I still like the UNDER 5 in this one.

Pick – UNDER 5 GOALS (-105) @ (Best Odds)