Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 3 Pick – NHL May 22, 2022

The Battle of Alberta is in Edmonton for the first time this series at Rogers Place. The Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers split Game 1 and Game 2 at the Saddledome in Calgary. Edmonton is coming off a 5-3 win after erasing an early 2-0 deficit.

Just like in Game 1, the Oilers dug themselves an early hole. The Oilers responded to tie the game up in both games, but it was a different ending in Game 2. The Oilers came back and then took the lead instead of fading away.

The Oilers put a lot of energy into coming back from a quick 3-0 hole in Game 1. They had nothing left to finish the job in the 3rd period, though.

After a 3-3 score going into the 3rd period, the Oilers had the upper hand in the final frame with two unanswered goals. Duncan Keith and Leon Draisaitl both scored twice, while Connor McDavid found the back of the net as well.

The performance of Draisaitl in this series may end up being the difference.

The Flames have the depth advantage on the Oilers. However, if Draisaitl plays up to his expectations, he can turn the tables around a bit. He floated and was largely ineffective against the Kings in the first-round.

Head below for our free Flames vs. Oilers Game 3 pick on May 22, 2022.

Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 3 Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Calgary Flames -1.5 (+200) -115 Over 7 (+120)
Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-240) -105 Under 7 (-140)
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Team Data Calgary Flames Edmonton Oilers
Overall Record 55-25-11 54-30-7
Puckline Record 48-43 44-47
Away/Home Record 26-14-4 30-13-2
Puckline Away/Home 24-20 21-24
Goals Per Game 3.49 3.55
Goals Against Per Game 2.54 3.08
Shots Per Game 36.08 34.14
Shots Against Per Game 28.98 32.92

Flames vs. Oilers Game 3 Prediction:

This is likely going to continue to be a tight series that very possibly comes down to a Game 7. The Oilers seemed to flip a switch and turn a corner in the 3rd period in Game 2, though. That goes for everyone, most important Mike Smith between the pipes.

Smith allowed 3 goals on 10 shots for a 0.70 save percentage in Game 1. He was pulled in favor of backup Mikko Koskinen.

It seemed as if it was going to be another quick exit for Smith in Game 2. He allowed a couple of early goals, and Smith heard voices in his head again. However, Smith stood tall the rest of the way and may have changed the dynamic of this series.

Smith ended the game with 3 goals against on 40 shots for a 0.925 save percentage.

If the Oilers win this series, Smith bouncing back from those two early goals is going to prove to be huge. The Oilers needed him to step up and that’s what they received.

The Flames can’t allow Smith to get comfortable in Game 3. Edmonton is too dangerous offensively at Rogers Place. They don’t need a comfortable Smith and Draisaitl on the ice.

Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 3 Betting Trends:


  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games as a betting favorite
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus the Pacific Division
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on the road
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games as a betting favorite on the road
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games at Edmonton


  • 9-2 overall in their previous 11 games after scoring 5 or more goals
  • 20-7 overall in their previous 27 games at home
  • 17-6 overall in their previous 23 games versus the Western Confernece
  • The home team is 6-1 overall in their previous seven games versus the Flames
  • 6-1 overall in their previous seven games versus the Flames at home

The Oilers have had a lot of success finding goals at Roger Arena. They’ve put in an average of 3.69 goals per game as opposed to less than 3.5 goals a game on the road.

This is why the Flames can’t afford to allow Draisitl to get going. We know that McDavid isn’t slowing down tonight and will be effective.

Edmonton has buried an average of 4 goals per game in their previous ten outings. Jacob Markstrom looked rattled in Game 2 at home, as he was touched up for 5 goals on 40 shots for a 0.875 save percentage.

Going to Rogers Place isn’t the place to go if the Oilers did in fact get into his head. Expect both offenses to succeed in this one, but I like the Oilers to carry over some of their momentum from the 3rd period in Game 2 into Edmonton.

The Oilers look worth considering at this price in Game 3 at home. Draisaitl feeling good is the key, and he was in good shape in Game 2 at the Saddledome. Edmonton at -105 or anything close to even money is good value.


Flames vs. Oilers Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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