Calgary Flames vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Pick – NHL October 28, 2021

The Calgary Flames and Pittsburgh Penguins are scheduled to meet at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday night in Pittsburgh. It should be a good one between two programs playing decent hockey at the moment. The Flames are in the midst of a road trip and having success. They are on a four-game winning streak with four straight wins on the road.

In their most recent outing, the Flames dispatched the New Jersey Devils by a score of 5-3. This was after a 5-1 win the day before against a Rangers team that was playing great before meeting with the Flames. The Flames were able to get it done with a 5-1 win on Monday. They struck early and often versus the Devils in Newark on Tuesday.

The Flames turned on the red light 4 times in the 1st period to score all of the goals they needed. They added a goal in the 3rd period and held on for a 5-3 victory. Daniel Valek was okay between the pipes, but didn’t do anything to overly impress. Valek had 27 saves on 30 shots for a 0.90 save percentage.

Calgary will be fine with that from their backup netminder. Despite playing quality hockey right now, the Edmonton Oilers haven’t been slowing down, so they still trail their Albertan rivals. The Flames are going into Pittsburgh with 9 points, while the Oilers lead the Pacific Division with 10 points. Calgary could have the lead by the end of the night.

They are expected to go back to starting goaltender Jacob Markstrom in this one. Markstrom has been in good form in Calgary this season.

The former Canuck likely won’t stay this hot over the course of the year, but the Flames are enjoying what he’s giving at the moment. The same can’t be said for Casey DeSmith who has been confirmed to get the starting nod for the Pens. Head below for our free Flames vs. Penguins pick on October 28, 2021.

Calgary Flames vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Calgary Flames +1.5 (-265) -104 Over 5.5 (-105)
Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 (+110) -106 Under 5.5 (-105)
Team Data Calgary Flames Pittsburgh Penguins
Overall Record 4-1-1 3-1-1
Puckline Record 4-2 4-2
Away/Home Record 4-1-0 2-1-1
Puckline Away/Home 4-1 2-2
Goals Per Game 3.50 4.00
Goals Against Per Game 2.50 2.67
Shots Per game 35.33 33.00
Shots Against Per Game 29.50 29.33

Flames vs. Penguins Prediction:

Jacob Markstrom has been getting after it between the pipes with strong work through four games in the 2021-22 campaign.

Markstrom has posted a 1.99 GAA and 0.934 save percentage. We don’t have a large enough sample size to say Markstrom is going to be this good, but I’d be surprised if his numbers don’t regress.

Markstrom recorded a 2.68 GAA and 0.904 save percentage in his first season with the Flames last year. This was after a 2.75 GAA and 0.918 save percentage in his final season in Vancouver.

Markstrom has been average against the Penguins in his career. He’s posted a 2.68 GAA and 0.92 save percentage in six starts.

The Penguins have been one of the hottest scoring teams in the NHL to open the season. They are seventh with 4 goals scored per game.

After a 5-1 loss against the Lightning in their most recent outing, which came after a 7-1 win over the Maple Leafs, expect the Penguins to look better offensively. It’s a big IF that Casey DeSmith will show up in the crease, though.


Calgary Flames vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends:

Flames

  • OVER is 6-2-1 in their previous nine games
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games versus the Metropolitan Division
  • OVER is 5-1-1 in their previous seven games on the road
  • OVER is 7-3-1 in their previous 11 games versus the Eastern Conference
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five games on a Thursday

Penguins

  • OVER is 6-1 in their previous seven games
  • OVER is 14-2 in their previous 16 games after losing by more than 3 goals
  • OVER is 6-1 in their previous seven games after scoring 2 or less goals
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four games on a Thursday

DeSmith will look to bounce back after a shaky opening start against the Florida Panthers. He was touched up for 5 goals on 39 shots for a 0.872 save percentage. Some better help from the defense would have been appreciated in that one as well.

The Flames have been looking smooth offensively recently. Everything is clicking for this unit, as they’ve netted at least 4 goals in three straight games with over 4 goals scored per game during that stretch. The Flames haven’t scored at least 3 goals since October 18 versus the Anaheim Ducks. I think at -105 the OVER has to be worth considering on your card.

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Flames vs. Penguins
OVER 5.5