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Canucks vs. Sharks Pick – NHL March 5th

The Vancouver Canucks and San Jose Sharks meet for game 2 of their home and home series. For this matchup, we turn to California, after the Sharks were able to stay hot on the road, with a 3-2 win over the Canucks. Oddly enough, the Sharks are much better playing on the road than they are at home, it’s not even comparable. At home the Sharks are 12-13-1 and on the road they are 23-9-3. Do you get it? Okay, just checking, because I don’t. Maybe there are too many distractions playing in San Jose vs when they go on the road? It is of course the opposite with basically every other team.

But what we have seen with the Sharks is a situation where they would gladly welcome giving home ice advantage to the other team. Can you imagine that, yeah, we know we’re the higher seed but we want to defer our home ice advantage to our competitors. The playoffs are of course not like a coin flip in football, so that is out of the question, but in any event, the Sharks would love to have that option, so it seems.

It certainly will be interesting to see how they do in the playoffs at home and on the road, if the trend continues or not. For now, the Canucks found out the hard way, that the Sharks are a hard team to kill on the road. Now the scene switches to San Jose, where the Sharks look to buck the home trend. Vancouver sports a 13-11-7 record on the road, compared to 11-16-5, so here we are again with a team who are better on the road. Not to the extent of the Sharks, but it is uncharacteristic, nevertheless. This is the late nightcap for the Saturday schedule out west. Let’s get to it and find a winner after taking yesterday off.

Vancouver Canucks vs. San Jose Sharks NHL Pick

As the season deepens, the odds makers are getting better at not handing out generous lines and prices. They get a better feel for the action, as do we. However, the other night, the OVER we cashed in the Flames and Sabres game was off, I feel. The Flames should not be attracting a total of 5 for the rest of the reason, anything under -140 anyways. I have caught on to their defense and goaltending deteriorating and hit a few of those bets. The Sharks were in the same position for a while, totals of 5 every game, yet the Sharks’ offense was pouring the goals in. Just look at their total ratio, they are 35-23 to the OVER this season.

The Sharks are 4th in the NHL, scoring 2.98 goals per game. In their last ten games, they have notched 3.40 goals a game. San Jose typically in the last several years played in a lot of low scoring games. This year has been different, and the books have been late to adjust in my opinion.

The Canucks are 20th in goals against this season, so another instance of a team changing over the past couple of years. In their last ten games, they’ve given up an average of 3.50 goals per game. From February 13th to the 19th the Canucks allowed 5 goals in four straight games! In 80% they have allowed 3 or more goals. The Sharks have been playing well on offense, producing 13 goals over their past three games. I hate the juice associated with this play, but just like the Flames and Sabres game, it’s a bet I don’t think should have a total of 5. The sportsbooks are hoping bettors are going off the name of these teams. The Canucks and Sharks were long associated with low scoring, grind it out style games. In 9-1 of the Sharks last ten games, the total score has reached at least 5. The OVER with a total of 5 is worth a look tonight.

PICK: OVER 5 GOALS (-130)