Capitals vs. Canucks Pick – NHL October 26th

The Sabres finally got their second win of the season by knocking the Sharks off by a score of 2-1. The Sharks have had a miserable start to the season, which came to an apex in their fourth straight loss at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres. The ML was way too high for my taste on the Sharks, I would never play a price like that, so let that be a lesson to anyone that bet it. I can take a -120 loss, but -350 can wreck your bankroll quickly. Trust me, when I was young and just getting into sports betting recreationally I made plenty of dumb bets like that. Moving onwards to Sunday afternoon now. This is a pick for you hockey diehards that prefer puck over the pigskin. I’m a diehard of both, so this is the best time of the year for me personally. With the World Series underway, football, hockey, and basketball just around the corner, it is great for a sports fan.

Our NHL pick takes us to Vancouver for a nightcap with the Capitals and Canucks. I see both of these teams being in the same ballpark talent wise. By the time the end of the season is here, I foresee the Caps and Canucks to be a few points off from one another. The departure of Roberto Luongo and other defensive centerpieces, the Canucks have been forced to reinvent themselves. Once a team that prided itself on defense now needs to make plays on offense. Last season there wasn’t really much of any identity, as they floundered about struggling in 2013-2014. With an improved offense, will it be enough to compensate for the defense?

Washington Capitals @ Vancouver Canucks

Last game was not a formula of success for the Canucks on defense. They got pummelled for 7 goals against an Avalanche team that was struggling until that meeting. It was the second time in three games that the Canucks gave up more than 5 goals in a game. Vancouver is now giving up 3.43 goals per game. 3.43 goals against is 25th in the NHL. In their last four games the Canucks have now allowed 18 goals. They are 20 goals back of the league leading Minnesota Wild. Fortunately the offense has been there for the Canucks. If it wasn’t, I am afraid some heads would currently be turning in Vancouver. As it stands today, the ‘Nucks are averaging 3.17 goals a game, tied for 7th in the NHL with the same team they are playing today, the Washington Capitals. The goals for and goals against leads them to having a high success rate on OVER bets. They’re 5-1 in that regard after a 10 goal outing Friday. Dating back to last season the OVER has cashed at an 8-1-1 rate.

The Caps are coming off a game with the Flames last night (playing as I write this). I don’t expect their legs to be under them after travelling out from the east for this trip. They’ve done considerably well on defense this season, allowing 2 goals per game to their opponents. However, if anything suffers, the defense does on back-to-backs. Note here that the Canucks and Caps have scored 5 or more goals in all of their last ten matchups. Their last meeting was a 4-3 Capitals’ win in March. The Canucks have yet to score less than 2 goals this season. They should figure to test the Capitals’ defense in this game. Nevertheless, will the Canucks anaemic play on the backend be able to hold up? The OVER is the safer bet, both teams are averaging over 6 goals per game combined.  I have a lean on Vancouver here as well.

Pick – OVER 5.5 GOALS (+113) @ (Best Odds)