Capitals vs. Jets NHL Pick – February 27, 2020

The Washington Capitals and Winnipeg Jets will do it all over again on Thursday night following a thrilling meeting on Tuesday night at the Capital One Arena. The Jets completed a furious comeback to erase a 3-0 deficit in Washington. Their opponent got way too comfortable with a lead, and the Jets were able to take advantage of the sloppy play. In any event, the Capitals were still able to get two points out of the contest, as they won in a shootout.

The point that the Jets acquired could return to pretty important, though. They’re in the midst of a wildcard race in the Western Conference, which is totally up for grabs. The Jets are in a tie with the Predators at 70 points for the final wildcard. However, they’ve played three more games than the Preds, so that’s important to realize. The bonus point against the Capitals would have definitely helped, but they’re fortunate to get the single point, and have an opportunity at home on Thursday for two more points.

This has been a so-so campaign for the Jets. As Jekyll and Hyde as they’ve been, the Jets don’t look like much of a threat. That said, there is plenty of talent on this squad, and if they hit the right chord at the perfect time, then the Jets might surprise. That’s going to require Connor Hellebuyck getting hot as well. Maybe we see that come to fruition, but it’s difficult to say with this team. One week they can look like a Stanley Cup contender, and the next a team that doesn’t deserve a wildcard.

Jets’ fans don’t know if their team is coming or going, it’s been that kind of year. They welcome the Capitals on Thursday night with a record of 32-27-6. Recently they’ve been looking like a team who doesn’t deserve a wildcard, but they get credit for erasing a 3-0 deficit on the road against the Capitals. That being said, the Jets are losers in their previous three outings, and have losses in five out of their last eight contests.

If the Capitals get a lead tonight, they’ll likely be on guard to protect it instead of getting disinterested. Fool me once, but I think the Capitals will have learned from their recent mistake. The Capitals hold a 4-point advantage over the Penguins. Pittsburgh is currently down by 2 goals at the Staples Center, so if that holds, the Capitals can build up a 6-point lead with a win in Winnipeg tonight. Head below for our free Capitals vs. Jets pick.

Washington Capitals vs. Winnipeg Jets Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Capitals +1.5 (-210)
  • Jets -1.5 (+175)
Moneyline:

  • Capitals (+110)
  • Jets (-130)
Total Points:

  • Over 6.5 (-115)
  • Under 6.5 (-105)

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Capitals vs. Jets Prediction:

Alex Ovechkin was able to get the 700-goal mark over and done with against the New Jersey Devils. He went five straight games without recording a point before scoring a goal against the Canadiens and Devils. Now that he’s not thinking about that anymore, Ovechkin can focus on getting hot for the playoffs. When Ovechkin gets hot it’s hard to slow him down, and he’s been heating up. Ovechkin has scored a goal in three out of his last four games, so I’d look out for him down the stretch. It’s the last thing the Penguins and the rest of the league need is for Ovechkin to get going.

The Capitals head into Winnipeg with an average of 3.46 goals scored per game on the season. That’s good for top-3 in the league. The Maple Leafs and Lightning are a shade above the Capitals in the goal scoring department. Offence hasn’t been the issue with the Capitals this season, and isn’t going to be something to worry about in the playoffs. They have too much firepower to be concerned with the offence, but they might have an issue in the crease.

Whether Braden Holtby can find the switch for the playoffs remains to be seen. Holtby owns a 3.12 GAA and 0.897 save percentage. He has allowed at least 3 goals in each of his previous four outings. The younger, Ilya Samsonov, has better numbers with a 2.41 GAA and 0.916 save percentage, though he hasn’t been as hot as he was early in the season. Samsonov has yielded 3 goals or more in four of his last five outings. As a team, the Caps have surrendered 3.5 goals per game in their last ten games.

Fortunately the offence has travelled well for the Capitals. They have scored 3.48 goals per game on the road in 2019-20. Unfortunately, the defensive woes still exist on the road, as they’ve allowed 3 goals per contest. Holtby has been off the mark as well, with a 3.19 GAA and 0.897 save percentage outside of Capital One Arena. Expect the final score to look similar to their most recent meeting. This looks like a 4-3 game with the OVER coming in.

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The Bet
OVER 6.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.