Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Pick – December 11

An Original Six Saturday night showdown will take place in Toronto as the struggling Maple Leafs will take on an old rival in the Chicago Blackhawks. An impressive stretch from the Buds has all but faded and injuries have taken their toll. A rare off-night for Jack Campbell will mean Petr Mrazek will be between the pipes for Toronto. The Hawks are scheduled to counter with Kevin Lankinen in goal.

Chicago haven’t gotten off to the start many had hoped for, or were expecting. Injuries, COVID, firings, and a porous defense has really resulted in some struggles. They enter sitting 7th in the Central division, though have rebounded following an awful 1-11 start. Derek King has offered some stability and for the most part this is a fully healthy group. The Blackhawks sit 9-5 across their past fourteen contests, and have the skill to hang with the Leafs.

The Leafs meanwhile have been battling a slew of tough injuries. With all of Rasmus Sandin, Mitch Marner, Travis Dermott, Jason Spezza, and Ilya Mikheyev shelved – this Leafs team has thinned out quite quickly. They’ve been mistake prone on defense, and one-dimensional on the attack. The Leafs were sloppy on Tuesday vs. Columbus and looked awful in a measuring stick game against Tampa Bay. The Leafs of old seem to be returning at the worst possible time!

Though these teams typically don’t play against each other in a regular season, there is surely still some history and rivalry given their Original Six standing. It should make for a fascinating encounter on Saturday night as the Blackhawks look to vault back into a playoff spot over a struggling Toronto side.

For added insight, betting news, trends and analysis – keep on reading beneath the current odds as we look to improve our stellar hockey record with another winning wager. Enjoy this matchup, folks!

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by


  • Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+100)
  • Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 (-120)

  • Toronto Maple Leafs (-250)
  • Chicago Blackhawks (+220)
Total Points:

  • Over 6.5 (+100)
  • Under 6.5 (-120)
Overall Record 18-6-2 10-14-2
ATS Record 13-13-0 10-18-0
Home/Away Record 11-4-1 5-8-1
Goals Per Game 3.1 2.1
Goals Against Per Game 2.5 3.1
Shots On Goal Per Game 34.8 27.7
Shooting % 9.0 7.6

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

Despite the fact that the Chicago Blackhawks had to endure a hellacious start to the beginning of their regular season, they’ve righted the ship in recent weeks. Getting healthy bodies back has cured much of their offensive woes, while their goaltending has returned to form as well. Derek King has provided professionalism behind the bench, and after winning 9 of their past fourteen – this is a talented team that will be thinking about the playoffs.

But Saturday sees them go against an impressive Toronto side, albeit that is currently a shell of themselves based off of their November form. Without key pieces, the Leafs’ depth looks awful. Justin Holl and Jake Muzzin are struggling horribly on their second pair, and Jack Campbell won’t be in goal to bail them out Saturday night. All of that contributes to some confusion on the current moneyline. Toronto are the rightful favourites, but -250 seems awfully steep for a team struggling to score beyond Auston Matthews, and one that only seems to defend well with one pair. Backup netminder Petr Mrazek also doesn’t inspire much confidence, having allowed five goals in a rehab AHL start last week.

Look for the Hawks to prioritize pouncing on the Leafs early, seeking to magnify their issues from Thursday night vs. Tampa Bay. Patrick Kane has rediscovered his scoring touch and his partnership with Alex DeBrincat should give the Leafs some fits in their own zone. Jonathan Toews isn’t the scorer he used to be, but will make the game a difficult one for Toronto’s top line and top center in Auston Matthews.

Don’t be fooled by records, these teams currently are a lot closer than the numbers would indicate. Chicago’s health and depth can wear Toronto down, and this Blackhawks group has the skill to score on an unproven Mrazek.

Leafs vs. Blackhawks Trends To Know:

  • Blackhawks are 16-6 in their last 22 vs. Atlantic.
  • Blackhawks are 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Blackhawks last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-0 in Maple Leafs last 6 overall.
  • Road team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams.
  • Blackhawks are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.
  • Blackhawks are 16-6 in the last 22 meetings vs. Toronto


The Leafs have struggled of late and the betting market has failed to react.  They’ve shown signs of weakness once again, and their defensive play has been porous at best.  Chicago has the skill to exploit that within their top-six and this group should be able to frustrate Toronto.  In a high-scoring encounter, expect the Blackhawks to cover the +1.5 spread.

My Pick
Blackhawks +1.5
All Tags:
blackhawks, leafs
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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