My white-hot stretch with my free NHL picks continued last night with another clean 2-0 night, the second night in a row I accomplished such a feat while I’m now 6-1 over my last seven and +6.82 units during that stretch!
As frustrating as my recent cold streak was, it is nice to get back to the winning side at this rate as we approach a sign-high in units profited.
Last night, I took a pair of road moneyline favorites in the Golden Knights at Calgary (-110) and the Blues at Blackhawks (-135)
The Golden Knights took immediate control of their game in Calgary by building a 2-0 lead through one, a lead they stretch to 3-0 early in the second. While it looked like I would cruise to an easy win, I should have known better.
The Flames made it 3-2 entering the third period where they actually briefly tied the game before Shea Theodore bagged the eventual game winner before Vegas tacked on a late empty-netter in a crucial 5-3 win.
The Blues and Blackhawks also played to a close game, but only one team scored in this one. The game was scoreless after one, just 1-0 Blues after two, but an Alex Pietrangelo insurance marker sealed a 2-0 shutout victory for St. Louis over their Central Division rivals.
All told, the 2-0 night netted us 2.00 units in profit, and we’ll simply put those in the back pocket and move onto this five-game Monday night schedule!
Season Record: 110-93-1
Now let’s dive into this free NHL pick featuring the Coyotes vs. Jets from Winnipeg!
Coyotes vs. Jets Betting Odds
- Coyotes (+111)
- Jets (-123)
- Coyotes +1.5 (-240)
- Jets -1.5 (+200)
- Over 5.5 (+113)
- Under 5.5 (-125)
Coyotes vs. Jets NHL Pick Breakdown
Now let’s check in with each of these clubs before I get into my final pick!
The Coyotes have won two of three and three of five entering this one, but a pivotal 3-2 loss in Calgary their last time out was a big gut punch to their playoff hopes.
While they’re still in the jam-packed race for a Wild Card spot in the west and are just two points behind the Canucks for that spot, there are two teams ahead of them tied with Vancouver while the Coyotes don’t have games in hand on anyone.
One of those teams tied with the Canucks with 76 points are these Winnipeg Jets, so once again we have a crucial clash on our hands tonight in northern Manitoba.
As per usual, the Coyotes will look for their defense to help them win this one tonight.
It’s certainly a strong defense that ranks fifth with 2.72 goals against per game on the road while their road penalty kill sits 14th with a decent 79.3% mark.
That defense will need to stand tough as they just are not scoring enough to consistently win on the road.
The Coyotes have slipped back to 26th with just 2.36 goals per game on the road this season while they’ve averaged just 2.00 goals per game on the road over their last five away from home.
Their road power play hasn’t been too bad at 17th with an 18.5% clip, but all that means is that they have struggled to score at even strength and their 1.89 goals/60 at 5v5 on the road ranks 29th.
Their special teams have been mediocre of late with their power play going 3 for 16 (18.8%) over their last six while their penalty kill as gone 12 for 15 (80%) over that same stretch.
This team has also not been a strong possession team this season.
At 5v5 on the road, the Coyotes rank 23rd with a 47.21% Corsi For%, 27th with a 45.18% Scoring Chances For% and all the way down to 28th with a poor 42.39% High-Danger Chances For%.
Despite losing the scoring chance share by a notable margin, the Coyotes’ goaltenders have been up to the task in posting a .935 Sv% on the road at 5v5 this season, good for the second-best mark in the NHL.
Looking to keep up that good work will be Darcy Kuemper who recently returned from a prolonged injury that kept him out since late December.
Kuemper has put forth a Vezina-like season in 2019-20, posting a 2.19 GAA and .929 Sv% in his 28 outings, but has just a 16-10-2 record to show for it despite those elite figures.
On the road, he’s worked to a eye-popping 2.03 GAA and .932 Sv% in 14 starts, going 10-3-1 in that time.
He’s certainly been sharp since returning, posting a .929 Sv% in three starts, but winning just once. That’s the life as a Coyotes netminder as goal support is few and far between.
The Jets have been one of the more surprising stories of the season this year after seeing their blueline decimated in the offseason. Many had written them off, including myself, but here they in the thick of a playoff race in the west.
The Jets are tied with the Canucks with 76 points, but have played one more game, so they are currently slightly outside of the postseason picture looking in entering action tonight.
They’ll enter this one a confident bunch, however, after beating the Golden Knights by a 4-0 count their last time, winning for the third time over their last four games in the process.
All three of those wins in that four-game stretch have come at home while they’ve allowed just one goal combined between those three wins.
Their home defense now sits ninth with 2.67 goals against per game on the season, although their home penalty kill has scuffled with a 75.9% mark on the season, good for 27th in the league.
Nonetheless, that penalty kill is a perfect 8 for 8 over their last four games at home and is 19 for 21 (.90.5%) over their last 10 games.
The Jets have scored at least three goals in each of their last five games at home, but their home offense hasn’t been good on the whole this season at 24th with 2.86 goals per game on the season.
Their home power play has been good, however, clicking at a 21.6% clip on the season, good for 13th in the league.
That power play has caught fire over their last two games, going 3 for 5 in that time with both games coming at home.
Like the Coyotes, the Jets haven’t been a great possession team this season, either.
At 5v5 at home, the Jets rank 22nd with a 49.48% Corsi For%, 29th with a 47.04% Scoring Chances For% and dead last with a 41.99% High-Danger Chances For%. ‘Not great’ appears to be putting it nicely.
Like the Coyotes, however, the Jets have received excellent goaltending at home with their .926 home 5v5 Sv% ranks them ninth in the league.
Of course, getting the nod tonight is Vezina Trophy candidate Connor Hellebuyck who has had a wonderful seasons once again.
The 26-year-old enters this one sporting a 2.59 GAA and .921 Sv% on the season in his 54 starts and 56 appearances and has outperformed at home where he owns a 2.44 GAA and .924 Sv% in 30 starts and 32 appearances.
Hellebuyck has been on fire of late, posting two shutouts over his last four starts and owns a ..963 Sv% in that time, winning three of the four.
In a game that features some hot goaltending and teams that sport quality defensive numbers, you would think the under looks good.
While I agree that it does, the -125 odds there hurt, and I just don’t feel comfortable enough with a hot Jets home offense going in this one.
While the odds are quite similar, I am more fond of the Jets on the moneyline in this one at -123.
The team is just playing really well right now. They’ve thoroughly handled their last three home opponents, two of which are teams chasing division titles in the Washington Capitals and Vegas Golden Knights.
Over their last five at home, the Jets have outscored their opponents by a 19-6 count. That’s not even close.
Given their 1.20 goals against per game over their last five home games, I find it difficult to see the NHL’s 26th-ranked road offense getting much going in this one against a white-hot Hellebuyck.
I think the Jets keep rolling tonight in a crucial matchup with the Coyotes, so give me the home side on the moneyline.