It was another beautiful night with last night’s free NHL picks as I went 3-1 and gained some more profits on what was a productive week with my picks.
The first winner came between the Buffalo Sabres and Nashville Predators. I had the Sabres to win as notable +128 home underdogs. While they trailed 1-0 and 2-1 in this game, they ended up holding a 3-2 lead before taking a 4-3 lead late into the third period. They were able to hold on and give us a nice home underdog winner for the second time this week.
At about the same time, the Islanders and Panthers were playing to a low-scoring affair, as expected. It was a scoreless first period, but two early second-period goals from the Islanders followed by a Panthers goal midway through the second period had me a little nervous. That said, the second half of the game saw just an empty-bet goal and we cruised to the under 6 in a 3-1 Isles win.
Our final winner of the night was an easy one as the Coyotes trounced the Blackhawks. They build a 3-0 first-period lead and never really looked back in an eventuak 5-2 win that gave us a winner at -146 odds.
Our final pick of the night took the lone loss of the night. The Maple Leafs actually took a 2-1 lead into the third period in Calgary, but three Flames goals in the first three minutes of the third was devastating for our pick and a 4-2 Flames final took us a back a notch on the night.
Still, I’m not going to argue with a 3-1 night, ever, so let’s put that in our back pocket and look to Friday night’s small two-game NHL schedule!
Season Record: 51-42-1
Now let’s take a look at this free NHL pick featuring the Devils vs. Avalanche from the Pepsi Center in Colorado!
Devils vs. Avalanche Betting Odds
- Devils (+205)
- Avalanche (-230)
- Devils +1.5 (-120)
- Avalanche -1.5 (+100)
- Over 6.5 (+104)
- Under 6.5 (-115)
Devils vs. Avalanche NHL Pick Breakdown
Now let’s take a look at each of these teams before getting into my final pick!
It hasn’t been a pretty scene with the Devils of late as they will carry a six-game losing streak into this one tonight after dropping the first game of their three-game road trip by a 2-0 count in Dallas on Tuesday.
The improvement on the back end was a moral victory, however it came against the NHL’s 27th-ranked home offense as the Devils have still been shredded on the back end of late and on the season as a whole.
Over their six straight losses, the Devils have allowed an average of 4.17 goals per game, a number that sits well above the 30th-ranked 3.57 goals per game they’e allowed this season.
However, their defense worsens on the road where they also rank 30th with 3.86 goals against per game while their road penalty kill ranks 25th with a 74.5% mark.
The penalty kill is actually a clean 11 of 11 over their last two games, but also allowed a goal in each of their four previous games and will be in big trouble if they continue their parade to the sin bin in this one tonight.
the Devils are 5-9-0 on the road this season, and it’s not hard to see why.
They are being outshot by an average of 4.1 shots per game on the road where their 35 shots against per game ranks 29th in the NHL.
It appears they’ve made things rather difficult on their goaltenders away from home this season and they haven’t responded well with a 26th-ranked .890 Sv% on the road and a 26th-ranked .901 mark at 5v5.
Tonight marks the first end of back-to-back games for the team as they will play in Arizona tomorrow night. However, we have indeed received confirmation on their goaltender tonight as Louis Domingue has been confirmed as the starter in Colorado.
Domingue’s tenure in New Jersey began well after a promotion from the AHL, but it’s been downhill ever since.
In the NHL this season, Domingue has been blasted to the tune of a 4.19 GAA and .858 Sv% in four starts and five appearances.
Furthermore, he’s been obliterated in each of his last two starters, allowing a combined 11 goals in only 78:39 worth of time in the crease and owns a .788 Sv% in that time. It’s important to note that both starts came on the road.
His lone quality outing of the season came against the NHL’s worst offense in a 5-1 in at home against the league-worst Detroit Red Wings back on November 23rd.
The Avalanche saw a six-game winning streak snapped by the Flames earlier in the week, but they got right back on the right track with a 3-1 win over the Flyers just two nights later.
The team recent received both Mikko Rantanen and Gabriel Landeskog both into the lineup after extended absences for each while Nazem Kadri and Andre Burakovsky have also both returned after brief ailments.
As a result, this Avalanche offense is fully healthy and among the most dangerous in the NHL.
Despite missing Rantanen and Landeskog for at least 15 games each, the Avs are tied for first with exactly 4.00 goals per game on home ice this season.
Their power play has managed a 23.6% clip at home despite the injuries, good for 11th in the NHL.
Defensively, they actually haven’t been great at home where they’ve allowed 2.93 goals per game to rank 19th while their 76.7% mark on the penalty kill at home ranks 25th.
However, their advanced numbers remain good across the board on home ice at 5v5.
Their 51.76% CF% ranks 12th, their 53.97% SCF% ranks 13th and their nice 56.81% HDCF% ranks eighth.
Again, these marks despite missing two of their three best forwards for almost half the season.
Getting the nod in goal tonight will once again be Pavel Francouz who continues to relieve Philipp Grubauer who is dealing with a groin ailment at the moment.
However, Francouz has delivered excellent goaltending in his time as the team’s No.1 netminder.
For the season, the late-blooming Francouz owns a 2.37 GAA and .927 Sv% across 11 starts and 13 appearances while he’s put together a 2.14 GAA and .934 Sv% across three starts and four December appearances.
He is coming off an excellent outing against the Flyers in which he turned aside 32 of 33 shots in earning his third win over his last four outings.
If you haven’t taken notice already, I am heavily on the Avalanche here and I am going to take them on the puckline (-1.5) at what I believe are attractive +100 odds.
I mean, there’s just nothing to like about this New Jersey Devils team right now.
They’re tied for last with 2.00 goals per game on the road, owns the league’s 30th-ranked road defense where their possession numbers are among the worst in the league.
Their road penalty killing stinks and their road power play ranks 23rd.
The Avs, on the other hand, share the NHL lead in terms of home offense, have a quality home power play and have won six of their last seven compared to New Jersey having lost six in a row.
There’s also the severe goaltending advantage in Colorado’s favor as Domingue has been brutalized over his last two outings – both on the road.
If this doesn’t happen, then so be it, but I’m not thinking twice about taking the Avs on the puckline tonight.