Our GPP lineup didn’t deliver last night despite our top stack’s team scoring five goals on the night.
Unfortunately, none of the five goals came from our three-man stack of Maxi Domi, Jonathan Drouin or Shea Weber. Utterly disappointing considering their performance on Tuesday against the same Senators club.
Our three-man Flyers stack combined for just one assist on the Flyers’ three goals on the night.
The Coyotes scored just two goals, and unfortunately none of them were scored by our mini-stack of Nick Schmaltz and Clayton Keller.
Lastly, our goaltender didn’t deliver on his GPP upside as the Avalanche got four goals past Roberto Luongo, the only time he’s allowed more than two goals in a home start this season
Certainly not a great nice with the GPP picks, so let’s move onto tonight’s four-game slate!
C – Tyler Seguin (DAL) – $6,900 vs. SJ
The Stars and Sharks get together tonight in Dallas, and the Stars get a nice matchup as a result as San Jose has not been any good defensively away from home this season. Entering tonight’s game, the Sharks rank 23rd with 3.53 goals against per game on the road, a shocking number considering the talent level involved. As a result, Seguin should be able to deliver on his super-high floor tonight that has included eight goals, 26 points and a whopping 120 shots on goal so far this season. The goals are going to start to come in bunches for Seguin as his tiny 6.7% shooting percentage is miles under his 11.1% career mark at this point in the season. I always like his upside at home as Seguin has five goals and 15 points in 13 home games this season, so give me the 26-year-old star in this favorable home matchup this evening.
C – Bryan Little (WPG) – $3,900 vs. STL
Little is enjoying somewhat of a bounce back season this year and he plays on a line with one of the top goal scorers in the world, so I am digging his value upside tonight as he and the Jets take on the visiting St. Louis Blues. The Blues are actually a little bit better defense on the road where they’ve allowed 3.18 goals against per game, but that still ranks just 18th in the league. Furthermore, this Blues team is without Alex Pietrangelo on the blueline, their ice time leader, meaning they could be a little more vulnerable than normal in this one tonight. Little enters play with five goals and 15 points in 27 games this season to go along with 46 shots on goal. He is the team’s second line center at even strength and also skates on the second power play unit as he kicks off a Jets mini-stack in this lineup tonight.
W – Jamie Benn (DAL) – $6,500 vs. SJ
Benn has sported a hot hand as of late, so I will take him over the more expensive Radulov in this three-man Stars stack tonight. Benn enters play this evening with 12 goals and as many assists for 24 points in 28 games to go along with 75 shots on goal. That said, he’s been extremely productive as of late with a goal in three straight games and five goals over his last six games, chipping in a pair of assists in that span as well. Furthermore, Benn has three goals and two assists over his last three games and has two multi-point games over that stretch as a result. Benn has been slightly more production at home where he’s notched 12 points in 13 games. Given the Sharks’ poor defense on the road and Benn’s hot hand, I like the upside of himself and Seguin who skate together in all situations for the Stars.
W – Patrik Laine (WPG) – $7,500 vs. STL
Laine has cooled off some since his dominance in the month of November as he’s been held off the scoresheet for three straight games to open December. Of course, we could have seen this coming considering he scored 13 (!!!) goals over the final six games of the month of November. Still, you have to like his upside on getting back on the scoresheet in this favorable matchup against the Blues. I noted the Blues’ defensive numbers above under Little, but let’s also consider that the Jets are tied for seventh in terms of home scoring with 3.57 goals per game at Bell MTS Place, but also with the league’s best home power play with a whopping 36.1% clip. Much of that success has to do with Laine as he has scored 10 power play goals already this season, well on his way to last season’s mark of 20, which led the league. There’s a reason why he is the top-priced winger on this slate.
W – Nick Ritchie (ANH) – $4,200 vs. CAR
The Ducks were one of the league’s worst offensive teams for a long time, but they’ve picked it up of late with 3.6 goals per game over their last five and 10 goals over their last two, so I am going to roll out a reasonably priced three-man stack in this one tonight against the visiting Hurricanes. Ritchie has been productive this season with four goals and 10 points in his 15 games played, but much of that production has been over the last 10 games where he has tallied nine of those 10 points. He’s not a big shot-on-goal guy with just 19 shots in 15 games this season, but he’s fared well on the second line and the second power play unit this season, so I will kick off a three-man Ducks stack with the 23-year-old power forward tonight.
D – Gavin Bayreuther (DAL) – $4,000 vs. SJ
I’ll complete this three-man Stars stack with Bayreuther who has come up and taken the place of Miro Heiskanen as the lone defenseman on the Stars’ top power play unit. It’s been a successful stint for the 24-year-old to this point as he’s scored two goals and added three helpers for five points in 10 games to this point. Two of those five points have come on the power play. Prior to his call up to the NHL, he notched five points in seven games with the Stars’ AHL affiliate, so we know the 24-year-old blueliner has the offensive upside, and I like that upside considering the price here and the fact that he is skating with the best players the Stars have to offer on that top power play unit.
D – Brandon Montour (ANH) – $4,700 vs. CAR
Next up in the Ducks stack is Montour who, like Bayreuther, is the lone defenseman on the top power play unit. Montour bagged a goal in the Stars’ win over the Blackhawks on Wednesday, just his third of the year, but he also had added 10 assists in 30 games this season. He was held pointless in four straight prior to Wednesday, but Montour also racked up a goal and five assists in a four-game stretch prior to that. Obviously, we’re hoping that he has kickstarted another point streak with the goal against the Blackhawks. With Cam Fowler sidelined, Montour has been logging upwards of 25 minutes a night on a consistent basis, and let’s keep in mind he has solid peripherals in the form of 56 shots and 46 blocked shots on the season. A nice player at a nice price for sure.
G – Mikko Koskinen (EDM) – $7,900 vs. MIN
Keep an eye on who starts for the Oilers tonight as Koskinen could simply be replaced by Cam Talbot at this same price if Talbot gets the nod for his second straight start after winning Wednesday in St. Louis, his first since way back on October 28th. For now, I’ll speak to Koskinen who took over for the struggling Talbot and has produced a stout 2.23 GAA and .925 Sv% across 12 starts and 13 appearances this season. Over his last five starts, the Finn has allowed two goals or less four times and one goal or less twice. He’s been unbelievable at home in five starts and six games where he’s posted an eye-popping 1.07 GAA and .966 Sv%. Those stats may very well get him the start tonight considering Talbot has struggled badly on home ice this season, but either way, I am liking an Edmonton netminder tonight. The Oilers have allowed just 2.38 goals per game under Ken Hitchcock in eight games, and they’ve allowed just three goals combined while winning three in a row at home, so I’ll take the Oilers’ netminder with Edmonton listed as -115 favorites in this one tonight.
UTIL – Adam Henrique (ANH) – $4,000 vs. CAR
Like his linemate Ritchie, Henrique has been on fire lately too with the same nine points over his last 10 games. While he forms a stack with Ritchie and Montour at even strength, Henrique will indeed team up with Montour on the Ducks’ top power play unit tonight against the Canes. He’s also been a lot like Ritchie in the sense that he doesn’t take a whole lot of shots on goal with only 37 shots in 30 games, so the floor isn’t overly high. That said, the value upside is high at this price, and he’s been delivering plenty of that value of late. On a suddenly high-scoring Ducks offense, Henrique, Ritchie and Montour are a more than reasonably-priced stack tonight, and I’ll take that as a complement to the high floor of the Stars stack in this lineup tonight.