I didn’t manage to get a DraftKings NHL DFS Picks out for Sunday’s games, however our most recent picks on Saturday didn’t do too well.
The day actually got started on a solid note as Sebastian Aho and Justin Williams teamed up for a goal while Justin Faulk chipped in a couple of shots and a block.
That said, it was all downhill from there. John Tavares, Mitch Marner and Zach Hyman were all held very much in check, yielding very minimal results.
Our Avalanche mini-stack wasn’t much better despite Colorado winning that game 3-2 in overtime. Tyson Barrie and Alexander Kerfoot combined for just 3.5 fantasy points in that one.
Finally, our goaltender Frederik Andersen wasn’t nearly as sharp in Game 2 as he allowed four goals while facing another hefty workload, although he still made 37 saves in the 4-1 defeat.
Let’s put an ugly night behind us and move onto tonight’s identical four-game slate!
C – Auston Matthews (TOR) – $6,800 vs. BOS
The series between the Maple Leafs and Bruins is now even as it switches to Toronto for tonight’s Game 3. Game 2 was a much different game than Game 1 as the Bruins greatly held the Maple Leafs in check and as mentioned, the John Tavares/Mitch Marner combination was a non-factor. As a result, I am going to get out of the Patrice Bergeron stranglehold and go with the Auston Matthews line for this one as they should get a more favorable matchup in this one tonight. Matthews has been held off the scoresheet in the series, but he has skated more than 20 minutes in each of the first two games of the series, likely because he is getting a more favorable matchup. He’s also fired eight shots on goal in the two games and has also hit a goal post, so it’s not like he isn’t getting his chances. He scored 37 goals in just 68 games in the regular season while he had 73 points in that time as well as a whopping 251 shots on goal, good for 3.7 shots per game.
C – Sebastian Aho (CAR) – $5,800 vs. WAS
The Hurricanes are in a hole heading home for tonight’s Game 3 after a heart-breaking overtime loss in Game 2 after tying the game late in the third. That said, the building in Raleigh is going to be nuts for this one tonight and I’m not sure the Capitals road defense is equipped to weather the storm in tonight’s Game 3. I am well aware of Braden Holtby’s ability to slam the door in the postseason, whether it be at home or on the road, however the Capitals ranked 21st in road defense in the regular season with 3.34 goals away from home while they were a top-10 home defense. Carolina was actually one of the very best offenses in the second half of the season and scored three on the road on Saturday. Aho scored one of those three goals after tallying 30 of them in the regular season. He easily has the highest ceiling of any Hurricanes player and I have a ton of confidence that he will be all over it tonight. I think he can deliver big-time value at a sub-$6K price tonight.
W – Kasperi Kapanen (TOR) – $4,000 vs. BOS
Kapanen has been a difference-maker in the postseason before and has a history of being clutch dating back to his Gold Medal-winning overtime goal in the World Juniors a few years back. As a result, I think he is going to do something special in this series and let’s look for that to be tonight alongside Matthews on the Maple Leafs’ second, or 1B, line. He has elite speed and used his speed to score 20 goals and 44 points in 78 games as well as firing 174 shots on goal in that time in the regular season. Kapanen slides down to the second power play unit, however he can possibly get us some bonus shorthanded points in this one as he scored a pair of shorthanded goals in the regular season and the Bruins have allowed a whopping 16 shorthanded goals this season including Mitch Marner’s shorthanded penalty shot goal in Game 1. His ice time dipped in Game 2, but I think he comes back with a purpose in tonight’s Game 3.
W – Andreas Johnsson (TOR) – $3,600 vs. BOS
Completing our three-man Maple Leafs stack is Johnsson who enjoyed an impactful Game 1 but struggled in Game 2 like most of his teammates. Johnsson had a very similar regular season to Kapanen in his rookie year as he tied him with 20 goals while falling one point short of his linemate with 43 points, albeit in five less games with 73 games played on the year. Johnsson fired five shots on goal in 17:52 of ice time in Game 1, but had just one shot in only 10:41 of ice time in Game 2. That said, his ice time is almost certain to increase substantially tonight. Not only is he going to skate on a line with Matthews and Kapanen at even strength, but expect Johnsson to get promoted to the Maple Leafs’ top power play unit with Nazem Kadri suspended for this one tonight. Skating alongside the likes of Matthews, Tavares, Marner and Morgan Rielly on that man advantage could have Johnsson delivering some huge value at an attractive price tonight. Finally, we need to mentioned that 16 of Johnsson’s 20 goals came at home while he had 31 points in 37 home games compared to just four goals and 12 points in 36 road games this season.
W – Teuvo Teravainen (CAR) – $5,200 vs. WAS
Like I said on Saturday, there is always a choice to make if you are going to roster a winger alongside Sebastian Aho. While Nino Niederreiter is a good choice on the top line, I am on Teuvo Teravainen tonight as it appears he has replaced Justin Williams on the Hurricanes’ top line tonight while he will skate with Aho on the Canes’ top power play unit as well. It was a career-year for Teravainen this season, as his 76 points blew past his previous career-high of 64 set just last season. He didn’t register a career-high in goals, but still potted 21 goals on 167 shots on goal. I just love the upside that the Aho/Teravainen combination can bring to the table at mid-range prices tonight. Teravainen was a hair better than a point-per-game player at home this season with 12 goals and 42 points in 41 home games compared to nine goals and 34 points in 41 road contests. He skated a whopping 22:38 in Game 2 and look for him to see a similar mark in tonight’s Game 3.
D – Justin Faulk (CAR) – $4,800 vs. WAS
I will once again complete a three-man Hurricanes stack with Faulk. As long as he is the blueliner quarterbacking the Hurricanes’ top power play unit with Aho and Teravainen, he is going to be my choice on the Canes’ blueline over Dougie Hamilton. Faulk is being used a ton by head coach Rod Brind’amour as he logged 26:10 worth of ice time in Game 1 and another 27:58 in Game 2, although Game 2 went into overtime, but he still logged a ton of regulation ice time as well. There’s no reason to expect a notable decrease in his ice time, especially since he is the man on the blueline on the aforementioned power play unit. He has an assist, five shots and a pair of blocks through the first two games of the series, but I am looking for Faulk to get on the scoreboard tonight in the form of a goal. He has a cannon from the point and scored at least 11 goals for the fourth time in five seasons this year, so let’s look for Faulk to get closer to his ceiling at a reasonable price tonight.
D – Tyson Barrie (COL) – $5,300 vs. CGY
I have rostered Barrie in both games of Colorado’s first-round series against the Flames, and I am going to do so again in this one tonight. He hasn’t exactly rewarded my confidence in him to this point as he has been held off the scoresheet in each of the two first games of the series while notching five shots and three blocked shots. Still, there’s plenty of cross-category upside with Barrie and I need to stick with him as the series switches to Colorado for tonight’s Game 3. Barrie was red-hot down the stretch of the regular season and finished with 14 goals for the second consecutive season while he had 59 points and 218 shots on goal across his 78 regular season games played. Barrie also blocked 93 shots to boot. Barrie is is once again going to quarterback the Avs’ 12-ranked home power play from the regular season in hopes of scoring Colorado’s first power play goal of the series. I really like his chances of finding the scoresheet for the first time in the series to kick off a mini-stack tonight.
G – Ben Bishop (DAL) – $7,500 vs. NSH
The Stars and Predators unsurprisingly played a couple of close games in Nashville to open the series, and tonight I am expecting more of the same as I will for the entire series. That said, Ben Bishop has been so good this season and has been simply lights-out on home ice as I think he brings the most shutout upside of any goaltender into this slate tonight. He’s posted a .946 Sv% across the first two games of the postseason after posting an eye-popping 1.98 GAA and .934 Sv% across 45 starts and 46 regular season appearances. He was injured often in the regular season, but his light workload could have him feeling quite fresh for a potential playoff run. At home in the regular season, all Bishop did was put together a 1.90 GAA and .937 Sv% to accompany his 17-7-2 record. The Preds were just the 19th-ranked offense in the regular season and they also had the NHL’s worst power play at a measly 12.9%. The Stars are slight -120 favorites in this one, giving Bishop solid win upside, but I am looking to hit a home run with a shutout in this one giving his work at home this season.
UTIL – Nathan MacKinnon (COL) – $7,000 vs. CGY
If you have followed my DraftKings NHL DFS Picks throughout the season, I have usually completed my lineups with a value player in the utility spot, most likely with a value second defenseman. That certainly is not the case tonight. MacKinnon and Barrie bring a ton of upside into this one as well as high floors and sky-high ceilings. MacKinnon scored the OT winner in Game 2 with a beauty top-shelf wrister on his seventh shot on goal. He now as a goal on 12 shots in the series, and we can expect the high shot total to continue in this tonight considering MacKinnon ranked first in the NHL with a whopping 365 shots on goal. Patrick Kane’s 341 ranked second. MacKinnon scored 20 goals and added 42 helpers for 52 points across 41 games in the regular season this year, slightly better than his 47 points in 41 road games. I feel fantastic that we have been able to fit so much firepower into this lineup tonight.