We hit some good picks with last night’s DraftKings NHL DFS Picks, however it wasn’t enough to get into some cash.
Our three-man Panthers stack did some damage as both Aleksander Barkov and Evgenii Dadonov scored goals in the Panthers’ 3-2 overtime win over the Sabres, however Mike Hoffman was left off the shoresheet on a rare occasion this season.
Our second three-man stack was not as productive. Despite facing the league’s worst home defense, the L.A. Kings low-scoring offense managed just one goal, and it did not come from Kopitar, Brown or Doughty. In fact, the Kings managed just 14 shots in a brutal display for the NHL’s worst team.
The Ducks mini-stack of Jakob Silfverberg and Brandon Montour unfortunately didn’t get on the scoresheet in another low-scoring 2-1 overtime win over the Hurricanes.
Finally, James Reimer provided us some nice value as he turned aside 22 of 24 Buffalo Sabres shots while notching the win.
Still, it wouldn’t be enough for our GPP-aimed lineup to get into the money, so we will move on to tonight’s jam-packed 10-game main slate!
C – Evgeni Malkin (PIT) – $6,600 vs. PHI
The Penguins return home tonight to take on the rival Flyers, who just so happen to be one of the worst defensive teams in the league this season. The Flyers rank 29th in overall defense with 3.58 goals against per game, and that numbers increases to a whopping 3.73 goals against per game on the road, good for 26th in the league. We also need to mentioned that the Flyers rank 28th in terms of road penalty killing. As a result, I think we are getting a fantastic price on Malkin tonight considering the matchup. Gino Malkin has notched nine goals and 30 points in just 24 games this season, numbers that look scrumptious against this Flyers defense on home ice. The floor is high and the ceiling is astronomical in this one tonight.
C – Colby Cave (BOS) – $3,700 vs. DET
I usually spend up on the center ice positions, but if Cave skates in between Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak as per projected tonight, there is plenty of value to be had against the Red Wings tonight at TD Garden in Boston. Cave is without an NHL point in four games this season and three games last year, however if he continues to center the first line that isn’t going to last long. After all, Cave tallied six goals and 18 points in just 15 games with the Bruins’ AHL team in Providence prior to his promotion, so we know he has some offensive upside, and the Red Wings are a solid target considering their 25th ranking in team defense this season.
W -Patric Hornqvist (PIT) – $5,700 vs. PHI
Keep an eye on Hornqvist’s status as we near lock as he has missed the last few games with a concussion, but has practised in each of the last two days and could very well make his return tonight where he is projected to skate to the right of Malkin at even strength while maintaining that net-front presence on the Penguins’ top power play unit. Hornqvist was red-hot prior to his injury, notching five goals and four assists in his last seven games prior to hitting the shelf. He’s also a high shot total type of player with 67 shots on the season in just 21 games after firing 247 shots on goal last season. In this matchup and with Malkin by his side in all offensive situations, I am loving this play tonight.
W – David Pastrnak (BOS) – $7,600 vs. DET
This guy is going to see some ownership tonight, so this lineup would certainly make more sense as a cash lineup than that of a GPP, however he has huge upside tonight in this matchup against the Red Wings. Pastrnak is among that group vying for the league lead in goals this season as he’s tallied 19 goals on the season to go along with 10 assists for 29 points in 25 games. If the floor wasn’t high enough by those totals, let’s keep in mind that Pastrnak has eclipsed the 100-shot plateau already with 101 shots in those 25 contests, averaging a hair over four shots per game on the campaign. We can afford him, so why not use him in this cash-aimed lineup tonight.
W – Brad Marchand (BOS) – $6,400 vs. DET
Marchand comes at a reasonable price tonight as it seems he has been rather quiet this season. However, that’s not the reality as the has tallied 24 points in 25 games, although he has just seven goals on the season. After three straight pointless efforts, he’s caught some fire lately with a goal and two assists over his last two games. Marchand doesn’t bring a terribly high floor this year with the seven goals on 63 shots, but his current 11.1% shooting percentage on the season is well under his 15.6% career mark, so we can expect an uptick in Marchand’s goal-scoring production as the season moves forward. In this matchup tonight, I am loving the fact that we were able to lock in both Marchand and Pastrnak thanks to the cost-effectiveness of the centerman Cave in this one.
D – Kris Letang (PIT) – $6,500 vs. PHI
He’s the second-highest priced defenseman on this slate, but I am going to pay up for Letang in this one tonight, mostly because the Flyers are one of the worst penalty killing teams in the NHL this season. Of course, this is going to be a three-man top power play unit stack on top of their five-on-five time together. For the season Letang has tallied five goals and 20 points in 23 games while taking a whopping 76 shots on goal in that span. That gives him one of the highest floors among blueliners on this slate, on top of the fact that he is logging 26:01 of ice time per game, a massive amount and among the league leaders. Letang should have little trouble connecting with his teammates above for some offense on home ice tonight.
D – Jake Gardiner (TOR) – $3,500 vs. MIN
We have some high-priced assets in this lineup tonight, so we are going to need to find some value and I believe we have that with Gardiner to lead off a Maple Leafs stack tonight in Minnesota. Gardiner has just one goal and 10 points in 26 games this season, however his shooting percentage is at almost half of his career mark with a current 3.0% mark compared to his 5.8% career shooting percentage. It’s worth noting that Gardiner is the quarterback of the second Maple Leafs power play unit and the Maple Leafs rank fifth with a 28.6% power play on the road this season. The Maple Leafs are also the league’s top-ranked road offense with 4.08 goals per game away from home this season. This is also a homecoming for Gardiner as he is from the state of Minnesota, so let’s look for some home cooking from the veteran in this one tonight.
G – Adin Hill (ARI) – $7,400 vs. STL
This is a little bit of a roll of the dice, but Hill has some upside in this matchup against the Blues tonight on home ice. Hill is coming off a shutout over the Nashville Predators on Thursday night that saw him turn aside all 29 shots he faced for this first career goose egg. While that was his only start this season, Hill actually hasn’t allowed a goal in 95:57 this season after coming in relief in two games prior to the Thursday shutout. The Blues’ offense has been fairly cold of late, and the Coyotes’ defense ranks in a fifth-place tie with just 2.71 goals against per game this season. He should see fairly low ownership on this 10-game slate, but Hill has some nice upside at this price tonight.
UTIL – Josh Leivo (TOR) – $2,500 vs. MIN
Leivo continues to be listed at the minimum price on the league’s best road offense, so I plan on taking advantage once again. The last time we rostered Leivo, which was this past Monday against Boston, Leivo scored his fourth goal of the season and second in as many games. Therefore, here’s a guy that has scored in two of the last three games at the minimum price. He also gets second unit power play time alongside Gardiner where that mini-stack gets formed in this one. He has a tiny floor, but Leivo could provide some serious value to this lineup tonight if he could get on the scoresheet at what will be minuscule ownership tonight in Minnesota.