Another entertaining weekend of NHL hockey is in the books as we flip to a fresh slate this week to kick off our first full week of the month of December.
There is a small three-game slate on this Monday evening, but there’s still some money to be made.
Let’s make sure we get our hands on some of those profits with tonight’s DraftKings NHL DFS Picks!
C – Tyler Seguin (DAL) – $7,200 vs. EDM
Tyler Seguin could very well have the highest floor on this slate in a matchup against the visiting Oilers, and a quick glance at his home/road splits would confirm that. Seguin enters tonight’s contest with eight goals and 26 points on the season, with five goals and 15 of those points coming in his 12 home games this season. Seguin also ranks second in the NHL with 115 shots on goal, but has just eight goals to show for it. That 7.0% shooting percentage is well under his 11.1% career mark, so we can expect to see some goals come in bunches for the veteran pivot sooner rather than later. The Stars are tied for sixth in home offense this season with 3.58 goals per game at American Airlines Center this season while their home power play is tied for 10th at 22.9%. Seguin kicks off a three-man Stars stack in this one tonight, a stack that will skate together at even strength while two thirds of it will also remain on the top power play unit together.
C – Calle Jarnkrok (NSH) – $4,000 vs. BUF
The Sabres have lost a pair of consecutive games after winning 10 in a row and they have allowed eight goals over their last two games as things begin to even out for the upstart Buffalo squad. I think the Predators could get to the Sabres for some more offense tonight on home ice, so another three-man stack is coming your way beginning here with the center Jarnkrok. With Viktor Arvidsson and Kyle Turris both sidelined with injuries at the moment, Jarnkrok’s role is expanding as he will center the Predators’ second line while he is also projected to skate on the top power play unit. He has six goals and 10 points in 24 games on the season, but the 27-year-old has logged at least 18:37 of ice time in each of his last two games. Don’t expect a high floor from Jarnkrok as he has just 27 shots on goal this season in those 24 games, but he is also going to skate with rookie Eeli Tolvanen on the second line, so he is surrounded by some of the Preds’ best offensive players at a cost-efficient price tonight.
W – Jamie Benn (DAL) – $6,700 vs. EDM
The Oilers are allowing 3.43 goals per game on the road this season to rank 21st in the league, so I have high hopes for the Seguin/Benn duo on home ice tonight. Benn is having a fairly standard season by his measures as he’s tallied 11 goals and 12 assists for 23 points in 27 games this season to go along with 72 shots on goal. That said, he enters this one sporting a hot hand tonight as he’s tallied four goals and two assists over his last five games and has back-to-back multi-point games under his belt as well. Let’s also keep in mind that the Oilers are ranked 23rd with a 75% mark on the penalty kill away from home this season, so I would expect some damage at both even strength and on the top power play unit from Benn tonight while he will be skating with Seguin in both of those scenarios this evening. He’s got the hot hand, so I don’t see any reason to fade the former Art Ross winner in this matchup at home tonight.
W – Jason Spezza (DAL) – $4,300 vs. EDM
Spezza is projected to skate on the Stars’ top line alongside Seguin and Benn tonight while he should give us exposure to both Dallas power play units where he is projected to skate on the second unit for this one against the Oilers. He’s having a much better season this year with five goals and 15 points in 27 games after posting just eight goals and 26 points in 78 games a season ago. Unlike Benn, Spezza has been rather cold at the moment as he’s notched just one goal and one point over his last six games, however the shift to the top line should help his production, at least for this matchup tonight. He doesn’t bring a high floor to the table himself, but the help of Seguin and Benn could have him delivering some nice value on this $4,300 price tonight.
W – Eeli Tolvanen (NSH) – $4,400 vs. BUF
With a couple of injuries to top six forwards, Tolvanen could be an important piece for then Preds over the next few weeks and he showed us a glimpse of what he is capable of in his season debut against the Blackhawks on Saturday. It didn’t take long for Tolvanen to make a difference as he posted a goal and an assists in the Preds’ 5-2 triumph over the Hawks over the weekend. He lined up with Jarnkrok down the middle but he also saw second unit power play time, so we will get exposure to both Predators power play groups tonight. The 2017 first-round pick hasn’t quite lit the world on fire in the AHL this season with just four goals and 11 points in 21 games, but the skill level is there to be an impact player at the NHL level despite some subpar results in the minors so far. Head coach Peter Laviolette is going to give this kid a chance to produce and I am looking for that to take place again tonight as part of this three-man Predators stack.
D – Roman Josi (NSH) – $6,200 vs. BUF
He’s the most expensive blueliner on the board but he carries a very high floor and a high ceiling into this matchup tonight. Josi has notched five goals and 18 points in 27 games this season, but he has also fired a whopping 102 shots on goal so far, the highest number among NHL defensemen so far this season. Josi will form a three-man stack with Jarnkrok and Tolvanen at 5v5 play while he will also form a mini-stack with Jarnkrok on the Predators’ top power play unit as they go up against the league’s 19th-ranked road penalty kill this season. Nashville snapped a two-game scoring slump where they scored just two combined goals against the Avalanche and Coyotes with that 5-2 outburst over the Blackhawks on Saturday, marking the fourth time in their last seven home games where they’ve scored at least four goals. Let’s keep the goals coming in this one tonight.
D – Sami Vatanen (NJ) – $4,600 vs. TB
The Devils and Lightning get together tonight in a rematch of last year’s first-round series that saw Tampa Bay knock the Devils out in five games. Vatanen has taken the spot of defenseman Will Butcher as the only blueliner on the top power play unit, and I will use that to my advantage tonight against a Lightning team that has struggled on the penalty kill away from home again this season with a 73.8% mark, good for 25th league-wide. They are also right about in the middle of the pack with 3.17 goals against per game on the road this season while the Devils are tied for sixth with the Stars at 3.58 goals per game on home ice this season. Vatanen has just one goal in 22 games, but also nine assists while they one goal indeed came on the man advantage. With five points in 10 home games and 3.2 shots per game at home, I like the upside of the 27-year-old in a sneaky-good matchup with the Lightning tonight.
G – Pekka Rinne (NSH) – $8,300 vs. BUF
We used Rinne and described him as safe last week, and the Predators were promptly beaten 3-0 by the Coyotes in their own barn. Still, Rinne seems like one of the safer options on this three-game slate as he takes on the visiting Sabres. After all, Rinne enters tonight’s contest sporting a 1.86 GAA and .934 Sv% this season, numbers that aren’t hurting his chances at rattling off back-to-back Vezina Trophies after finishing last year with a 2.31 GAA and .927 Sv%. His numbers are actually slightly better on the road, however I am not about to argue with a 1.92 GAA and .928 Sv% at home across 11 starts. Buffalo’s offense has more than exceeded expectations to this point, but they are in tough against Rinne and co. in Nashville tonight.
UTIL – Marcus Johansson (NJ) – $4,100 vs. TB
Johansson should be a relatively low-owned commodity tonight, but I love the fact that he is projected to skate with Vatanen on the Devils’ top power play unit tonight. He has five goals and 10 points in 23 games on the season, but Johansson also has a goal in back-to-back games and three goals and two assists over his last five games. He’s also fired nine shots on goal over his last two as he appears to be rounding into form after missing all but 29 games of last season due to multiple concussions sustained. He’s logging more and more ice time as well as he’s seen over 18 minutes of ice in two of his last three and three of his last five while skating at least 16 minutes in each of his last five contests. Against a weak penalty killing Lightning team, I think there is room for Johansson to stay hot and give this lineup a bit shot in the arm at projected lower ownership despite the three-game slate.