Last night’s DraftKings NHL DFS Picks were extremely productive and we got some fantastic value across the board.
It began with our three-man Oilers stack as Oscar Klefbom scored the tying goal for the Oilers with less than a minute to go in regulation, a goal that was assisted by Connor McDavid. The trio also combined for nine shots and a block.
The lineup began to take off later in the evening when we got a trio of assists from the Henrique/Ritchie/Lindholm trio to go along with five shots and four blocks.
Our best value of the night came from our Sharks mini-stack where Joe Thornton notched three assists and Marcus Sorensen scored his fifth of the season at a $2,900 price tag.
We also got a win from Cam Talbot in a nice bounce back effort that saw him turn aside 28 of 30 Blues shots and then two more in the shootout, notching his first win since the month of October.
It was a quality three-game slate, so let’s keep it going on tonight’s huge 11-game Thursday night slate!
*Tonight’s lineup is aimed at GPPs*
C – Max Domi (MON) – $6,500 vs. OTT
The Canadiens and Senators renew hostilities for the second time in three nights tonight after Montreal put the boots to Ottawa Tuesday night at the Bell Center in Montreal by a 5-2 count. The Senators have been getting blown up by a lot of players, but Max Domi was instrumental in the Canadiens’ victory on Tuesday as he tallied two goals and an assist after notching just one assist over his previous five games combined. Not only do the Senators rank last in the league in total defense, they rank dead last in defense against the center ice position according to DraftKings. The Habs scuffled on offense over the final four games of November, but have put up five goals in two of three December contests so far, so I will utilize their top two forwards in this favorable road matchup tonight.
C – Nick Schmaltz (ARI) – $4,500 vs. WAS
It appears that Schmaltz is loving his new digs with Arizona as he has been white-hot since being flipped from the Blackhawks after 23 games with his ood club. Schmaltz has tallied two goals and five points in four games with the Yotes after notching just two goals and 11 points in 23 games with the Hawks. He is centering the Coyotes’ top line as well as their top power play unit, so there’s little doubt he has been put in a position to succeed immediately with his new club. While the Coyotes are tied for 28th with just 2.69 goals per game at home, they scored six goals in their most recent home game and are facing a Caps team that has allowed 11 goals over their last two games. Washington also checks in at 26th with 3.69 goals against per game on the road, so I think the white-hot Schmaltz has plenty of opportunity to add to his productive start in his new digs.
W – Jonathan Drouin (MON) – $6,500 vs. OTT
Drouin and Domi teamed up to clobber the Senators on Tuesday, and I have no problem riding the hot hand in the rematch tonight in Ottawa. In three December games, Drouin has tallied a goal and three assists to go along with nine shots on goal. For the season, the second-year Hab has notched 10 goals and 25 points in 28 games, a large jump from the 13 goals and 46 points in he put up across a disappointing first year with the Canadiens. The Senators, at 4.07 goals against per game, are by far the world defensive team in the NHL and Drouin has torched them for four points in two matchups this season prior to tonight’s contest. He skates with Domi at both 5v5 and on the Canadiens’ top power play unit, so I will lock in the former Lightning forward for this one tonight.
W – Clayton Keller (ARI) – $4,900 vs. WAS
Keller and Schmaltz will skate together on the top line tonight as well as the top power play unit, a nice spot to be against of the league’s worst road defenses this season. Keller scuffled a little bit in the month of November but turned it on late in the month when he scored in two of his final three games to November. He has followed that up with a goal and three assists over his last two games, the first two of December. In all, he has three goals and three assists over his last five games, part of his eight goals and 11 assists in 26 games this season. He also has 59 shots on goal in that span. Keller enjoyed quite the rookie season despite skating on a low-scoring offense as he scored 23 goals and added 42 helpers for 65 points in 82 games a season ago. His current pace would put him a little shy of that mark, but Keller has been red-hot since skating with Schmaltz and I’ll look for that to continue at low ownership on this big slate.
W – James van Riemsdyk (PHI) – $4,000 vs. CBJ
I think the Flyers will go a little overlooked tonight on this 11-game slate, but I don’t mind their home matchup against a Blue Jackets team that was blasted for nine goals against in their 9-6 loss to the Flames on Tuesday. A rebound could be in order, but it would be hard to imagine their confidence isn’t a little shook after that display. van Riemsdyk hasn’t had an optimal start to his first season back in Philly, but the former 36-goal scorer has potential in this one tonight as he’s slated to skate on the team’s second line as well as the top power play unit against a Blue Jackets team that ranks 21st in penalty killing this year. Sergei Bobrovsky, tonight’s confirmed starter for Columbus, allowed eight of those nine goals on Tuesday and owns a 3.03 GAA and .905 Sv% on the road, so give me JVR at a valuable price and at tiny ownership tonight.
D – Shea Weber (MON) – $6,500 vs. OTT
Weber gives us a real nice floor on the back end tonight as he’s tallied two goals and three points in four games this season while he’s already fired 14 shots in that span, or 3.5 per game. He certainly hasn’t been eased back into the lineup as Weber has skated just shy of 25 minutes per game so far while 2:39 of that has come on the power play where he forms a three-man stack with Domi and Drouin. Unsurprisingly, the Senators rank last in total penalty killing and 28th in home penalty killing this season, so loading up on the Canadiens’ power play seems like the prudent move in this one. His high shot totals and ability to put points up gives him a high floor, but I’m also liking the ceiling in this one tonight.
D – Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) – $4,900 vs. CBJ
I think we’re getting another high-floor player in Gostisbehere at a reasonable price for this home date with the Jackets tonight. Gostisbehere has notched three goals and 11 points this season, numbers that fall well short of his pace from a season ago where he tallied 65 points in 78 games. Still, the man known as Ghost still has 66 shots on goal and has also blocked 34 to boot. He is the lone defenseman on the top power play unit where he’s scored two of his three goals and tallied seven of his 11 points. He and van Riemsdyk will form a mini-stack on that top power play unit, but this duo will be joined by another Flyer in the utility spot to form a three-man stack that I believe will see relatively low ownership on a big slate with some of the league’s best offensive players included.
G – Roberto Luongo (FLA) – $7,300 vs. COL
This is certainly a GPP look with Luongo as he takes on the Avalanche this evening, a team that is tied with the Maple Leafs with 3.64 goals per game this season, but also the league’s second-ranked road offense, behind Toronto, with 3.82 goals per game this season. That said, I think Luongo has the opportunity to shut the door tonight. After all, he’s coming off a 33-save shutout over the Boston Bruins on Tuesday, an outing that improved his numbers to an eye-popping 1.00 GAA and .967 Sv% on home ice this season. Sure, those numbers are not sustainable, but I can see that we are getting Luongo while he’s hot. He has allowed two goals or less in seven of his 10 starts this season, and his 2.71 GAA and .914 Sv% is skewed by the fact he allowed 16 goals over a three-game stretch in mid-November. He’s allowed just one goal over his last two games combined and the Panthers and Avs are about dead-even odds-wise in this one, so I will roll the dice with the ageless veteran at a valuable price tonight.
UTIL – Wayne Simmonds (PHI) – $4,400 vs. CBJ
Simmonds completes our lineup and our three-man stack for this one tonight. He is listed as day-to-day at the moment, but Simmonds is fully expected to suit up for this contest tonight, and I think he carries value skating with van Riemsdyk on the Flyers’ second line while giving us exposure to the Flyers’ second power play unit as well. Goal-wise, Simmonds is having a decent season with nine tallies in 25 games, a pace that would have him score 30 goals over a full 82-game season. Simmonds has averaged 2:45 on the power play this season, a number that might come down a bit on the second unit, but he is still dangerous regardless of the situation as seven of his nine goals have come at even strength. He’s not going to see much ownership at all, but a big night from the Flyers’ second line would give this GPP lineup a big boost considering the upside of the remaining players in their respective matchups tonight.