It didn’t look good early on but we managed to notch some profits with last night’s DraftKings NHL DFS Picks thanks to a titanic effort from our Flames three-man stack.
It was our most productive stack of the season as Johnny Gaudreau led the way with a whopping six points on eight shots while Sean Monahan added a goal and three helpers to boot. Defenseman Mark Giordano added a pair of helpers as well in the Flames’ 9-4 rout of the visiting Devils.
Our second three-man stack handled themselves well, particularly Evgeni Malkin and Phil Kessel who combined for a goal and three assists, but unfortunately we received just two shots on goal from value blueliner Brian Dumoulin.
Our mini-stack didn’t deliver us much value at all as the Sabres were shutout and our goaltender Jordan Binnington took the loss against the Coyotes.
Still, the effort from the Flames’ trio was enough to get into profit territory and we will look to get there again on tonight’s light three-game slate!
C – Connor McDavid (EDM) – $7,800 vs. NJ
After the Flames put the boots to the Devils last night in the form of nine goals scored, the argument can certainly be made that Connor McDavid is simply unfadable on this slate tonight. McDavid and linemate Leon Draisaitl are both scorching hot entering this one and with the Devils playing their second game in as many nights they are certainly going to be a vulnerable defense in this one. After last night’s shellacking, the Devils now rank 30th with 4.03 goals against per game on the road this season, giving McDavid and co. a big opportunity to produce some offense and get two points closer to that final playoff spot in the west. McDavid enters this one with 34 goals and 98 points in just 65 games on the season and he’s also riding a nine-game point streak into tonight’s contest with a multi-point effort in each of his last five. No second guessing his place in this lineup tonight.
C – Auston Matthews (TOR) – $7,300 vs. CHI
The Maple Leafs are another team with an excellent shot at producing offense tonight as they will welcome the Chicago Blackhawks to town, a team that rank right alongside the Devils at 29th with 3.88 goals against per game on the road this season. In their only other meeting against the Blackhawks earlier in the season, the Maple Leafs put up seven goals while Matthews tallied two goals and two assists in that contest. He can be a streaky scorer, which is why I love this pick tonight as Matthews snapped a five-game goalless drought with a beauty on Monday against the Lightning, so I’m looking for another hot streak to be continued tonight in a very favorable home matchup. For the season he has tallied 31 goals and 61 points in just 55 games to go along with 184 shots on goal. He is certainly a high-floor player tonight with a super-high ceiling and his line is coming at a reasonable cost in this one tonight.
W – Leon Draisaitl (EDM) – $7,400 vs. NJ
Draisaitl has somehow quietly been one of the very best players in the NHL over the last several weeks. He continued a torrid stretch on Monday against the Rangers as he tallied a goal and two assists including scoring the OT winner to give him 15 goals and 13 assists over his last 18 games. He’s been a monster in the month of March so far with three goals and eight helpers for 11 points in just five games. The super-human production reflects that of a bonafide superstar as he and McDavid are the top duo the NHL has going at this moment. He’s now up to 42 goals on the season as he attempts to chase down Alex Ovechkin for the NHL goal scoring title while he’s also tallied 89 points in 69 games to go along with 193 shots on goal. He’s been deadly on the power play as well where he’s scored 16 goals and 28 points on the season, but look out for this duo regardless of the scenario tonight.
W – Andreas Johnsson (TOR) – $4,000 vs. CHI
Johnsson comes to us at an excellent price as he is set to skate alongside Matthews on the Maple Leafs’ second line while Johnsson will also form a second unit power play stack with his other linemate in this one tonight. It’s been a sneaky-good rookie year for last year’s Calder Cup Playoff MVP as Johnsson has notched 19 goals and 37 points in 62 games on the season to go along with 106 shots on goal. Since the All-Star break, Johnsson has been hot with nine goals and 15 points in just 19 games to go along with 34 shots on goal. Furthermore, he has done the vast majority of his damage on home ice this season where he has tallied 15 goals and 27 points in 32 home games compared to just four goals and 10 points across 30 road contests. He snapped a five-game pointless drought with an assist Monday on Matthews’ goal, so let’s look for this duo to get back into the business of finding twine again in this one tonight.
W – William Nylander (TOR) – $3,500 vs. CHI
Nylander’s general lack of production this season is why we see his price so low, but boy does he bring some serious value to the table in this one tonight. With Kasperi Kapanen sitting out with a concussion for this one tonight, Nylander will once again skate to the right of Matthews on the Maple Leafs’ second line while he and Johnsson will form a mini-stack on the Maple Leafs’ second power play unit. He has just 17 points in 41 games on the season at this point, but Nylander also has 10 points over his last 20 games after the All-Star break. Of course, Nylander was suffering from a brutal 2.6% shooting percentage prior to the break, a number that has jumped to 8.9% after. That said, his overall mark of 6.0% on the season is miles below his 10.3% mark for this career, so we should still expect some more puck luck from Nylander moving forward, and tonight would be a good night for that to kick in.
D – Oscar Klefbom (EDM) – $5,600 vs. NJ
You could roster either one of Klefbom or Darnell Nurse for this one tonight, however due to the fact that Klefbom will skate on the Oilers’ top power play unit with McDavid and Draisaitl, I will roll with him in this one. It’s been another injury-plagued season for Klefbom as he looks to find his 2016-17 form when he scored 12 goals as he enters tonight’s contest with five goals and 19 points in 48 games. That said, Klefbom’s peripheral stats are attractive as he’s fired 137 shots on goal and blocked another 86 shots on the season as well. Four of his five goals have come on home ice this season in just 22 games while he scored a goal in his second-to-last game against the Maple Leafs this past Saturday. We caught a bad break when we rostered Klefbom on Monday against the Rangers as he left the game after blocking a shot in the first period, however he is confirmed to be dressing in this one tonight and I love the upside as a result.
D – Troy Stecher (VAN) – $2,800 vs. NYR
In a rare occurrence, we have yet another weak road defense to target tonight as the Rangers enter this one as the league’s 28th ranked road defense, giving us the 30th, 29th and now 28th road defenses to target tonight. We certainly need some value in this lineup given the star power and high-upside players we have above, and I believe we can get that with Stecher. The 24-year-old defenseman has just one goal in 65 games on the season, but also 18 assists for a respectable 19 points and 86 shots on goal as well. Stecher is also averaging exactly one blocked shot per game this season with 65 of them on the campaign. While all that is fine and well, the big reason I like Stecher tonight is his increased ice time. With some injuries on the Canucks’ blueline, Stecher has been logging huge minutes late,y and more than 26 minutes in three of his last four games. He’s also been over 28 on some occasions lately while he’s also the lone defenseman on the second power play unit where he will form a mini-stack with our utility player tonight.
G – Mikko Koskinen (EDM) – $8,100 vs. NJ
The way this lineup shook out you can actually afford Frederik Andersen of the Maple Leafs as the highest-priced goalie on the slate, however I like Koskinen a little more tonight as he has been playing excellent of late and Andersen was touched up for six goals Monday against Tampa Bay. Koskinen has been excellent on home ice this season where he’s put together a 12-6-1 record to go along with a 2.37 GAA and .926 Sv% across 18 starts and 21 appearances. Monday’s win over the Rangers marked the seventh time over the last eight games that Koskinen has produced a save percentage of at least .921 while it was his fourth straight winning decision at home. He owns a stout .948 Sv% across four March starts entering this one tonight and with the Oilers listed as huge -280 betting favorites in this one we have to love his upside to grab another win with plenty of offensive support in front of him.
UTIL – Nikolay Goldobin (VAN) – $3,100 vs. NYR
We have completed our lineup and Canucks mini-stack here with Goldobin who will skate with Stecher on that second power play unit, something that shouldn’t be discounted as the Rangers enter this one ranked 29th on the road on the penalty kill this season at a brutal 75.8%. For what it’s worth, we are targeting the 31st and 29th ranked road kills here in this lineup as Chicago ranks dead last away from home. Back to Goldobin has he is set to skate on the Canucks’ third line with Adam Gaudette and Jake Virtanen, a young line fully capable of scoring some goals tonight. Goldobin has tallied seven goals and 27 points in 60 games on the season to go along with an even 100 shots as well. He has 16 points in 26 home games this season compared to just 13 points in 34 home games. He is also going to improve on his small 7% shooting percentage before the season is out and let’s look for that to start tongiht in a favorable home matchup.