Last night’s DraftKings NHL DFS Picks were mostly disappointing, but it wasn’t because we didn’t have the right idea.
As expected, the Islanders put it to the Canucks and scored five goals on Vancouver in their second game in as many nights. However, our three-man stack mostly did not get in on the action while a guy like Tom Kuhnackl did plenty of damage. We did get a goal from Josh Bailey, however Anders Lee and Ryan Pulock failed to register a point in the route.
Our three-man Panthers stack did a little bit of damage as Aleksander Barkov and Mike Hoffman both tallied assists, but a 2-1 win wasn’t going to get us much more production in this one.
Our low-owned Wild stack also didn’t pay off as Washington enjoyed a rare solid defensive road game in a 5-2 Capitals win.
Our goaltender performed as expected as Thomas Greiss turned aside 22 of 24 Canucks shots and earned the win in a 5-2 victory.
Let’s look for some notable improvement on tonight’s four-game slate.
C – Mark Scheifele (WPG) – $6,900 vs. WAS
The Jets get the Capitals on back-to-back nights tonight on home ice, and I’m liking their chances against one of the worst road defenses in the league despite last night’s effort in Minnesota. Couple that with the fact that the Jets rank sixth in the league with 3.70 goals per game on home ice, and we have ourselves a very favorable matchup here beginning with Scheifele. The Jets’ top pivot has notched nine goals and 19 points across 16 games on the season and has fired 40 shots on goal as well. He’s not a big shot-taker and his 22.5% shooting percentage isn’t going to be a sustainable mark considering his career rate of 15.3%, however he has been a point-per-game player in each of the last two seasons, so we can still expect consistent production from the 25-year-old. It’s also nice to see that he red-hot entering this one as has notched three goals and three assists over his last two games. Given the hot hand and the favorable home matchup, Scheifele looks like a great play in this one tonight.
C – Tyler Bozak (STL) – $4,300 vs. CHI
Like Scheifele, Bozak isn’t a big shot-taker, however he gets a nice matchup tonight against the struggling Blackhawks and gets a nice spot in the Blues’ pecking order as well. He is the team’s second line center, however Bozak also gets first unit power play time alongside the St. Louis big guns. In terms of his matchup, Bozak takes on a a Blackhawks team that ranks in a 27th-place tie in terms of home defense with 3.50 goals against per game at the United Center. The Blackhawks have also struggled on the penalty kill on home ice as they check in at 24th with a 73.7% clip on home ice. Bozak is off to a nice start in his first season with the Blues as he’s tallied 10 points in 15 games but also has six points in five games in the month of November. He will kick off a three-man Blues stack tonight as they rank seventh with 3.25 goals per game on the road this season.
W – Blake Wheeler (WPG) – $6,800 vs. WAS
Of course with Schiefele comes Wheeler as the duo skates together at both even strength and on the Jets’ lethal top power play unit. After a huge 91-point season last year, Wheeler is off to a white-hot start this season with 23 points across 16 games on the young campaign. Now he’s only scored three goals, but he’s also taken 44 shots and owns a tiny 6.8% shooting percentage, well under his 10.7% career mark. In other words, he hasn’t enjoyed a whole lot of puck luck so far and we should expect some more goal-scoring from him moving forward. Like his center Scheifele, Wheeler has been insanely hot as of late as he as tallied a goal and a whopping 11 assists over his last four games. He is also riding a 10-game point streak into this one tonight. Those numbers are simply off the charts and they make the Wheeler/Scheifele duo must-haves for tonight’s contest against the weak road defense of the Capitals.
W – Patrik Laine (WPG) – $6,100 vs. WAS
I think we are getting Laine at a dirt cheap price here considering how he has been producing as of late. Like his teammates above, Laine has been productive in the month of November so far with four goals in four November contests. He was terribly unproductive in the month of October, but we’ve seen Laine go on some serious scoring streaks in his young career to this point, and I want to have him in my lineup during those streaks, like the one he is enjoying right now. Laine has fired 64 shots on goal in 16 games on the season and he forms a first unit power play stack with Scheifele and Wheeler where Laine has scored seven of his eight goals on the season. He’s a power play sniper as his 20 power play goal ranked first in the league last season while 36 of his 88 career goals have come on the man advantage. Against the 24th-ranked road penalty kill tonight, I’m looking for more power play damage from the Finnish sniper.
W – Robby Fabbri (STL) – $3,800 vs. CHI
Fabbri and Bozak skate on the second line with one another while Fabbri gives us exposure to the Blues’ second power play unit. After devastating knee injuries both last season and the year prior, Fabbri is getting back in action as he’s tallied a goal and an assist in five games in his young season. This is a guy with a very healthy 68 points in 128 career NHL games, so we know he is capable of producing and I like his value upside at this price. Fabbri doesn’t exactly give us a high floor as he has racked up just six shots in the five games on the season, however with a 14.2% career shooting percentage, he doesn’t need to take a ton of shots to score. Given his spot next to Bozak and his time on the power play, I like his upside against a very suspect Blackhawks back end tonight.
D – Alex Pietrangelo (STL) – $5,600 vs. CHI
I like the cross-category upside that Pietrangelo brings to the table as he completes our three-man Blues stack tonight. He’s having a solid season points-wise with three goals and seven points in 15 games, but he’s also taken 29 shots on goal to go along with 35 blocked shots as well as he skates in all situations as part of his 25:07 of average ice time per game. He’s picked up the production on the scoresheet as of late as Pietrangelo as all three of his goals and three assists over his last six games. He’s also coming off a game where he skated 27:25 against the Wild, his highest total in a non-overtime game this season. While he forms a three-man stack with Bozak and Fabbri at even strength, Pietrangelo also gets second unit power play time alongside Fabbri, giving us nice exposure to both power play units tonight against a weak penalty kill.
D – Tyson Barrie (COL) – $4,800 vs. BOS
The matchup isn’t an easy one against the visiting Bruins, but Barrie’s price has come down to the point where he is giving us plenty of value. After all, this is a guy who ranked second among defenseman next to Erik Karlsson with 0.86 points per game last season, and although he has just one goal this season after burying 14 last year, he does have 13 assists for 14 points in 17 games. Barrie also has 37 shots on goal to boot. It’s interesting that he’s seeing just 20:33 of average ice time per game after logging 22:42 last year, however as long as Barrie remains the lone defenseman on the Avalanche top power play unit, I am liking his upside for production. At this price, I am all over Barrie tonight despite a difficult matchup against the Bruins.
G – John Gibson (ANH) – $7,600 vs. VGK
It’s a battle of two low-scoring clubs tonight in Vegas as the Ducks and Golden Knights get together, however I believe Gibson is the better goaltender of himself and Marc-Andre Fleury, so I am going to roster the young American despite the Ducks being listed as +155 underdogs in this one. After all, Gibson owns a stout 2.47 GAA and .931 Sv% on the season, a year after posting a 2.43 GAA and a .926 Sv% last year. This guy is simply one of the most underrated goaltenders in the league as this is now two years in a row where he is posting Vezina-like numbers. He had a rough couple of starts against the Kings and Wild, however Gibson got back on track with 34 saves in 35 chances on Monday against the Predators in what resulted in a 2-1 shootout win. I believe this is a low-scoring game either way, but I’ll take Gibson over Fleury in this one.
UTIL – Colin Wilson (COL) – $3,500 vs. BOS
Wilson’s matchup is also a difficult one against the Bruins, but given the fact that he is projected to skate on the top power play unit alongside the Avalanche superstar players, he has plenty of value to be extracted at this price tonight. He’s been fairly productive with four goals and seven points in 17 games this season, with two of those four goals coming on the man advantage. He also has a goal and three helpers in five November games to this point. At even strength, he’s a third line player on an Avs team that doesn’t get much secondary scoring after the first line, however I’m here for that power play where Wilson and Barrie form a valuable mini-stack tonight.