We can certainly put last night behind us when it comes to our DraftKings NHL DFS Picks.
It was another low-scoring night for many teams across the four-game slate as the Blues, Blackhawks, Capitals and Ducks combined for just two goals. Luckily, we only had exposure to the Blues of this group, but they were shut out, meaning our three-man stack was a complete dud.
We did, however, get a little bit of production from our Jets stack as Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler combined for the first goal of the game, but that would be just about it in a 3-1 Jets win.
The Colorado Avalanche scored six goals, which should have meant good things for our cost-efficient mini-stack, however Colin Wilson and Tyson Barrie combined for just one assist, which was rather disappointing.
Of course, our lineup wasn’t going to do much anyway given how John Gibson fared in his start in Vegas. The Golden Knights torched Gibson for three goals on just 12 shots before he was pulled in favor of Ryan Miller in an eventual 5-0 Golden Knights win. Given Vegas entered play ranked 29th in offense, this was a massively disappointing effort from the Ducks’ netminder.
It hasn’t been a good week to this point, so let’s look to turn things around on tonight’s nine-game slate.
C – Sean Couturier (PHI) – $5,600 vs. NJ
There is just one team in the league (Ottawa) that has been worse defensively on the road this season than the New Jersey Devils, so I want to kick off this lineup with a mid-priced Couturier who is in a lovely matchup. The Flyers haven’t been the best home offense this season, but New Jersey has surrendered a whopping 4.88 goals per game away from home this season across eight contests. For his part, Couturier enters tonight’s contest with seven goals and 12 points in 18 games this season to go along with 43 shots on goal. His shooting percentage is a little high at 16.3%, however you just have to like his matchup here. He is the Flyers’ top center at both 5v5 and on the top power play unit while he is also a big part of the Flyers’ penalty kill. Therefore, he is logging a ton of ice time again this season with 21:44 per game, and I will take that upside and run at a very reasonable price tonight.
C – Colin White (OTT) – $4,100 vs. DET
Keep an eye on White’s status leading up to lock tonight as he is listed as day-to-day with an undisclosed injury, however should he play I believe he brings a ton of value with him into this one tonight against the Red Wings. The Senators have quietly been one of the best offenses in hockey this season as their 3.44 goals per game ranks fourth in the league while their 3.80 goals per game at home also checks in at fourth. White has quietly put together a nice season himself to this point as he’s tallied six goals and 11 points in 18 games to go along with 11 shots on goal. The former first-round pick is set to skate alongside Mark Stone on what could possibly be considered the Sens’ top line while he will definitely see some power play time, although it’s hard to say on which unit. Still, he is taking on a Red Wings team that has allowed 4.13 goals per game on the road, good for a 28th-place tie, so let’s lock in White at a very attractive cost tonight.
W – Claude Giroux (PHI) – $6,300 vs. NJ
Giroux has some serious upside tonight as a superstar player taking on a brutal Devils defense tonight on home ice. After cracking the 100-point barrier last season, Giroux is off to a fine start this time around with seven goals and 22 points across 18 games to go along with a rock-solid 57 shots on goal. He has nine points across six November games so far and also has a multi-point effort in three of his last four games. With the way the Flyers’ lines look with James van Riemsdyk back in the fold, Couturier and Giroux appear to be the only high-upside duo that will skate together at even strength and on a power play unit, so I will simply lock in this pair of Flyers forwards in a very favorable matchup tonight.
W – Mark Stone (OTT) – $6,100 vs. DET
The cost-efficiency of some of these players is becoming a running theme in this lineup as Stone enters this group slightly over the $6,000 mark tonight against the Red Wings. Considering the matchup, his team’s offensive output and his personal production, this is an attractive cost. Stone enters tonight’s contest with seven goals and 20 points in 18 games on the season to go along with 42 shots on goal. He too has enjoyed a quality month of November so far, racking up three goals and 12 points across seven contests for the month. Stone will flank White at even strength, and I do believe he will also skate on the top power play unit with the young center. He also has 15 points in 10 home games compared to just five points in eight road contests, so I am liking the 26-year-old’s ceiling tonight against this weak Red Wings back end.
W – Sam Bennett (CGY) – $3,100 vs. MON
Despite the reasonable prices across the board here, we still need some value in the forward group as we are going to roster a couple of pricey blueliners as well. Bennett has just two goals and two assists in 18 games this season, however he has himself a nice matchup and a nice projected spot in the lineup in this one tonight against the visiting Canadiens. Bennett is slated to skate on the second line tonight as well as on the second power play unit. The matchup is good as the Canadiens enter play ranked 21st with 3.25 goals against per game this season and have allowed at least four goals against in seven of their last eight games and have yielded 5.25 goals per game over their last four. Finally, the Flames are the league’s highest-scoring home offense this season with 4.29 goals per game at the Saddledome in Calgary. I see some value upside with Bennett at a real cheap cost tonight.
D – Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) – $5,900 vs. NJ
We have completed the first of two three-man stacks tonight with Gostisbehere as he takes on the visiting Devils. After a down season in 2016-17, Gostisbehere roared back with 65 points in 78 games last year while he’s notched three goals and nine points in 18 games to kick off this season. He also likes to shoot the puck with 50 shots in those 18 contests. Where I really like Gostisbehere is on that top power play unit where he resides as the lone defenseman alongside Couturier and Giroux. He has scored two of his three goals and notched five of his nine points on the man advantage. Let’s also keep in mind that Gostisbehere has 27 blocks on his resume this season. Against the league’s 24th-ranked road penalty kill, I am liking Gostisbehere’s upside in a big way tonight.
D – Thomas Chabot (OTT) – $6,300 vs. DET
One of the quietest yet remarkable stories in the league this season has been Chabot’s breakout with an increased role on the Sens’ blueline. After tallying 25 points across 63 games last season, Chabot has almost reached that total already this season as he enters tonight’s contest with five goals and 22 points in 18 games played. Of course, the trade of Erik Karlsson has opened up a world of opportunity for the 21-year-old as his ice time has increased almost five minutes per game over last year’s total. The dude has been an absolute monster of late as well in the ice time category, skating at least 28:33 in two of his last three games. He is the lone defenseman on the top power play unit where he should skate alongside both White and Stone, so I am going to pay up for the breakout blueliner in this one tonight.
G – Sergei Bobrovsky (CLS) – $7,800 vs. FLA
I like the value we could get from Bobrovsky at this price tongiht given his recent stretch of play. It was not a productive October for the two-time Vezina Trophy winner as he finished the month with a brutal .882 Sv%, however things have picked up for the Russian. In five November starts, Bobrovsky owns a .951 Sv% and has allowed just one goal against in five of his last six starts. He takes on a Panthers team tonight that has won five straight games, but I do like the fact that Florida’s offense was cooled off in their low-scoring 2-1 win over the Flyers on Tuesday. We knew Bobrovsky’s numbers would improve given his history of elite goaltending, and I want to get this guy in my lineup while he is playing lights out. With the Blue Jackets listed as -120 favorites tonight, I like his chances at a win on top of his stellar play of late.
UTIL – Mikael Backlund (CGY) – $4,700 vs. MON
Backlund and Bennett will form a mini-stack tonight at both 5v5 play and on the Flames’ second power play unit, so I think we can extract some value out of the duo in this one tonight. Backlund has three goals and 10 points on the season across 18 games on the campaign to go along with 43 shots on goal. Like his team, Backlund has been much more productive on home ice as he has tallied six points in seven home games but has just four points across 11 road games on the season. Against a team struggling very much on the back end right now, I think Backlund could be in for some relatively low-owned production alongside his linemate Bennett this evening.