The frustration continues with my DraftKings NHL DFS Picks as we picked the right matchup last night but still managed to get minimal production out of our picks.
The Florida Panthers defeated the Ottawa Senators by a 7-5 score which was exactly the type of game I was talking about when I mentioned several times I believed it was going to be a high-scoring affair in Ottawa.
Well, our three-man Panthers stack did very little damage, thanks in part to the gruesome leg injury suffered by one of our centers Vincent Trocheck after logging just over five minutes of ice time. Jonathan Huberdeau and Keith Yandle would combine for just two assists and zero shots on goal in the win.
The Senators managed to score five goals, however Brady Tkachuk and Colin White combined for just one goal in another very disappointing result.
While we predicted the right matchup in Ottawa and just didn’t get the results, we were skunked in St. Louis as the Blues were shut out for the third time in their last four games at the hands of the lowly L.A. Kings. Fantastic matchup, horrible results from our three-man Blues stack.
Our lone solid play was Frederik Andersen who allowed two first period goals to the Blue Jackets, but shut the door from there on out and the Maple Leafs rallied for a 4-2 win on home ice. Another rock-solid result from the Leafs’ netminder.
We need to get into another gear with our picks, something I’ll aim to do on tonight’s showdown style one-game slate.
FLEX – Connor McDavid (EDM) – $12,300 vs. SJ
The San Jose Sharks haven’t been quite as good on the back end as I would have though given the personnel they boast, and yes some of that has to do with the .898 Sv% they have received from their goaltenders this season. Still, I expected more and I think McDavid can have a typical McDavid-type night on the road at the Shark Tank. He may be doing quietly on another struggling Edmonton Oilers club, but McDavid has scored 12 goals and notched 28 points in 20 games on the season to go along with 68 shots on goal. The two-time Art Ross winner is logging more than 22 minutes per game while he also brings two goals and three assists over his last three games with him into tonight’s contest. He has tallied eight goals and 17 points in 11 road games on the season, so I think we can roster the superstar forward in a decent matchup tonight in SAn Jose.
FLEX – Leon Draisaitl (EDM) – $10,900 vs. SJ
Leon Draisaitl is back up on the top line alongside McDavid while he also skates with the star center on the Oilers’ top power play unit, so I want to handcuff him to McDavid in this lineup tonight as a result. The 2014 first-round pick has scored 12 goals and notched 23 points in 20 games on the season after notching at least 70 points in each if his previous two campaigns. Like McDavid, Draisaitl enters this one red-hot as he has scored five goals in the month of November in nine games, and he also has two goals and four assists over his last three contests despite the Oilers dropping six of their last seven games. Draisaitl and McDavid have been unsurprisingly been doing the vast majority of the damage for the Oilers this season, especially as of late, so let’s make sure we get them into this lineup despite the high prices to pay this evening.
FLEX – Joe Thornton (SJ) – $5,400 vs. EDM
The Sharks have been lethal on home ice this season as their 3.45 goals per game at home are tied with the Canadiens for seventh place in the NHL. They also average 35.4 shots per game at home, tied with the Calgary Flames for third spot in the league. Thornton has remained rather productive despite his age of 39 as he tallied a solid 36 points in 47 games last season. That said, he has just five points in 12 games this season, although is still working his way back from a knee injury that has caused him problems in the last few seasons. Thornton doesn’t bring a high floor to the table with just 21 shots in those 12 games, but the price is right and we need to find value if we are going to use McDavid and Draisaitl at the top of the lineup. It appears Jumbo Joe has been moved down to the third line where we can stack him with some cheaper pieces while he also has been moved to the second power play unit where we can continue a four-man Sharks stack in this one tonight.
FLEX – Kevin Labanc (SJ) – $6,500 vs. EDM
I like Labanc for a couple of reasons tonight. First, he is projected to skate on the third line to the right of Thornton at even strength play. Second, Labanc has a spot on the Sharks’ top power play unit so we will get exposure to both groups as the Sharks look to spread the wealth across both units for tonight’s contest. He’s been solid in the production department as well with three goals and 12 points in 21 games on the season while throwing 45 pucks on goal as well. Labanc has actually scored all three of his goals at even strength this season which bodes well for his stack at 5v5 play alongside Thornton. It would be nice to see him produce on the top power play unit, but the preference would be for the 22-year-old Labanc to connect with the 39-year-old Thornton for some even strength production tonight.
FLEX – Marcus Sorensen (SJ) – $4,600 vs. EDM
Sorensen is the true value play in this lineup as he is set to flank Thornton and Labanc on that Sharks third line tonight against the Oilers. His production hasn’t been consistent, however he does have two goals and four assists for the month of November across nine games, albeit that is the result of a pair of one goal, two assist games for the 26-year-old. On the season he has three goals and nine points in 21 games to go along with 29 shots on goal. Sorensen doesn’t log a ton of ice with just 12:30 per game but as mentioned, a good chunk of that comes with Thornton by his side. Furthermore, Sorensen has some short-handed production upside tonight as he’s scored one short-handed goal and added a short-handed assist on the season to this point. I certainly don’t mind the upside of the Swede against an Oilers team that ranks 22nd with 3.45 goals against per game on the road this season.
FLEX – Timo Meier (SJ) – $10,300 vs. EDM
I mentioned above that Thornton would give us a stack on the second power play unit as well, and that is where Meier comes in. The 22-year-old came out of the gates white-hot for the Sharks as he scored nine goals in October and three over the first four games of November. While Meier has been held goalless in five straight games, he is coming off a two-assist game on Saturday against the Blues and has four helpers over his last four games. The end results has been 21 points over his 21 games played this season while he’s also fired a very healthy 69 shots on goal in those 21 contests this season. Meier skates on the second line alongside Logan Couture, but also on that second power play unit where I am looking for him to connect with Thornton. Just two of his 21 points have come on the power play, so I’d take some five on five production as well in a favorable home matchup against the Oilers.