I mentioned in last night’s DraftKings NHL DFS Picks that fading Elias Pettersson was becoming a very risky move, and boy did that every ring true.
Pettersson put forth an unworldly performance against the Avalanche as he scored twice and added three assists in what ended up being a 7-6 overtime win over the visiting Avalanche. The Canucks stack certainly didn’t stop there as Brock Boeser scored twice and added a pair of assists while Nikolay Goldobin also notched two helpers on the night. In all, our three-man stack combined for four goals, seven assists, 13 shots on goal and one block on the night. Unreal.
Our second three-man stack wasn’t nearly as successful as the trio of Alex Galchenyuk, Clayton Keller and Oliver Ekman-Larsson combined for two assists with just one shot on goal.
Our Avalanche mini-stack of Tyson Barrie and Matt Calvert unfortunately delivered just one assist despite the Avalanche scoring six goals on the night.
Lastly, our goaltender Antti Raanta gave us a big night with a 48-save performance while notching a win to easily go down as the highest scoring goaltender on the slate.
It was certainly a profitable night with these picks, so let’s keep things rolling heading into tonight’s 11-game Saturday slate!
C – Connor McDavid (EDM) – $8,300 vs. DET
To me it seems like a night where we just can’t fade the most dangerous player in the world as McDavid and the Oilers take on the Red Wings in Detroit. The Wings have improved their play since a dreadful start to the season and they are healthier on the back end, but they still rank 27th in team defense this season. Although healthier, they can have a real weak back end, one that McDavid can certainly take advantage of tonight. The two-time Art Ross winner enters tonight’s contest with nine goals and 19 points in 12 games on the campaign while he’s actually logging over 23 minutes per game with his 23:11 mark standing as the highest per game average by a forward in the NHL. He’s scored a goal in five straight entering tonight’s game and has 12 points in six road contests this season, so let’s lock in the world’s best player tonight in Detroit.
C – Brayden Schenn (STL) – $5,300 vs. MIN
The Blues did some offseason work to add to their group of forwards, and the moves have paid off in a big was as the Blues rank third with 3.73 goals per game on the season while that number creeps up to four per game on home ice where they will be tonight against Minnesota. The Wild are a solid home defense, but they’re allowing 3.40 goals per game on the road this season, something I want to take advantage of with a trio if mid-priced Blues beginning here with Schenn. Schenn is going to center the top line tonight while he is set to skate on the second power play unit where this stack will actually be. He’s entering play tonight with three goals and nine points on the season to go along with 29 shots on goal while skating an average of 19:30 per game. The Blues have scored at least four goals in five straight games and 12 goals over their last two. Schenn has three points over his last three games so let’s look for more production from the 27-year-old in this matchup tonight.
W – Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) – $6,700 vs. DET
I am going to lock in what should be a solid floor with a McDavid/Nugent-Hopkins stack tonight in the motor city. Of course, the Nuge is skating alongside McDavid in all situations including the top power play unit. Such a spot in the lineup as helped the former first overall pick record 14 points over his first 12 games this season while he’s actually notched all 14 of those points over his last 10. Of course, skating with McDavid in all situations means Nugent-Hopkins is also logging a ton of ice time at 22:05 per game, the highest mark by any winger in the league with more than two games played. Edmonton has scored at least four goals in four of their last six and if they can hit that total tonight it’s a very good bet that this duo is going to be right in the middle of that action.
W – Jaden Schwartz (STL) – $4,900 vs. MIN
Schwartz comes to us at a solid price considering the first line duties and the favorable home matchup on what has been a high-octane offense that enters play tonight red-hot. He has just one goal and four points in nine games on the young season, but Schwartz also owns just a 4.8% shooting percentage, miles under his 13.4% career mark. That number is going to normalize as the season moves along and I’m hoping that normalization begins tonight. He has two points over his last three games while he’s also fired nine shots on goal over that stretch. He’s skated at least 18:21 in four of his last five games and has eclipsed the 19-minute mark in two of those five contests. I think we can get nice value out of the underrated forward tonight at a sub-$5K price.
W – Oliver Bjorkstrand (CLS) – $3,000 vs. LA
This was the final spot filled in this lineup after I got all of my stacks in, so I needed a winger at $3K or less and I believe Bjorkstrand has the most upside of the bunch in this price range tonight against the Kings. In recent years it has not been a good idea to roster players in Los Angeles, but the Kings are struggling badly on the back end this season as their 3.67 goals against per game is tied for 26th in the league, interestingly with Bjorkstrand’s Blue Jackets. Furthermore, the Kings rank 28th with 4.17 goals against per game this season on home ice. Interestingly, the Blue Jackets rank third with 4.20 goals per game on the road this season, so Bjorkstrand has a sneaky-good matchup tonight. The 23-year-old has just a goal and two helpers in 12 games this season, but he will see time on the second power play unit tonight, giving him an extra tick of upside in what is a solid matchup. He’s going to see tiny ownership, so some one-off production from the 23-year-old would go a long way in this lineup tonight.
D – Alex Pietrangelo (STL) – $5,000 vs. MIN
We are going to roster a couple of high-floor defensemen tonight beginning here with Pietrangelo against the Wild. The veteran has scored 29 goals over his last two seasons while his 54 points from last season were a career-high. He’s at just four points in 11 games this time around, but he’s skating over 25 minutes per game on that blueline while he forms a three-man second power play unit stack with Schenn and Schwartz. He has 19 shots on goal as well, but Pietrangelo also has blocked 29 shots to boot and I am liking the fact he presents cross-category upside tonight thanks to his solid shot and blocked shots totals. I’m still looking for some offensive production, but the floor he gives us is rather attractive as part of a three-man stack tonight.
D – Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) – $5,200 vs. SJ
The Flyers’ offense has been brutal at home this season, but they actually rank sixth with 3.57 goals per game on the road this season. I think the Flyers have a sneaky-good matchup tonight against a Sharks team that hasn’t been quite as good defensively as expected, although they haven’t been terrible, either. They certainly aren’t entering tonight’s game riding any defensive momentum as they’ve surrendered four goals in four of their last five games and at least three goals in all five. Enter Gostisbehere who hasn’t replicated his explosive season from last year quite yet this time around with five points in 13 games, but he also has 33 shots on goal in that span while he has 24 blocks on the season. Again, thanks to the shots and blocks we have some cross-category potential tonight for the Flyers’ top offensive defenseman and the quarterback of their top power play unit.
G – Matt Murray (PIT) – $7,600 vs. TOR
Call Murray a GPP play if you wish against a good Leafs offense, however that offense has not been good at all lately and Toronto will again be without Auston Matthews for this matchup tonight in Pittsburgh. In two games without Matthews, the Leafs have scored just two goals. It’s also worth mentioning that Murray has already posted a shutout against the Leafs this season. He’s been brutal at home this season, there’s no hiding that, but at this price and against a severely struggling Maple Leafs offense, Murray has plenty of upside, especially with the Penguins labeled as -130 favorites in this one tonight. He’s allowed two goals or less in two of his last three games, but I’m looking for Murray to get his home mojo back against the Maple Leafs tonight.
UTIL – Nolan Patrick (PHI) – $4,000 vs. SJ
Patrick should go down as a low-owned commodity as well on tonight’s slate, but I like the upside he presents alongside Gostisbehere in a mini-stack. Patrick skates as the second line center for the Flyers, but he is also a member of the top power play unit, meaning he will skate some quality minutes with Gostisbehere in this one. He’s off to a solid start with three goals and six points in 10 games this season, following up on his strong second half from last season where he posted 21 points over his final 33 games. He’s entering tonight’s contest with a hot hand after notching a goal and three helpers over the first two games of this California swing, so let’s look for him to stay hot and team up with Gostisbehere for some sneaky production tonight in the Shark Tank.