Apologies for not getting a DraftKings NHL DFS Picks out for yesterday’s five-game slate as I was feeling under the weather. I’m back today feeling better and feeling like getting some profits going to get our week started on the right note.
We have a nine-game main slate on tap tonight so let’s get right into the picks!
C – Steven Stamkos (TB) – $6,600 vs. EDM
The Edmonton Oilers have shown some improvement on the defensive front this season, however they will be in tough tonight against a lethal Tampa Bay offense on the road. Tampa is tied for fourth with 3.50 goals per game on the season while that number trends up to 3.71 per game on home ice. Enter Stamkos who has tallied four goals and 10 points on the season. He is still shooting the puck plenty with 42 shots on goal in those 42 games, but he’s currently being hampered by a 9.5% shooting percentage, a mark that is well under his career 16.5% figure. He is back down the middle on the Lightning top line and top power play unit, the latter looking like a nice spot to be against another poor penalty killing Oilers team at just 76.5% for the year.
C – Elias Pettersson (VAN) – $7,100 vs. DET
Pettersson is proving to the be the real deal in his rookie campaign, and he gets himself a nice matchup tonight on the road against a Red Wings team that has struggled defensively for most of the year. The Red Wings rank 27th with 3.71 goals against per game on the season. At home, the Red Wings are killing penalties at just a 68% clip on the season, also good for 27th league-wide. Pettersson can certainly burn the Wings in both departments tonight as he enters play with nine goals and 15 points on the season with two goals and five points on the power play. He’s coming off of a five-point effort last Friday against the Avalanche at home, but he also has six points in four road contests this season. He’s becoming must-see TV and I want him in my lineup in this matchup tonight.
W – Nikita Kucherov (TB) – $6,800 vs. EDM
Kucherov has been reunited with Stamkos on the Lightning top line, a spot that’s helped him earn five points over his last four games. It seems this Tampa Bay duo isn’t doing all that much damage this year, but Kucherov still has 14 points in as many games on the young season. It’s a little bit concerning that Kucherov is averaging roughly two fewer minutes per game than he did last season, but as long as he’s flanking Stamkos in all situations his opportunity for propduction will still exist. The Oilers’ penalty kill slips to 29th with a 69.2% clip on the season on the road while Tampa Bay is clicking at 28% on the man advantage so far this season at home. That’s a nice combination for some production from the 25-year-old Russian tonight.
W – J.T. Miller (TB) – $4,400 vs. EDM
Miller has been moved around a little but throughout the Lightning lineup so far this season, however he’s been productive wherever he’s been placed as he’s notched four goals and 11 points in 14 contests this season. Miller gets a super-favorable spot in the Tampa depth chart tonight as he should skate on the top line with Stamkos and Kucherov while Miller will also flank the duo on the Lightning top power play unit this evening where he has scored three of his four goals and tallied five of his 11 points. While DraftKings doesn’t reward power play production, that’s still a nice spot to be and it’s Miller’s best chance to score a goal as evidenced by his production early in this season.
W – Nikolay Goldobin (VAN) – $3,900 vs. DET
We are going to need some value names in this lineup too as we have some pricey players above, and why not Goldobin who has an excellent spot in the Vancouver lineup to the left of Pettersson in all situations. Such a spot helped Goldobin notche a two-assist game in Pettersson’s five-point effort on Friday, giving the 23-year-old six points in 15 contests on the season. He doesn’t bring a high floor, but we can’t argue with the price and the exposure to Pettersson at both even strength and on the top power play unit tonight against a Red Wings team that has struggled defensively and struggled badly on the penalty kill. With just a 3.8% shooting percentage and one goal on the year, expect the puck luck to change in Goldobin’s favor as the season moves along.
D – Derrick Pouliot (VAN) – $3,900 vs. DET
I’m a fan of Pouliot’s value upside tonight as well with Alexander Edler out of the Vancouver lineup for the time being. With that, Pouliot is the lone defenseman on the Canucks’ top power play unit where he will form a three-man stack alongside Goldobin and Pettersson. Pouliot scored the OT winner in the Canucks’ most recent game, that aforementioned Friday night contest against the Avalanche. He too doesn’t bring a big floor into action, but it’s the value that I like here with Pouliot seeing a much bigger role on the Canucks’ blueline with Edler out of the lineup. He’s an offensive-minded defenseman so let’s hope he can produce some of that tonight in Detroit.
D – Justin Faulk (CAR) – $5,100 vs. STL
The Blues have seen a big increase in offense over last season, but they’ve also seen a big drop in their defensive play as well. Entering tonight’s contest, the Blues rank 30th with 3.91 goals against per game on the season, but they’ve also allowed 4.25 per game at home this season, good for 28th. Faulk has scored once and added five assists on the season, but he has also fired 44 shots on goal and has been bitten by a tiny 2.3% shooting percentage in the process. Faulk is logging 21:37 per game on the Hurricanes’ blueline, time that includes top power play unit duties where he resides as the lone defenseman. Given the high shot total and the Blues’ brutal defense, especially at home, this season, I think Faulk can produce some offense as part of a mini-stack tonight.
G – Frederik Andersen (TOR) – $8,400 vs. VGK
Andersen is the highest-priced goaltender on the slate, but he is facing the league’s 30th-ranked offense tonight as the Golden Knights visit the Maple Leafs. Vegas is averaging only 2.29 goals per game on the season, a number that actually drops to 1.71 on the road, also good for the second-worst mark in the league, ahead of only the Los Angeles Kings. Andersen has been excellent between the pipes for the Leafs this season as he enters play sporting a tidy 2.28 GAA and a .924 Sv% on the season. Furthermore, Andersen is coming off of a shutout of the lethal Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday and has now allowed two goals or less in five straight starts. The Leafs are labeled as -125 favorites in this one tonight, so let’s lock in their netminder in a very favorable matchup against a low-octane offense.
UTIL – Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) – $3,700 vs. STL
His start has not been as blistering as the easy front runner for the Calder Trophy in Pettersson, but Svechnikov has handled himself well so far in his rookie year with three goals and five points in 14 games. Svechnikov doesn’t yet have a prominent role in the Hurricanes’ offense as he skates on the third line, however he does get second power play unit ice time as part of his 13:13 of average ice time per game for the campaign. After going eight straight games without a point, Svechnikov got back in the goal column on Friday in Arizona, something that I hope he can repeat in tonight’s contest against what has been an utterly disappointing start on defense for this Blues club.