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DraftKings NHL DFS Picks – November 7th

We hit our main stack in a big way with last night’s DraftKings NHL DFS Picks while we got some solid production from others in what was a profitable lineup.

Our top stack of Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov and J.T. Miller of the Lightning did some big-time damage as the trio combined to notch three goals, four assists, 13 shots on goal and two blocks on the night.

Our second three-man stack included the Vancouver Canucks trio of Elias Pettersson, Nikolay Goldobin and Derrick Pouliot. We notched a goal from Pettersson that was assisted by Goldobin, while we also received 12 shots and a block from this group. Keep an eye on Pouliot moving forward as he logged a game-high 26:01 in this one and while he didn’t provide a ton of value, he very well could moving forward.

Unfortunately, our mini-stack of Andrei Svechnikov and Justin Faulk were held off the scoresheet while they combined for eight shots and a block. The Hurricanes outshot the Blues 39-20 in this one, so the right idea was there but they just couldn’t find the back of the net.

Finally, our goaltender Frederik Andersen had himself an excellent showing as he turned aside 36 of 37 Vegas shots and earned the win in the 3-1 Toronto victory, living up to his billing as the highest priced goalie on the slate.

Let’s put a nice night in our pocket and move along to tonight’s small three-game slate.

C – Sean Monahan (CGY) – $6,500 vs. ANH

The Ducks are playing their second game in as many nights tonight after dropping a 4-1 decision in Los Angeles last night, so I think this is a good opportunity for the Flames’ big guns to come in and do some damage on the road as they enter play tonight having won four straight games. Monahan is off to a very strong start to the season as he’s tallied eight goals and 10 assists in just 15 games while throwing 40 pucks on goal to boot. Like his team, he’s rolling into this one sporting a hot hand as he’s tallied points in six straight contests with four goals and six assists in that span. Monahan is also riding a four-game multi-point streak into this one with eight points over his last four. The 24-year-old faces a middle-of-the-pack Ducks defense in this one, but Anaheim is allowing the second-most shots per game at 38.4 this season and will most likely face Ryan Miller as opposed to John Gibson who has been brilliant considering the heavy workload this season. I like the floor Monahan brings into this one.

C – Evgeni Malkin (PIT) – $6,900 vs. WAS

We get another addition of the Pittsburgh/Washington rivalry tonight from the nation’s capital, but the Penguins have switched up their lines a little but heading into this one tonight after being shut out on Saturday night on home ice by the Maple Leafs. Malkin will once again skate as the team’s second line center behind Sidney Crosby, but he will get Patric Hornqvist to his right instead of Phil Kessel as the lines hit Mike Sullivan’s blender. The Caps have been an up-and-down defensive club this season as their 3.69 goals against per game is tied with the Blues for 27th league-wide, although they rise into the middle of the pack at home with 2.86 per game against at Capital One Arena. Still, Malkin brings a nice floor with seven goals and 20 points in 13 games this year to go along with 30 shots on goal. Keep in mind that Pittsburgh is the league’s number two ranked offense on the road with 4.67 goals per game, so let’s get some exposure to that in this one tonight.

W – Johnny Gaudreau (CGY) – $6,600 vs. ANH

The high floor theme continues here with Gaudreau as he teams up with Monahan in all situations tonight at the Honda Center in Anaheim. Johnny Hockey brings six goals and 19 points into this one tonight across 15 games on the young season while he’s also fired 47 shots on goal. That production is fairly sustainable for the 25-year-old American as he owns a 12.8% shooting percentage on the season, just a few ticks above his 12.2% mark for his career. He’s logging a ton of ice time thanks to his spot on the top line and top power play unit with 20:44 per game while he brings a five-game point streak into action with seven points in that span. Look for them to bring their floors to the table tonight against a team that yields plenty of shots on goal.

W – Patric Hornqvist (PIT) – $5,000 vs. WAS

We are getting Hornqvist at a nice discount here as he hasn’t been terribly productive this season with four goals and six points in 13 games, but this is a guy who has been very consistent in his production over the years. Over the last five years, he has finished with between 49-53 points in four of those years with the other year ending with 44 points. He’s also scored at least 21 goals in five straight seasons and is coming off a 29-goal campaign last season. Lastly, he has notched between 223 and 257 shots on goal in each of those same five years. Hornqvist is set to skate alongside Malkin on the Penguins’ second line tonight and he will also flank him on the top power play unit, although it appears Pittsburgh has evened out those units rather than stacking the top group as Crosby, Kessel and Letang reside on the second unit. Still, his spot alongside Malkin in all situations bodes well for his production tonight.

W – Kevin Fiala (NSH) – $3,900 vs. COL

We are taking the risk in fading the Avalanche on home ice tonight, but the Preds are one of the league’s top defenses this season. On the flip side, the Avalanche have been allowing a ton of goals lately as Semyon Varlamov’s numbers come back down to earth, so I will get some fairly cheap exposure to the Nashville lineup tonight, beginning here with Fiala. With Viktor Arvidsson dealing with a lower-body injury, Fiala should make the jump to the team’s top line alongside Filip Forsberg and Ryan Johansen, certainly a nice spot to be. Fiala has just one goal and five points in 14 games this season, but is coming off a 23-goal season when he was just 21 years of age. This guy has tonnes of scoring ability and I am looking for him to unleash that with the help of the Predators’ top offensive along his side tonight.

D – Mark Giordano (CGY) – $5,700 vs. ANH

Giordano costs us a pretty penny on the back end, but that goes to show the cross-category upside this guy brings to the table. The Flames’ captain has scored twice and notched 15 points in as many games this season while he’s also fired a whopping 52 pucks on goal and blocked 23 shots to boot. He’s even due for some better puck luck as his current 3.8% shooting percentage is well under his 7.3% career mark. Giordano completes a three-man Flames stack at both even strength and on the top power play unit. Against a team that is yielding a ton of shots, look for Giordano to bring a very high floor to the table tonight while he’s also tallied eight points over his last five games.

D – Ryan Ellis (NSH) – $4,900 vs. COL

Ellis is technically third on the depth chart when it comes to the stout Nashville defense, however he’s a very productive player as evidenced by his play last year when he tallied 32 points in just 44 games after beginning his year late coming off of offseason knee surgery. He’s on a nice pace again this year as he has eight points in 14 contests, albeit he’s still without a goal despite taking 22 shots on goal. The 27-year-old is logging 24:18 per game on the Preds’ blueline, minutes that includes second unit power play time where he forms a mini-stack with Fiala on top of their even strength time spent together. With 13 goals against over their last two games, I think the Avalanche can yield some offense to the Preds in this one tonight.

G – Mike Smith (CGY) – $7,400 vs. ANH

I have to take Smith at this price considering the matchup on tap tonight. Smith and the Flames take on a Ducks offense that is straight-up struggling to the tune of just 2.31 goals per game, good for 29th in the league. With that, the Ducks are taking the fewest shots per game in the league with just 25.6 per game, which theoretically doesn’t give Smith a heavy workload tonight. However, the Flames are listed around -140 favorites in this one tonight, so you have to like the win upside against a poor offense. Add in his very favorable home/road splits that grealy favor the road so far, and I think Smith’s price is too low to resist while it’s allowed us to get some premier players into our roster tonight.

UTIL – Chandler Stephenson (WAS) – $2,900 vs. PIT

The Penguins have been the league’s best road defense at 1.83 goals against per game on the season, so I didn’t want to pay up for the big Washington guns tonight despite the Capitals being the league’s best home offense in somewhat of a risky move. Still, I wouldn’t mind getting a small sliver of the pie tonight while looking to extract some value out of Stephenson who has himself a favorable spot in the Caps’ lineup. Stephenson is expected to skate next to Nicklas Backstrom and T.J. Oshie on the Capitals’ second line tonight, although he will be hard-pressed to find some power play minutes. He has just one goal and three points on the year, something that will keep his ownership down to be sure, but he also skated 17:35 in his most recent game, so I am liking the value upside despite the slow production to begin the campaign.

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