Last night’s two-game slate was not a pretty one in terms of our DraftKings NHL DFS Picks.
As it turns out, the Canucks and Elias Pettersson did most of the damage on the night, which wasn’t good for us as we faded the Canucks and rostered Wild goaltender Devan Dubnyk with Minnesota listed as fairly heavy favorites.
That said, our three-man Maple Leads stack connected for a goal and two assists, however that goal from Nazem Kadri assisted by Mitch Marner and Morgan Rielly was the only goal the Maple Leafs would score.
The two Flames we rostered unfortunately didn’t notch any points on the Flames’ three goals while Jared Spurgeon’s assist was about all we got from our three-man Wild stack.
Of course, Dubnyk didn’t have a great night with just 26 saves on 30 shots, earning the loss in the process.
Let’s clean things up on tonight’s big 11-game main slate!
C – Logan Couture (SJ) – $6,700 vs. NYR
The Sharks’ matchup tonight on home ice against the Rangers has to be near or at the top of this slate. The Rangers enter play tonight as the league’s 22nd-ranked defense with 3.45 goals against per game this season while their road defense ranks 29th with a whopping 4.60 goals against per game. Couture and the Sharks have found their offensive groove of late with 4.2 goals per game over their last five contests while Couture has tallied five goals and six assists over his last six games. He’s well on his way to another 30-goal season after tallying a career-high 34 goals a season ago. I consider his line the top line on this time alongside the red-hot Timo Meier and Tomas Hertl but the Sharks obviously have a couple of high-upside defensemen who we want to consider in this three-man stack tonight.
C – Derek Stepan (ARI) – $5,000 vs. OTT
The Coyotes have also found their scoring touch after coming out of the gate slow on the offensive side of the puck. The Coyotes have scored at least four goals in four of their last five games while they’ve averaged 4.4 goals per game over that stretch. After being held pointless through the first six games of the season, Stepan has caught fire as well with a goal and four helpers over his last four games. He plays a big role on this team as the second line center, but also the center on the top power play unit, ice time that has him skating over 19 minutes per game so far this season. The Senators have been brutal on the road defensively as their 4.75 goals against per game over four road contests this season ranks 30th in the league. We will have a running theme of picking on poor road defenses with tonight’s picks.
W – Timo Meier (SJ) – $6,600 vs. NYR
After a 21-goal season in his first full NHL season a year ago, Meier is on pace to easily surpass that total given his hot start to the season. Meier has tallied eight goals and 12 points in 11 games on the season to go along with 35 shots on goal. He’s been extremely consistent this season as he hasn’t went two games in a row without notching at least a point, but he’s also been white-hot over the last handful of games with five goals and two assists over his last four games. Meier will ride an eight-game point streak into tonight’s action. Meier skates with Couture at even strength on that second line while he gives us exposure to the Sharks’ second power play unit as part of this three-man stack.
W – Christian Fischer (ARI) – $4,100 vs. OTT
Fischer will complete a Coyotes mini-stack tonight against a weak road defense in the form of the Ottawa Senators. Fischer already has a hat trick under his belt this season while he’s scored four goals in 10 games on the young season. The American-born 21-year-old had a solid rookie season last year, scoring 15 goals and notching 33 points across 79 games on what was a very weak Coyotes offense. Fischer will get every chance to exceed those totals in his second full season in the league as he is skating with Stepan on the team’s second line, but also receiving first unit power play minutes alongside the best offensive talent this team has to offer. Let’s look for this Coyotes duo to pick on a thin Sens back end tonight.
W – Rickard Rakell (ANA) – $5,500 vs. PHI
I like the price we are getting Rakell at tonight as he and the Ducks take on a Flyers team that is yielding plenty of offense at the moment. Philly is coming off a 6-1 drubbing in their own rink at the hands of the New York Islanders while their 4.18 goals against per game ranks dead-last in the league. While it’s slightly improved, the Flyers have still allowed four goals per game on the road this season while their penalty killing ranks dead-last as well at a brutal 67.5%. Rakell is off to a decent start to the season on what has been a slow start for the injury-ravaged Ducks offense with two goals and seven points through 12 games. What’s nice is the fact top pivot Ryan Getzlaf is back in the lineup as Rakell will flank the star center at both even strength and on the Ducks’ top power play unit. I am loving the value he can bring to the table at a mid-range price in this matchup.
D – Erik Karlsson (SJ) – $5,600 vs. NYR
Again, another fine player with plenty of upside at a solid price tonight. Brent Burns is of course a nice option and has a higher floor than Karlsson due to his high shot totals, but at $1,400 cheaper than Burns and in the exact same matchup, I will take Karlsson to complete our three-man Sharks stack tonight. The former Senator hasn’t scored a goal with his new club as of yet, but he does have seven assists through his first 12 games as a Shark. He’s also ripped 31 shots on goal and averaged just over one block per game to boot. Karlsson has notched at least 13 goals in six of his last seven full NHL seasons, so the goals are going to come, especially with zero on 31 shots so far. He’s on the the top power play unit and he’s seeing well over 25 minutes of ice time per game on the Sharks’ top pairing. He’s due for a breakout soon with a point in each of his last three contests.
D – Cam Fowler (ANA) – $5,000 vs. PHI
Fowler and Rakell team up for a high-upside stack tonight against that lowly Flyers offense. Fowler has just four assists on the season which doesn’t come as a surprise on the league’s 28th-ranked offense, but the Ducks’ offense will improve with the return of Getzlaf while their opponent tonight is the worst defensive team in hockey, so there’s no doubt some opportunity here to increase that point total. After all, he’s logging plenty of ice time at 24:40 per game and has skated over 26 minutes on multiple occasions this year. As the lone defenseman on the Ducks’ top power play unit, Fowler has a huge opportunity in front of him against the league’s worst penalty kill. He and Rakell have a high ceiling despite the sluggish starts this season.
G – Martin Jones (SJ) – $8,300 vs. NYR
The Sharks are rolling right now and I just can’t fade Jones’ win upside at home against the Rangers. Sure, he may not see a ton of shots given the Sharks’ 28.4 shots against per game being the fifth-lowest total in the league, but Jones and the Sharks are listed as huge -240 favorites in this one, making him the safest goaltender on the slate in terms of Vegas’ odds. I’m looking for a little more out of Jones right now as he’s sporting a solid 2.64 GAA, but with a save percentage of just .900. Jones has a 2.02 GAA and a slightly improved .906 Sv% at home this season where he will be tonight against the Rangers. I am willing to pay up for what should certainly be a safe call tonight.
UTIL – Ryan Donato (BOS) – $3,100 vs. CAR
The truth is I needed a player at $3,200 or under in this utility spot, so give me Donato as the best of the bunch at this price. The rookie has been moved onto the fourth line right now, however Donato has retained a spot on the team’s top power play unit alongside that superstar talent on Boston’s first line. That spot could pay big-time dividends for the power forward as his lone goal and point this season has come on the man advantage while four of his nine points over his 12 games last season came on that power play as well. Hopefully he can move up the lineup at even strength, but his spot on that man advantage has me seeing a ton of value in the Harvard product tonight.