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DraftKings NHL Picks – April 16th

With the series’ now all switched to the underdogs playing at home, I have deemed it a good time to take a stab at a low-owned, GPP-style lineup for tonight action. We have a four-game slate to bite into tonight, so let’s get some GPP profits going to get our week started on the right note!

C – Nico Hischier (NJ) – $4,900 vs. TB

The Lightning scored five goals in each of the first two games of this series, so they are certain to out-own the Devils tonight. However, don’t sleep on this pesky New Jersey club. Tampa has still struggled defensively for the most part as of late, and the Devils were awesome at home down the stretch. Enter Hischier who has a real nice spot in the lineup as Taylor Hall’s 5v5 centerman as well as a spot on the second power play unit. He ranked second on the Devils with 52 points while firing a real healthy 180 shots on goal while skating in all 82 games this season. He also scored in Game 2’s losing effort.

C – Tyler Bozak (TOR) – $4,000 vs. BOS

Similar story here with the Maple Leafs. After being blown out by a 12-4 count in Games 1 and 2, Toronto returns home where the dominated over the season’s second half, finishing with a 29-10-2 mark at the Air Canada Centre. Similar to Hischier, Bozak has a nice spot in the lineup while centering his team’s top goal scorer in James van Riemsdyk. I also like Bozak due to the fact he centers the Leafs’ top power play unit, a group that clicked just shy of 43% over their last six games at home.

W – Taylor Hall (NJ) – $7,700 vs. TB

Certainly a top-two front runner for the Hart Trophy this season, I don’t think Taylor Halls’ heroics are done quite yet. He carried the Devils into the postseason with a 39-goal, 93-point season on a whopping 278 shots on goal. Hall has a goal and an assist in the series so far while taking 11 shots on goal. He scored 13 of his 39 regular season goals on the man advantage, which I believe is the key for the Devils tonight. The Lightning ranked 23rd in road penalty killing this season while the Devils quietly tied the Penguins for the league’s top home power play at a lofty 26.7% clip.

W – James van Riemsdyk (TOR) – $5,300 vs. BOS

The matchup is a difficult one against the league’s third-ranked road defense, but the Maple Leafs have played the Bruins tough in Toronto. They have averaged 3.75 goals per game over their last four at home against the Bruins. Enter van Riemsdyk who scored 36 goals in the regular season and notched another in Game 2’s blowout loss. He also took 248 shots on goal and scored 11 power play goals, giving him a real nice floor for tonight’s contest.

W – Kyle Palmieri (NJ) – $5,600 vs. TB

Here is one the most underrated goal scorers in the entire NHL. Despite skating in just 62 games this season, Palmieri bagged 24 goals on 181 shots. He notched 11 of those tallies on the power play where I once again expect him and Taylor Hall to form a lethal combo against a real weak Lightning penalty kill. He’s yet to get on the board in the series, but considering he scored 15 of his 24 goals and notched 27 of his 44 points at home, I like his chances at some production this evening.

D – Morgan Rielly (TOR) – $4,600 vs. BOS

Rielly’s price is coming down a bit, and I’m just fine with that considering his production. Overall, he hasn’t played well so far this series, but he’s still managed an assist in each of the two games so far. What I really like about Rielly is the fact he skates as the lone defenseman on the Maple Leafs’ top power play unit where he notched 25 of his 52 points this season, the latter a career high by a mile. He has recorded 19 assists over his last 20 games, so let’s look for that consistency to continue tonight as part of a three-man stack.

D – Tyson Barrie (COL) – $5,100 vs. NSH

A good chunk of the DFS world has likely written off the Avalanche and will pencil some Preds into their lineups tonight, but I’m going in the other direction. With the Avalanche ranking fifth in home offense and eighth in home power play percentage this season, that’s enough for me to want some Avs’ exposure. It starts here with Barrie whose 0.84 points per game in the regular series ranked second among defensemen next to only Erik Karlsson. He notched a pa ir of assists in Game 2 and let’s look for similar, if not better, production in Game 3.

G – Frederik Andersen (TOR) – $7,600 vs. BOS

Andersen is definitely a risky play, but risk/reward scenarios are what GPPs are all about. Despite giving up three goals on five shots in Game 2, I am willing to roll the dice on Andersen. He posted a 2.64 GAA and a .924 Sv% at home this season to go along with a sparkling 23-8-2 record. He endured some very poor luck thanks to bad bounces and tricky deflections in the series so far, so look for a bounceback effort from the netminder tonight.

UTIL – Mikko Rantanen (COL) – $5,000 vs. NSH

I very much like the price we’re getting Rantanen at here. The Predators no doubt present a real tough matchup tonight, but with how good the Avs are at home and Rantanen’s 1.38 points per game at the Pepsi Center this season, I’m definitely willing to roster him. For the season, he scored 29 times and added 55 assists while taking 178 shots on goal. You don’t see too many guys with those types of numbers in this price range so let’s look for some lower owned production from this Avalanche duo tonight.

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