Most of our DraftKings NHL Picks produced last night, but it would have been nice to get much more production out of our Maple Leafs stack. The Leafs produced offensively as expected by putting up five goals on the Sabres, but our stack combined for precisely zero points. Even when you’re right, you can be wrong in this gig. We will move on and tackle tonight’s nine-game slate!
C – Sean Couturier (PHI) – $6,500 vs. NYI
There are a lot of good candidates for breakout player of the year, but Couturier has to be near the top. After tallying between 11 and 15 goals in each of the last four years, Couturier has exploded for 31 tucks this year. He’s also added 40 helpers to give him 71 points in 79 games for the season. Couturier will be up against the NHL’s worst defense tonight as well as the worst home defense as the Islanders yield 3.77 goals per game at the Barclay’s Center. Couturier could easily wind up with 32+ goals after tonight.
C – Derek Stepan (ARI) – $5,200 vs. CGY
The Flames have absolutely fallen apart and the Coyotes are on the upswing, making Arizona a nice lower owned target tonight. Over their last eight games, the Coyotes are averaging close to four goals a game while the Flames have surrendered 4.38 goals per game over his last eight. Stepan has been productive in his first year as a Coyote, notching 13 goals and 42 helpers on the season on 2014 shots. He’s notched three two-assist games in his last six, so he makes for a nice under the radar look tonight.
W – Claude Giroux (PHI) – $7,100 vs. NYI
Perhaps the bounceback player of the year, Giroux has had a monster season for the Flyers. After posting just 14 goals and 58 points last season, Giroux has erupted for 29 goals and 95 points this season. Giroux has been white-hot lately, notching three goals and nine assists over his last seven contests. Giroux and Couturier will skate together at both 5v5 and on the top power play unit for the league’s sixth-ranked road offense tonight.
W – Clayton Keller (ARI) – $5,900 vs. CGY
Keller has been an absolute beast in his rookie season for Arizona. The Coyotes were one of, if not the league’s worst offense for much of the season up until recently, but Keller has still managed 23 goals and 40 assists with 201 shots on goal for the season. He recently had a 10-game point streak snapped, but got right back on the shoresheet in Saturday’s blowout win over the Blues. Keller has real nice upside as a red-hot, lower owned winger tonight in Calgary.
W – Richard Panik (ARI) – $4,300 vs. CGY
Panik should be a very low owned player tonight but he has real nice upside tonight in Calgary. Over his last nine games, Panik has notched nine points and has scored five goals over his last eight games as well. He forms a 5v5 stack as well as a PP1 stack tonight alongside Keller and Stepan. That’s important as the Coyotes actually have the league’s fourth best road power play and the Flames rank 23rd in home penalty killing, so let’s look for some more production from this trio tonight.
D – Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) – $6,100 vs. NYI
If things go as planned Gostisbehere should skate freely tonight in Brooklyn. He’s been a monster on the Flyers’ blueline this year, scoring 13 goals, adding 47 assists and taking 212 shots for the season. He’s also blocked 111 shots, giving us cross-category production in a very favorable matchup. The Flyers rank fifth in road power play and the Islanders rank 26th in home penalty killing, so the power play expert should be licking his lips in this matchup tonight.
D – Mike Reilly (MON) – $2,800 vs. WPG
Now it’s time for some value. Reilly brings that value under the $3K mark in a sneaky-good matchup on home ice against the visiting Jets. The Jets are playing their second game in as many nights tonight after yielding five goals in a 6-5 win last night in Ottawa. Eric Comrie should get the nod in goal tonight, and he’s been lit up to the tune of a 3.99 GAA and an .872 Sv% in three NHL starts this year. Enter Reilly who skates as the lone defenseman on the second power play unit while he has notched an assist in three straight for the Habs.
G – Sergei Bobrovsky (CLS) – $8,600 vs. DET
The safest play on the board tonight in the reigning Vezina winner Bobrovsky. He’s been fantastic lately, yielding two goals or less in seven of his last 10 outings. He posted a .933 Sv% for the month of March and has a real good chance to improve on that mark tonight against the lowly Red Wings. Detroit is one of the league’s worst offenses as their 2.56 goals per game ranks 28th. Columbus is one of the league’s elite home defenses, yielding just 2.26 goals per game at home, good for second in the league. Roster Bob with confidence tonight.
UTIL – Artturi Lehkonen (MON) – $3,500 vs. WPG
Lehkonen and Reilly will form an extremely low owned mini-stack tonight so let’s roll with them and their sneaky upside. They both skate on the Habs’ second power play unit, and surprisingly they rank 10th in home power play at a nice 24.2% clip. Lehkonen has just 10 goals this season, but five over his last 12 games. He skates on the second line as well, so he should get plenty of ice time in a nice home matchup this evening.