DraftKings NHL Picks – February 23rd

We will experience a little bit of a light Thursday night slate this evening as just six games represent tonight’s slate. However, there are some extremely favorable matchups on the slate, something I will be targeting in today’s piece. Let’s get right to it!

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C – Mike Fisher (NSH) – $3,700

Somewhat of a value play, I believe Fisher could have a big night tonight. The Predators will welcome the lowly Avalanche to town tonight, a team that surrenders 3.29 goals per game (30th) on the season. When you look at Fisher, the veteran is actually putting together a nice season. He has 14 goals and 34 points in 55 games on a solid 94 shots and 44 blocks. I am using him as a fade to Ryan Johansen who is averaging just 0.1 more fantasy points per game than Fisher is. Johansen’s ownership should be fairly high tonight in this favorable matchup so we could pick up some massive value with Fisher on a Preds team that has averaged 3.85 goals per game over their last seven.

C – Mike Zibanejad (NYR) – $5,300

This one is going to take a breakout game from the first year Ranger, however I very much like this play. After beginning the season with 15 points through his first 19 games, Zibanejad suffered a leg fracture and has not produced near those levels since. He has just seven points over his last 15 games since returning. However, he has a favorable matchup tonight in Toronto. Frederik Andersen has struggled in the crease for Toronto lately, having yielded an average of 3.66 goals against per game over his last nine starts including at least four against in five of those nine contests. I’m also very high on a linemate of Zibanejad’s, but more on that in a minute.

W – Viktor Arvidsson (NSH) – $6,100

Arvidsson is having a monstrous season up front for the Predators. In his sophomore NHL campaign the talented young Swede has tallied 40 points in 57 games on a whopping 181 shots on goal. He is skating 16.5 minutes per game on the Preds’ top line and top power play group, both of whom have been very effective in Nashville’s recent stretch of elite offensive output. He should have a solid opportunity to crack the 20-goal plateau tonight as he enters this game with 18 on the season against a brutal Avalanche back end.

W – Brendan Gallagher (MTL) – $5,000

Here is a guy that is due to find the back of the net very soon. Gallagher missed five weeks and 19 games with a broken hand and hasn’t found the scoresheet in three games since returning. However, better puck luck lies ahead. Over his last nine games Gallagher has taken 35 shots (3.89/game) and has scored once. That makes for a shooting percentage of 2.86%. Compare that to his 9.5% career mark and you see that some of these shots are going to start going in. His 5% mark for the season is also about half of his career mark, so all signs point towards some Gallagher production moving forward.

W – Mats Zuccarello (NYR) – $5,800

Zuccarello is a must-have tonight against the Maple Leafs. Not only does he have 43 points in 59 games on 148 shots, but he is an absolute Leaf killer. In 12 career games against Toronto Zuccarello has recorded 16 points on 45 shots. In his two meetings with the Maple Leafs this season he has two assists and a whopping 15 shots on goal. His home/road splits are just about even as well which bodes well for tonight’s road game. This guy loves playing the Maple Leafs and is catching Frederik Andersen in a month where he has posted a 3.75 goals against average and an .886 save percentage.

D – Ryan Ellis (NSH) – $4,300

Similar to taking Fisher as a fade to Johansen, I am going with Ellis as a fade to both Roman Josi and P.K. Subban in Nashville. First, Ellis is having a solid season with 25 points, 90 shots and 93 blocked shots in 51 games. He also plays with Josi at even strength and Subban on the power play, so any production those guys get Ellis could very well be in on. Finally, Ellis has averaged three fantasy points per game while Subban is at 3.2. The difference in the point totals is just three and Ellis has many more blocks while Subban has more shots. At the end of the day the biggest difference is the price tag so go with a cheaper Ellis to get in on the fun tonight against Colorado.

D – Shea Weber (MTL) – $5,700

I did still want a top-tier blueliner in this lineup so I have chosen Weber. The veteran is having a very solid season in his first tour with the Canadiens with 34 points and 139 shots with 124 blocks in 60 games. He plays 25.5 minutes per game for the Habs which includes plenty of special teams ice while anchoring that top power play unit that should have some success tonight. Montreal scores 3.2 goals per game on home ice where they play their best hockey so let’s follow suit and go with their best defenseman this evening.

G – Carey Price (MTL) – $8,100

This has been anything but Carey Price’s best season. However, he has looked much better lately highlighted by his overtime heroics in Tuesday night’s win over the Rangers. He has put together a .935 save percentage over his last two starts and has a home matchup tonight against a poor Islanders road team. New York scores just 2.56 goals per game on the road while Montreal allows just 2.13 goals per game at home. Price is 17-7-3 with a 2.19 goals against average to go along with a .928 save percentage on home ice this season so I feel very comfortable in the world’s best goaltender in this matchup.

UTIL – Alex Galchenyuk (MTL) – $5,900

Injuries have slowed Galchenyuk’s production of late, however I like his opportunity at home this evening. Galchenyuk has produced 19 points in 21 home games this season to go along with 41 shots and 12 blocks. He doesn’t appear to be centering the top line tonight, however he is playing next to Gallagher at both even strength and on the power play, giving this lineup a huge boost should these two click for some offense in either scenario. I am fading Montreal’s top line tonight in favor of their second line in hopes of some GPP success.